Bryan Leonard

NFL Power Rankings: Week 11

By BRYAN LEONARD - Covers Expert

In a week where favorites held their own, we post a 4-5 spread record dropping our year-to-date mark to 25-20. Remember to use a home-field advantage of three points and make a play on differences of one point or more when our line differs from the closing Vegas line.

NFL Power Rankings

Current Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T
(ATS)
Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 no change in rankings 8-1-0
(7-2-0)
-6.20 N.Y. Giants
The G-Men outgained the Eagles by 101 total yards and continued to dominate on the ground with 219 rushing yards.
2 2 no change in rankings 9-0-0
(8-1-0)
-5.80 Tennessee
Jeff Fisher's defense continues to shine after holding Bears to 243 total yards and 14 points. The Titans undefeated season continues to surprise.
3 4 move up in rankings1 6-3-0
(5-4-0)
-4.70 Tampa Bay
Bucs need to take care of business against Minnesota this week because division leader Carolina hosts the winless Lions.
4 3 move down in rankings1 6-3-0
(4-5-0)
-4.50 Pittsburgh
Steelers drop into a tie for first in the AFC North with upstart Ravens. They couldn't overcome a 3-0 turnover deficit Sunday against the Colts.
5 5 no change in rankings 5-4-0
(6-3-0)
-4.40 Philadelphia
QB Donovan McNabb was just 17 of 36 for 194 passing yards and teammate Brian Westbrook was held to only 26 yards on the ground.
6 9 move up in rankings3 7-2-0
(5-3-1)
-3.60 Carolina
The Panthers won by 11 points despite four Jake Delhomme interceptions and producing just 10 first downs.
7 6 move down in rankings1 6-3-0
(6-3-0)
-3.50 Arizona
Cards took advantage of 3-0 turnover edge to sneak away with an unimpressive victory. Another big game from Warner but running game garners just 46 yards.
8 7 move down in rankings1 4-5-0
(6-3-0)
-3.40 Green Bay
Green Bay scores 27 points on only 184 total yards. Penalties are killing this team.
9 8 move down in rankings1 6-3-0
(5-4-0)
-3.30 Washington
Despite 6-3 record the Skins have only outscored the opposition 171-168. Need to expand the offensive playbook to distance themselves in the playoff hunt.
10 15 move up in rankings5 5-4-0
(4-5-0)
-2.90 Indianapolis
Colts pull out must-win game on the road and keep themselves in the thick of the wild card race.
11 16 move up in rankings5 6-3-0
(5-4-0)
-2.80 New England
The Pats held the Bills to only 168 total yards. Still having trouble running the football.
12 10 move down in rankings2 4-5-0
(3-5-1)
-2.60 San Diego
The Chargers continue to under perform. They have a tough trip to Pittsburgh this week.
13 17 move up in rankings4 6-3-0
(7-2-0)
-2.50 Baltimore
Picked off Texans four times in impressive showing. Twenty-two fourth quarter points seal away victory.
14 13 move down in rankings1 4-5-0
(3-6-0)
-2.40 Jacksonville
Jags played like they really wanted it on Sunday. Running game was strong and defense held the Lions to 256 total yards.
15 14 move down in rankings1 5-4-0
(3-6-0)
-2.00 Minnesota
Nearly doubled the Packers in yardage 361-184 but had to rally late for the victory. Won despite 3-0 turnover disadvantage.
16 12 move down in rankings4 5-4-0
(4-4-1)
-1.60 Chicago
Hold Titans to 0.7 yards per carry and still let passing game of QB Collins beat them. Rival Packers on deck.
17 11 move down in rankings6 5-4-0
(4-5-0)
-1.50 Buffalo
Only 10 first downs for Bills as they continue their downward slide. Must win MNF game with Browns this week.
18 21 move up in rankings3 6-3-0
(6-3-0)
-1.40 Atlanta
The Falcons continue to look like a playoff team. Outgained by 160 yards and still won the game by 14 points.
19 22 move up in rankings3 6-3-0
(5-4-0)
-1.20 N.Y. Jets
Favre plays under control and the Jets win big. 206 rushing yards for New York. Huge rematch with the Pats in first-place showdown this week.
20 19 move down in rankings1 5-4-0
(2-6-1)
-0.90 Denver
Mike Shanahan's offense erupts after slumping the past few weeks. Tough trip to Atlanta on deck.
21 18 move down in rankings3 5-4-0
(5-4-0)
-0.70 Miami
Dolphins move into playoff position with weak schedule remaining. Host cross-country traveling Raiders on Sunday.
22 20 move down in rankings2 5-4-0
(3-6-0)
-0.60 Dallas
Is Romo ready? Does it really matter? We find out Sunday night in divisional game at Washington.
23 23 no change in rankings 4-5-0
(5-4-0)
0.40 New Orleans
The Saints gain 521 total yards but register only 20 points to show for it. Turnover disadvantage of 3-0 hurts fading Saints.
24 25 move up in rankings1 3-6-0
(5-4-0)
1.30 Cleveland
Brady Quinn played well but defense regresses to early season standard. MNF game on deck at Buffalo.
25 24 move down in rankings1 3-6-0
(2-7-0)
1.50 Houston
Defense performed pretty well by Houston standards allowing 333 total yards. Tough divisional game at Indy this week.
26 27 move up in rankings1 2-7-0
(3-6-0)
3.00 San Francisco
Gore keeps Niners in the game with hard fought running style. Questionable calls with game on the line cost San Fran.
27 26 move down in rankings1 2-7-0
(3-6-0)
5.00 St. Louis
Second straight embarrassing game for the Rams. Initial jolt from coaching change fading fast.
28 28 no change in rankings 1-8-0
(5-4-0)
5.70 Kansas City
Another steady performance out of QB Tyler Thigpen. Gutsy call by coach Herm Edwards going for the win.
29 30 move up in rankings1 2-7-0
(4-5-0)
5.90 Seattle
Another under 300 yard offensive performance for the Seahawks. Passing game continues to struggle badly.
30 29 move down in rankings1 2-7-0
(3-6-0)
6.30 Oakland
Intercepted four passes and still scored only six points. Allowed 5.8 yards per rush to the Panthers.
31 31 no change in rankings 0-9-0
(3-6-0)
6.40 Detroit
Offense struggled again as new quarterbacks played like the old signal callers. 21-0 second quarter deficit was too much to overcome.
32 32 no change in rankings 1-8-0
(3-6-0)
6.60 Cincinnati
Coming off bye week should help the Bengals but angry Eagles invade Cincy on Sunday.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

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