NFL Power Rankings: Week 3

By Matt Fargo - Covers Expert

The Denver Broncos take the top spot in this week's rankings and head to Seattle for some revenge in Week 3. The Saints and Colts are big droppers after sputtering out of the gate to 0-2 records.

NFL Power Rankings

Week 3 Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T
(ATS)
Power Rating Team Comments
1 2 up 1 2-0-0
(0-2-0)
-7.5 Denver
Denver takes over the top spot after a lackluster effort last week and now the Broncos head to Seattle for Super Bowl revenge. 4-1 ATS L5 road games.
2 1 down 1 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
-6.25 Seattle
Seattle drops to number two this week but can retake the top spot with a win vs. Denver at home where they have won 18 of 19. 7-1 SU L8 following a loss.
3 4 up 1 1-1-0
(0-1-1)
-4.5 Green Bay
Green Bay stays put following an 18-point rally against the Jets. Packers go to Detroit looking for revenge from 30-point loss LY. 5-1 ATS L6 meetings.
4 3 down 1 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
-4.5 San Francisco
49ers hit the road to face the 2-0 Cardinals. They have won six-straight road games including a win here last season and are 9-2 ATS L11 meetings.
5 8 up 3 2-0-0
(2-0-0)
-4.25 Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 2-0 for the first time since 2006. Final game before early bye week and then trip to New England. 10-0 ATS L10 regular season home games.
6 6 same 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
-4 New England
Patriots head home for first time after 1-1 road split. 7-2 ATS as a home favorite last season but New England just 2-6 ATS L8 as a double-digit chalk.
7 13 up 6 2-0-0
(2-0-0)
-3.25 Philadelphia
Philadelphia looks for first 3-0 start since 2004 Super Bowl season. Eagles are 1-11 ATS L12 home divisional games off non-divisional road game.
8 10 up 2 2-0-0
(2-0-0)
-2.75 Carolina
Panthers are riding an eight-game home winning streak during the regular season and have covered all seven games when favored by single digits.
9 12 up 3 2-0-0
(1-1-0)
-2.5 Arizona
The Cardinals defeated the Giants despite getting outgained by 75 yards. Arizona is 10-2 ATS L12 as home divisional dogs of three points or less.
10 20 up 10 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
-2 Chicago
Chicago makes biggest jump this week after a huge rally Sunday night to avoid first 0-2 start since 2003. Green Bay on deck next week.
11 15 up 4 1-1-0
(2-0-0)
-1.75 San Diego
San Diego will try to avoid the letdown this week but facing the undefeated Bills should have its attention. 5-0 ATS L5 away vs. winning teams.
12 7 down 5 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
-1.5 Atlanta
Atlanta must recover on a short week after awful effort in Cincinnati. The Falcons are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games after scoring less than 15 points.
13 5 down 8 0-2-0
(0-2-0)
-1.25 New Orleans
Saints are home for the first time this season following consecutive last second losses. 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS last season as home favorites.
14 16 up 2 2-0-0
(2-0-0)
-0.75 Buffalo
Buffalo looking for first 3-0 start since 2011. Catch San Diego off huge win and Bills have won yardage battle 9 of last 12 home games.
15 11 down 4 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
-0.75 Detroit
Detroit looks to bounce back at home against Green Bay where the favorite has covered four straight. 6-1 ATS L7 after scoring less than 15 points.
16 22 up 6 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
0.25 Baltimore
Baltimore playing third-straight divisional game to start the season and catch Cleveland off upset win. 1-4 ATS L5 games after Pittsburgh.
17 23 up 6 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
0.75 Dallas
Dallas is 1-1 for the fifth time in six years and it has won its third game of the season 11 straight years. 8-18 L26 games following a win.
18 25 up 7 2-0-0
(2-0-0)
0.75 Houston
Houston is 2-0 for the fifth-straight year despite getting outgained in first two games. Texans 0-10-1 ATS vs. .400 or worse NFC opponents.
19 9 down 10 0-2-0
(1-1-0)
0.75 Indianapolis
Colts tied for the biggest drop in rankings after blowing late lead vs. Eagles. Indianapolis 6-0 L6 as road favorites and 13-3 ATS L16 vs. losing teams.
20 14 down 6 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
1 Miami
Final game for Miami prior to trip to London and then its bye week. Dolphins are 12-33-1 ATS L46 home games against teams with a losing road record.
21 18 down 3 1-1-0
(0-2-0)
1.5 Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh playing second-straight primetime road game. Steelers have covered seven of last eight as road dogs vs. opponents off SU/ATS win.
22 17 down 5 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
1.75 Minnesota
Minnesota will get Adrian Peterson back this week but face the 0-2 Saints on the road. Vikings are 3-7 ATS L10 after scoring less than 15 points.
23 24 up 1 0-2-0
(1-1-0)
2.25 Kansas City
Kansas City is now 2-8 in its last 10 games after 9-0 start last season. Chiefs have covered eight of their last nine regular season road games.
24 26 up 2 1-1-0
(0-1-1)
2.25 N.Y. Jets
The Jets blew a big lead in Green Bay but they catch Chicago in a possible letdown spot. 6-0 ATS L6 home games off a loss vs. opponent off SU/ATS win.
25 28 up 3 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
2.5 Washington
The loss of RGIII should not hurt Washington following a big game from Cousins. Redskins are 0-6 ATS L6 games following a win.
26 30 up 4 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
3 St. Louis
Rams look to go over .500 after three games for first time since 2006. Bye week after Cowboys. Rams are 5-0 ATS L5 off SU underdog win.
27 29 up 2 1-1-0
(2-0-0)
3.25 Cleveland
Browns are 2-0 ATS for the first time since returning to Cleveland despite getting outgained both games. 1-5 ATS L6 home meetings with Ravens.
28 19 down 9 1-1-0
(1-1-0)
3.25 Tennessee
Tennessee has the tough task of snapping Bengals 10-game regular season home winning streak. Titans are 1-9 ATS L10 vs. teams off consecutive wins.
29 21 down 8 0-2-0
(0-2-0)
3.75 N.Y. Giants
New York is the biggest disappointment in the NFL and this game is a must win. Giants 9-3-2 ATS L14 games following a double-digit loss at home.
30 27 down 3 0-2-0
(0-2-0)
4.25 Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay first road game after two home losses by eight points total. 2-9 L11 road games but have covered 10 of last 14 meetings in Atlanta.
31 31 same 0-2-0
(0-2-0)
8.25 Jacksonville
Jaguars home for the first time this season after getting outscored 75-10 last six quarters. 4-0 ATS L4 as dogs vs. opponent off a loss as a favorite.
32 32 same 0-2-0
(1-1-0)
8.25 Oakland
Oakland on an eight-game losing streak and now travels east to face the Patriots in their home opener. Raiders 8-0-1 ATS as double-digit AFC road dogs.
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Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.