Tommy Fury faces off against once-beaten Daniel Bocianski as a featured attraction on the Tyson Fury vs. Dillian Whyte pay-per-view undercard on Saturday, April 23 at Wembley Stadium. Tyson's little cousin hopes to lure YouTube influencer-turned-boxer Jake Paul into the ring for a lucrative showdown, and believes a win over Bocianski is the last hurdle to clear.
While Tommy isn’t the best of the Fury boxing family, he’s a huge betting favorite over the unknown Bocianski at -1,800. For those betting on Bocianski to derail the Paul fight, they can pick up a huge +950 payout by rolling with the underdog.
Here are our free boxing picks and predictions for Fury vs. Bocianski on April 23.
Tommy Fury vs Daniel Bocianski betting predictions
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis
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Tommy Fury vs Daniel Bocianski betting preview
At just 7-0 in the pro ranks, Fury has been on the cusp of a major payday that fighters wait their whole career for when hostilities arose between him and Jake Paul. A rib injury sustained in training camp torpedoed Fury’s shot at Paul last December, but Fury putting together an impressive performance here should draw Paul back into the ring.
Bocianski has a decent record at 10-1 but is coming off a stoppage loss in his last fight and has just two knockout wins to his name. Recent boasts from Fury to try and prop up Bocianski don’t hold much weight considering that Bocianski has only fought two opponents with winning records and was knocked out cold by one of them.
Both Fury and Bocianski are robotic in their execution, though Fury is not as stiff with his movement.
Fury is the stronger fighter of the two, especially when he loosens up and decides to come forward. While he does not share his cousin’s defensive credentials, he’s shown to have a good chin at times when he fails to properly defend himself. There might not be a sense of urgency to work on his defense here if looking impressive enough to bait Paul is the goal.
This would be the kind of fight where a nondescript opponent ends up shocking the world against an overconfident up and comer, but the fact that Bocianski has only two stoppages against legitimately bad opposition makes that chance remote at best.
Then again, Fury might not be that much better than Bocianski, despite the odds showing otherwise. We’ve seen Fury struggle early in his career, and Bocianski might have a frustrating style that could spring that unlikely upset.
Tommy Fury vs Daniel Bocianski picks
Fury to win (-1,800 at DraftKings)
With the crowd behind him, Fury is going to do what he can to impose his will on Bocianski and draw a quick stoppage.
It might be a big ask, especially as the combined record of the fighters Fury stopped is an abysmal 2-72-2. He went the distance in his last two fights, outclassing his foes, but not coming close to stopping them.
Bocianski may be the more refined boxer of the two, but Fury’s raw strength looks to be too much for him to handle. The uppercut that knocked Bocianski out on his feet looked like a glancing blow at best, and his hands were so wide that him taking that shot was meant to be.
In Fury’s recent fights, he’s tried to tighten up his wide shots and work behind a steady jab. Though that is a developmental issue, there isn’t much to expect from a fighter in his seventh professional bout. For now, Fury might continue to throw those wild shots and could likely clip Bocianski with a killer blow.
We may never know how good Fury will be, especially as the sole focus of his career at this point is fighting Jake Paul. We like him to keep hope alive and win this bout convincingly.
Fury moneyline (-1,800 at DraftKings)
With the stars trying to align for a bigger fight down the road, this is Fury’s fight to lose. An opponent who has feasted on subpar competition and floundered against decent ones is right up Fury’s alley, and he’ll be likely to provide minimal resistance for the duration of the bout.
The lack of available props leaves us with little choice here but to go with Fury on the moneyline, though bettors should be looking closer to the fight to get potentially better odds on a Fury stoppage.
Given the circumstances; We like Fury to win this one in any fashion and is a safe bet for a potential parlay
