Tyson Fury vs Derek Chisora Picks and Predictions: A Trilogy of Errors

Tyson Fury is understandably a massive betting favorite to win for a third time against Derek Chisora. However, that means there's no value in placing a wager on the moneyline. We look at alternate markets to get the best bang for your buck.

Last Updated: Dec 3, 2022 2:08 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Tyson Fury WBC
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Tyson Fury vs. Derek Chisora is scheduled for 12 rounds in the heavyweight division as a featured boxing attraction tonight, coming from the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London.

This will mark the third time Fury and Chisora have crossed paths in the ring, but this fight carries added weight as Fury defends his WBC title against his old rival.

Boxing odds have Fury a commanding favorite at -2,500 to successfully defend his title. Chisora is no stranger to being a betting underdog, but there might be too much class between him and the champ to take a chance at +1,200.

Here are our picks and predictions for Fury vs. Chisora from London.

Tyson Fury vs Derek Chisora odds

Method of victory Tyson Fury Derek Chisora
Win outright -2,500 +1,200
Win by KO/TKO -350 +2,000
Win by points or decision +275 +2,800
Draw +2,800 +2,800

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of November 30, 2022.

Tyson Fury vs Derek Chisora betting predictions

Picks made on November 28. Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Tyson Fury vs Derek Chisora betting preview

Fury and Chisora first met in 2011 when Fury scored an upset win over a befuddled and out-of-his-depth Chisora. They met again three years later with Fury delivering a horrible beating that caused Chisora's corner to stop the fight. With Fury facing issues due to his illicit relationship with crime boss Daniel Kinahan and Oleksandr Usyk wanting to wait until 2023 to fight him, Chisora got the call to make it a trilogy.

We last saw Fury tear right through Dillian Whyte in April. That wipeout win saw Fury bludgeon Whyte for six rounds before stopping him, looking monstrous in the process and confirming his status as the main man at heavyweight.

Fury has stopped four of his last five opponents and his average fight time during that stretch has been 7.6 rounds. Since partnering up with Sugar Hill Steward, Fury has become an aggressive puncher who uses his size and deceptive speed to close the distance and wear his foes out. As it is, Fury is a technically gifted boxer who has embraced his power lately.

Chisora has been the division's toughest journeyman for a long time and he has fought everyone. Unfortunately for him, he's lost all of his important ones and is starting to show some accelerated wear and tear. To his credit, Chisora snapped a three-fight skid by slightly outpointing Kubrat Pulev last July.

"Del Boy" is a rough customer who can fight dirty and has decent punching power, but hasn't figured Fury out. He's done progressively worse in the previous two encounters, but at 38 with few opportunities left, Chisora has to hope he has something left in what could be the last shot he'll have at a world title.

Nobody doubts that Fury is the best heavyweight in the world, and while this isn't a mega fight with Usyk or even Anthony Joshua, he's entitled to a soft touch once in a while. Chisora is not going to lay down for him, though, and Fury needs to stay focused unless he wants to end up on the wrong side of history.

Tyson Fury vs Derek Chisora boxing prediction and best bet

Prediction: Fury ML (-2,500)

There has been no moment in their previous two bouts where Chisora looked comfortable or even competent against Fury. Their last fight was a total wipeout that shut the door on Chisora's title aspirations, and he's just plugged along this far where he's lucked into a shot. Chisora is not too far removed from Joseph Parker putting a pair of lopsided beatings on him, and Fury is levels beyond Parker.

Without sounding pedantic, this fight will last as long as Fury wants it to. There might be a hint of mutual respect between these two, but Fury isn't going to take it easy on Chisora. With all the advantages in Fury's favor, it will take a few miracles for Chisora to somehow pull this off with how bad he's looked of late.

At -2,500, bettors would be wise to look elsewhere. There's no value in betting on the sure thing here.

Prediction: Tyson Fury moneyline (-2,500 at DraftKings)

Best Bet: Fury wins in 7-12 rounds (+165)

Fury and Chisora are both awkward fighters, so expect a lot of jabbing at each other and doing rough stuff on the inside early on. Eventually, Fury will start to wear Chisora down with his size and movement past the halfway point. As Chisora fades in the later rounds, Fury will inevitably drop the hammer on him and end things before the final bell.

We are casting a wide range for Fury to get things done in what should be a wipeout. Take Fury to win by stoppage anywhere between rounds 7 and 12 for a +165 score.

Prediction: Tyson Fury to win in 7-12 rounds (+165 at DraftKings)

 

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