75th Primetime Emmy Awards Odds: Succession Again Takes Center Stage

The 75th Primetime Emmy Award nominations are out and even if the ceremony has been delayed to an as yet undetermined date, we've got a look at the current betting odds. Succession looks like it could be a big winner on the back of its final season.

Last Updated: Jul 30, 2023 2:16 PM ET Read Time: 5 min
Succession Emmy Awards odds 2023
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards were scheduled to take place on September 18, but the ongoing writers and actors strikes have reportedly caused a postponement. No fixed date has yet been announced, but it's looking like sometime in January is likeliest outcome.

Despite the ceremony being a little further away than originally expected, the nominations are out and so are betting odds.

Let's break down the key categories for the 2023 Primetime Emmy Awards.

Odds to win Outstanding Lead Actor (Comedy) 

Actor (Series) Odds
Jeremy Allen White (The Bear) -350
Jason Sudeikis (Ted Lasso) +210
Jason Segel (Shrinking) +1,000
Bill Hader (Barry) +1,600
Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building) +1,800

Favorite to win Outstanding Lead Actor (Comedy)

It looks like there is finally a challenger to Sudeikis' Ted Lasso-led supremacy. Sudeikis has won this award two years running and fellow nominee Bill Hader won twice in a row for his role as hitman-turned-actor Barry Berkman in 2018 and 2019. But it's Jeremy Allen White who appears primed to take his first trophy in the category as Carmy Beratto in The Bear.

White is the core figure in an incredible ensemble in the FX show that, like Barry, could really be as easily classified as a drama as it is a comedy (and how Succession could just as easily be a comedy, but I digress). In season two, White is intense and sometimes off-putting as a world-class chef trying to make a go of opening his own restaurant in the place of where his deceased brother used to run his own spot in Chicago. He manages to also be charming and sympathetic in the face of his shortcomings, making it a relatable and human performance. Don't expect an upset.

Odds to win Outstanding Lead Actor (Drama) 

Actor (Series) Odds
Kieran Culkin (Succession +180
Jeremy Strong (Succession) +225
Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul) +240
Jeff Bridges (The Old Man) +600
Pedro Pascal (The Last of Us) +600
Brian Cox (Succession) +1,800

Favorite to win Outstanding Lead Actor (Drama)

With Succession wrapping up its final season to near universal acclaim, a lot of the attention went to its male leads, particularly Culkin and Strong. Culkin especially emerged as a favorite as a grieving, rich failson on a power trip during election season only to prove to be in way over his head. But could eldest boy Strong earn his second victory in the category?

With a bevy of options from Succession — including Brian Cox as patriarch Logan Roy — it could, in theory, split voting, opening the door for someone like Odenkirk, who has never won for his role as Jimmy McGill in Better Call Saul despite four nominations.

Odds to win Outstanding Lead Actress (Comedy)

Actress (Series) Odds
Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary) +100
Rachel Brosnahan (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) +250
Christina Applegate (Dead to Me) +325
Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) +600
Jenna Ortega (Wednesday) +600

Favorite to win Outstanding Lead Actress (Comedy) 

Jean Smart won back-to-back trophies in this category for Hacks but isn't on the docket this time around. Brunson is nominated for a second straight year, and is more or less favored, though the odds are certainly not bullish. Brosnahan won as Miriam "Midge" Maisel all the way back in 2018 and this is her fifth time nominated for The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Ortega has a massive fanbase and Wednesday was a very popular Netflix phenomenon while both Applegate and Lyonne have received raves for their respective roles. No one is running away with this race as of yet.

Odds to win Outstanding Lead Actress (Drama) 

Actress (Series) Odds
Sarah Snook (Succession) -700
Melanie Lynskey (Yellowjackets) +550
Bella Ramsey (The Last of Us) +600
Elizabeth Moss (The Handmaid's Tale) +1,600
Keri Russell (The Diplomat) +2,500
Sharon Horgan (Bad Sisters) +2,500

Favorite to win Outstanding Lead Actress (Drama)

Where lead actor is a toss up, lead actress might as well be written in blood. Snook is taking this for her incredible job as Shiv Roy. And while it will be ostensibly for her performance throughout the series' final season, it will also be a recognition of how great she's been throughout the show. It's not her first Emmy nomination for portraying Shiv but, like Culkin, she had previously been recognized as a supporting actress.

There's simply no value in grabbing an underdog even if Lynskey and Ramsey were terrific in their pulpy programs. It will be a shock if Snook loses.

Odds to win Outstanding Comedy Series 

Series Odds
Ted Lasso -100
The Bear +110
Abbott Elementary +900
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel +1,000
Jury Duty  +1,800
Barry +2,200
Wednesday +2,200
Only Murders in the Building +3,000

Favorite to win Outstanding Comedy Series

Even in what was widely considered a disappointing season, Ted Lasso is the current betting favorite by a slim margin over The Bear. It's a two-show race, it seems, and The Bear could easily be the favorite in a week considering how rapturous the response to the second season has been. It's a show on the rise and is something completely fresh on the television landscape.  

Odds to win Outstanding Drama Series

Series Odds
Succession -1,000
The White Lotus +550
Better Call Saul +1,400
The Last of Us +1,600
The Crown +2,000
Andor +3,300
House of the Dragon +5,000
Yellowjackets  +5,000

Favorite to win Outstanding Drama Series 

Succession has won this award in two of the three years it's been nominated during its run. It will almost assuredly make it a third after its triumphant fourth — and final — season. It's almost a shame for Better Call Saul, which, like its lead actor in Bob Odenkirk, has never claimed the top prize in its run. In another year, maybe The White Lotus or The Last of Us could be a surprise challenger, but it's not worth overthinking it. Succession is the television show of 2023 and nothing will stand in it or creator Jesse Armstrong's way.

Supporting categories

Here are the current betting odds for the various supporting actor/actress categories.

Odds to win Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy

Actress (Series) Odds
Brett Goldstein (Ted Lasso) +200
James Marsden (Jury Duty) +220
Tyler James Williams (Abbott Elementary) +420
Ebon Moss-Bachrach (The Bear) +500
Henry Winkler (Barry) +600
Phil Dunster (Ted Lasso) +1,000
Anthony Carrigan (Barry) +1,200

Odds to win Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy

Actress (Series) Odds
Ayo Edebiri (The Bear) +180
Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary) +300
Hannah Wassingham (Ted Lasso) +320
Juno Temple (Ted Lasso) +600
Alex Borstein (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) +700
Janelle James (Abbott Elementary) +800
Jessica Williams (Shrinking) +1,200

Odds to win Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama

Actress (Series) Odds
Matthew Macfadyen (Succession) -350
Alan Ruck (Succession) +700
F. Murray Abraham (The White Lotus) +950
Alexander Skarsgard (Succession) +1,000
Michael Imperioli (The White Lotus) +1,400
Theo James (The White Lotus) +1,800
Nicholas Braun (Succession) +2,000
Will Sharpe (The White Lotus) +2,000

Odds to win Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama

Actress (Series) Odds
Jennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus) -220
Rhea Seehorn (Better Call Saul) +300
Aubrey Plaza (The White Lotus) +1,200
Elizabeth Debicki (The Crown) +1,400
Sabrina Impacciatore (The White Lotus) +1,400
J. Smith-Cameron (Succession) +1,600
Simona Tabasco (The White Lotus) +2,200
Meghann Fahy (The White Lotus) +2,200

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