Washington @ New York picks
Yankee Stadium
WAS vs NYY Picks
MLB Picks
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Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Paul Goldschmidt’s career production against MacKenzie Gore should actually be higher than it’s been. He’s slugged .429, batted .289, and had a wOBA of .353. Elements like a barrel rate and hard-hit rate in the bottom 30% of baseball and heavy fastball usage — a pitch Goldschmidt has routinely ranked among the league’s best against. I’d play this to even money.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game.. Austin Wells has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 7 days.. Austin Wells has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 93.3-mph.
Total RBIs

Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cody Bellinger's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Aaron Judge will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Luis Gil in today's game.. Luis Garcia Jr. is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs

Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Luis Gil today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Josh Bell tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Gil.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Total RBIs

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Luis Gil in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game.. James Wood will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.