NFL Power Rankings: Week 4

By Matt Fargo - Covers Expert

The Seahawks reclaim the throne this week after defeating the Denver Broncos in overtime at CenturyLink Field. Meanwhile, the Raiders and Jags trade places at the bottom.

NFL Power Rankings

Week 4 Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T
(ATS)
Power Rating Team Comments
1 2 up 1 2-1-0
(2-1-0)
-6.5 Seattle
Seattle finally gets a break from the tough early schedule as it gets early bye before playing three of its next four games on the road.
2 1 down 1 2-1-0
(0-3-0)
-5.75 Denver
Denver drops to number two this week after losing in OT against Seattle. Broncos three of next four are at home following its bye this coming week.
3 4 up 1 1-2-0
(1-2-0)
-4 San Francisco
San Francisco's 1-2 start for second straight season and will look to avoid 3-game skid for first time since 2010. 49ers 15-2 ATS L17 off loss as a favorite.
4 3 down 1 1-2-0
(0-2-1)
-3.5 Green Bay
Green Bay 1-2 for third-straight season and has not started 1-3 since 2006, Mike McCarthy's first season. Packers 2-7 ATS L9 as road underdogs.
5 13 up 8 1-2-0
(1-2-0)
-3.25 New Orleans
Saints off their first win this season and are road favorites for the third time this year where they are 0-6 ATS L6 going back to last season.
6 6 same 2-1-0
(1-2-0)
-3 New England
New England survived a scare from Oakland to move into a first place tie with Buffalo. Patriots have covered five of their last six on Monday night.
7 5 down 2 3-0-0
(3-0-0)
-2.5 Cincinnati
Bengals dropped a couple spots despite improving to 3-0, one of just three remaining undefeated teams. Bye this week before traveling to New England.
8 11 up 3 2-1-0
(3-0-0)
-2.25 San Diego
San Diego is on a two-game winning streak and will be favored the next four games before heading to Denver. 1-11 ATS L12 as double-digit chalk.
9 12 up 3 2-1-0
(2-1-0)
-1.75 Atlanta
Falcons off Thursday blowout win with three of next four games on the road. Atlanta is 7-1 ATS L8 road games vs. opponent off consecutive losses.
10 10 same 2-1-0
(2-1-0)
-1.75 Chicago
Bears off Monday win and are back home to face Green Bay before hitting the road for two more road games. 1-7-1 ATS at home under Marc Trestman.
11 9 down 2 3-0-0
(2-1-0)
-1.5 Arizona
Cardinals are a surprising 3-0 as they head into their early bye week. Two weeks to prepare for Denver which is also on its bye this week.
12 15 up 3 2-1-0
(2-1-0)
-1.5 Detroit
Detroit 2-0 home, 0-1 away and it is riding a 0-4 ATS skid as road dogs. Lions 2-8 ATS L10 non-division road games vs. opponent off 2 straight losses.
13 7 down 6 3-0-0
(2-1-0)
-1.25 Philadelphia
Eagles are lowest ranked 3-0 team thanks to having played the 2nd easiest schedule thus far. 2-10-1 ATS L13 after allowing more than 350 total yards.
14 19 up 5 1-2-0
(2-1-0)
-1 Indianapolis
Indianapolis off its first win of the season heading into back-to-back home games. Colts now 15-2 ATS L17 games against teams with a losing record.
15 16 up 1 2-1-0
(1-1-1)
-0.5 Baltimore
Baltimore off last second win at Cleveland and back home for third time in four games before 4 of next 5 on the road. 18-7-2 ATS L27 vs. winning teams.
16 8 down 8 2-1-0
(2-1-0)
0.25 Carolina
Carolina tied for biggest drop this week after home blowout loss against Pittsburgh. 7-3-1 ATS L11 games following a loss of more than 14 points.
17 23 up 6 1-2-0
(2-1-0)
0.25 Kansas City
Kansas City off its first win of the season but consecutive games against Patriots and 49ers will be a challenge. Chiefs 0-6 ATS L6 home games.
18 21 up 3 2-1-0
(1-2-0)
0.5 Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh back over .500 and its next three opponents are a combined 1-8. Steelers are 4-10 ATS L14 games following a win of more than 14 points.
19 17 down 2 2-1-0
(2-1-0)
1 Dallas
Dallas rallied from 21-0 deficit to beat St. Louis despite getting outgained by 108 yards. Cowboys 2-10 ATS L12 at home vs. teams with losing road record.
20 29 up 9 1-2-0
(1-2-0)
1.5 N.Y. Giants
Giants finally found the win column but now play on short rest and have to travel to Washington. 3-7 ATS L10 games following a win.
21 22 up 1 1-2-0
(1-2-0)
1.75 Minnesota
Minnesota outscored 50-16 last 2 games and now face Atlanta which just put up 56 against Tampa Bay. Vikings 5-1 ATS L6 after a loss.
22 25 up 3 1-2-0
(2-1-0)
1.75 Washington
Redskins are 1-2 despite winning the yardage battle in all three games including by 132 yards last week. 7-1 ATS L8 after scoring 30 or more points.
23 14 down 9 2-1-0
(2-1-0)
2 Buffalo
Buffalo drops eight slots after first loss of the season and now hits the road for 2 straight before hosting Patriots. 9-3 ATS L12 following a loss.
24 20 down 4 1-2-0
(1-2-0)
2 Miami
Dolphins head to London riding a two-game losing streak but catch the 0-3 Raiders and then their bye week. 5-2 ATS L7 off double-digit home loss.
25 24 down 1 1-2-0
(0-2-1)
2.5 N.Y. Jets
Mistakes killed the Jets for a second straight week and now face their third straight NFC North opponent. 0-8 ATS L8 after throwing for 250 or more yards.
26 18 down 8 2-1-0
(2-1-0)
2.75 Houston
Houston is 2-1 but has been outgained in all three games. Three of the next four games away after Buffalo. 1-8 ATS L9 after allowing 150 or more yards rushing.
27 27 same 1-2-0
(2-0-1)
3 Cleveland
Cleveland's three games have been decided on a game ending field goal, wrong side for two of those. On a much needed bye this week.
28 30 up 2 0-3-0
(0-3-0)
3 Tampa Bay
Second of three straight road games for Tampa Bay following blowout loss last Thursday at Atlanta. 3-9 ATS L12 after scoring 15 or fewer points.
29 28 down 1 1-2-0
(1-2-0)
3 Tennessee
Tennessee looks to break five-game losing streak against the Colts, failing to cover all five games. Titans 3-13-2 ATS L18 games vs. the AFC South.
30 26 down 4 1-2-0
(1-2-0)
3.25 St. Louis
Rams on their bye week before brutal stretch of games against Eagles, 49ers and Seahawks. Played third easiest NFL schedule thus far.
31 32 up 1 0-3-0
(2-1-0)
5.75 Oakland
Raiders one of three winless teams remaining after gallant effort at New England. Head to London this week riding 3-11-1 ATS stretch after a cover.
32 31 down 1 0-3-0
(0-3-0)
6.75 Jacksonville
Jacksonville is clearly the worst team in the league after getting outscored by 75 points through first three games. 8-21-1 ATS L30 against winning teams.
Return to the Current Week's rankings

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.