Devin Haney aims to win a title in a second weight class as he challenges WBC junior welterweight champion Regis Prograis this Saturday, December 9, at the Chase Center in San Francisco, CA.
Haney and Prograis are two elite operators, and a win for either man sets them up for a potential clash with Teofimo Lopez to crown the next undisputed junior welterweight champion in 2024.
Boxing odds favor former lightweight champion Haney at -400, and defending champ Prograis is a +300 underdog.
Here are my free betting picks for Haney vs. Prograis from San Francisco.
Regis Prograis vs Devin Haney odds
|Method of victory
|Win by KO/TKO
|Win by points or decision
Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of December 9, 2023.
Regis Prograis vs Devin Haney betting predictions
Picks made on December 5. Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Regis Prograis vs Devin Haney boxing prediction and best bet
Prediction: Haney ML
As good as Prograis is, he’s 34 years old and coming off a bad night where he couldn’t get anything going, mainly because his opponent wasn’t willing to open up to him. That is a bad omen for the champion because Haney isn’t known for making mistakes or taking risks, and is a technical dynamo.
Prograis’ power shines when opponents actively pressure and engage him. We’ve seen him struggle to generate organic offense when fighting at a different or slower pace, and Haney’s footwork and elusiveness will give him fits. Now, if Prograis does catch Haney, he’s a solid finisher and could feasibly end the fight.
Haney should be able to utilize his hand speed and footwork to pepper Haney with shots all night. While he won’t expect a boost in his punching power, he’ll look refreshed and come with an extra spring in his step now that he isn’t struggling to cut to lightweight. He’ll evade enough to avoid Prograis’ best shots and exhibit enough situational awareness to change the pace so the champion never gets fully dialed in.
Haney is the pick.
Prediction: Haney moneyline (-400 at DraftKings)
Best Bet: Haney by decision
The champ’s best chance at scoring an upset and retaining his titles will have to be a come-from-behind knockout. Haney expends a lot of energy with his at-times-amateurish style, which makes him vulnerable in the later rounds. However, that conditioning issue could be a byproduct of an overlong stay at lightweight.
The combination of his movement and his methodical approach is enough to negate Progais’ pressure and offset his power punches. The Danielito Zorrilla fight saw Prograis hypnotized and beaten to the punch by a foe far beneath what he’ll see in Haney, who is quick enough to clip Prograis with counters and use his fast hands to smother his offense.
Haney getting busy, working from the outside, and resetting his positioning when Prograis tries to pressure him is going to be the story of the fight. The call is for Haney to outwork and outsmart Prograis for a decision win.
Prediction: Haney by decision (-225 at DraftKings)
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Regis Prograis vs Devin Haney betting preview
Former undisputed lightweight champion, Haney vacated his titles and is moving up in weight to chase another one. The undefeated champion is one of the most gifted technical boxers in the sport, and he has compiled an impressive resume in his young career with wins over Jorge Linares, Joseph Diaz, George Kambosos, and a recent win over Vasiliy Lomachenko.
Prograis became a two-time champion after turning in a career-best performance in an 11th-round KO win over Jose Zepeda. He followed it up with one of his worst; a controversial split-decision win against the unknown Zorrilla. That said, Prograis has been no worse than the No. 2 fighter at junior welterweight for the past five years with wins over Zepeda, Terry Flannigan, and Kiryl Relikh.
As skilled as Prograis is, he’s going to have a difficult time landing his big shots against someone as careful and defensively mindful as Haney. At the same time, Haney’s lack of punching power and his less-than-exciting approach could work against him if he can’t successfully stunt Prograis’ aggression.