NFL Power Rankings: Week 1

By Matt Fargo - Covers Expert

We are just days away from the kickoff of the 2014-15 season which means it's time for you first power rankings of the season! Surprise, surprise the defending champs from Seattle sit atop the pile as all others are looking up to try and knock them off their perch.

NFL Power Rankings

Current Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T
(ATS)
Power Rating Team Comments
1 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-7 Seattle
The past two defending Super Bowl champions (Giants, Ravens) both lost outright in their first game on Thursday but Seattle is 6-0 ATS in their last six as a home favorite of seven points or less.
2 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-4.5 San Francisco
San Francisco's defense took a hit with the suspension of linebacker Aldon Smith, but the 49ers went 6-0-1 ATS last season as road favorites and are 6-0 Over under Jim Harbaugh the first two weeks of the season.
3 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-4 Green Bay
Green Bay opens the season with three road games in their first four including a huge test at Seattle opening night. The Packers are 2-5 ATS as road dogs the last two years but they are 4-1 ATS their last five Thursday games.
4 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-3.5 Denver
Peyton Manning will be out for revenge after losing to his former team last season. Denver is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points, while going 8-0 Over first 8 games last season.
5 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-3.25 New Orleans
The Saints early schedule is a good one as their first 7 games are against teams that failed to post a winning record last season. New Orleans went 0-4 ATS last year as road favorites and the home team has covered 5 straight in this series.
6 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-3 New England
New England is again a big favorite to win the AFC East for a sixth straight season. The Patriots were just 2-7 ATS on the road last year and the home team and the under has cashed the last four meetings.
7 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-2 San Diego
According to reports, the Chargers offense is clicking under new OC Frank Reich so they could be a dangerous sleeper if the defense improves. San Diego was 5-1-1 ATS last season as a road underdog.
8 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-1.5 Philadelphia
After closing 7-2 last year, the Eagles are the favorites in what seems to be a weak NFC East. They are a big chalk here but they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as double-digit favorites.
9 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-1.25 Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh has missed the playoffs each of the last two years following 8-8 seasons but the early schedule sets up very well so it won't start 0-4 again this year. The Steelers have covered five straight divisional games.
10 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-1 Baltimore
Baltimore has a great home field edge, going 39-9 during the regular season under Jim Harbaugh. The Ravens are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 as a home favorite of 7 points or less in the Harbaugh era.
11 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
-0.5 Kansas City
The Chiefs need to put the playoff debacle against Indianapolis behind them but the early schedule is tough with Tennessee being the only easy game through the first six. Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in their last five at home.
12 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
0 Cincinnati
Cincinnati has made the playoffs the last three years only to lose in the first round each time but it is again the favorite in the AFC North but not by much. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings.
13 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
0.5 Chicago
This is the second year in the system under head coach Marc Trestman and after improving last season, things could be even more explosive this year. Chicago is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 home games.
14 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
1 Arizona
It will be tough for the Cardinals to post double-digit wins once again playing in a brutal division and a tough out of conference schedule on top of it. Arizona has covered its last four season openers.
15 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
1.5 Atlanta
Atlanta went 4-12 last season, its first losing campaign under Mike Smith but seven losses were by a touchdown or less so it could be a value team this year. The under is 5-0 in their last five meetings in Atlanta.
16 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
2 Carolina
The Panthers will again rely on their defense to repeat in the NFC South which no team has ever done. Carolina has gone 7-1 ATS in its last eight games as a road underdog and hasn't covered a season opener since 2008.
17 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
2.25 Indianapolis
The Colts are ranked as low as they are because they have been outgained in yardage each of the last two years but an easy schedule can reverse that. Indianapolis is 0-6 ATS in their last six season openers but has covered six straight vs. Denver.
18 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
2.5 St. Louis
The Rams suffered a big loss with Sam Bradford going down for the season after playing only seven games last season so it is up to Shaun Hill now. St. Louis is 21-9 Over their alst 30 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points.
19 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
2.75 Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is the sleeper team in the NFC South with head coach Lovie Smith taking over and buoyed by a very easy schedule. The Buccaneers are 13-29-1 ATS in their last 43 home games.
20 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
3 N.Y. Giants
After missing the playoffs the last two years, the schedule is on the side of New York as a win here could lead to a 5-0 start. The Giants are 0-7 ATS in their last seven Monday night games as underdogs of four or more points.
21 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
3.25 Detroit
Jim Caldwell takes over for a Detroit teams that has lost 17 of its last 24 games but it is loaded on both sides of the ball. The Lions have covered five of their last six as Monday night favorites.
22 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
4 Tennessee
Tennessee has not been to playoffs in five years but that could change this season under new head coach Ken Whisenhunt as it plays the second easiest schedule in the league. The Under is 6-1 in the Titans last seven season openers.
23 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
4.5 N.Y. Jets
The Jets have missed the playoffs the last three years after going to back-to-back AFC Championships but it will be tough to compete in the AFC East. New York went 3-0 ATS as a home favorite last season.
24 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
4.75 Minnesota
New head coach Mike Zimmer comes into town with a roster full of talent and Minnesota was better than last season's record shows with four losses by four points or less. Minnesota is 4-0 Over its last four road games.
25 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
5 Washington
The Redskins took a huge step back last season and head into Houston riding an eight-game losing streak while covering just two of those. Jay Gruden looks to turn it around fast but the Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
26 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
5.25 Jacksonville
Jacksonville could top the list for most improved team after closing last season a respectable 4-4 and the Jaguars are loaded with young talent. The Over is 5-2 in the Jaguars last seven road games.
27 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
5.75 Dallas
Expectations are not very high for Dallas this season and that could be a good thing but it faces a very tough opening test here. The Cowboys are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games but did go 2-0 ATS as a home dog last year.
28 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
6 Miami
Head coach Joe Philbin is on the hot season after a 15-17 start his first two years and the Dolphins may be undervalued in this spot with a lot of potential. Miami is 9-1 Under in their last nine games against division opponents.
29 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
6.25 Buffalo
Three straight 6-10 finishes for the Bills have been frustrating but they have been involved in some tough losses the last two years so things could get better. Buffalo has covered seven of its last nine season openers.
30 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
6.5 Houston
Things can only get better for Houston after losing its last 14 games last season which included nine losses by a touchdown or less. The Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last six as a favorite over the last two seasons.
31 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
6.75 Cleveland
The quarterback controversy in Cleveland is over for now but a poor start could have us see Johnny Football quicker than expected. The Browns have won a total of seven games in the AFC North over the last six years.
32 same 0-0-0
(0-0-0)
8 Oakland
The Raiders are the worst team in the NFL until they prove otherwise. Playing a schedule featuring 11 games against teams with a wining record last year doesn't help. The Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the AFC.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.