CLE @ OAK -5.5 (OAK at
home should dominate; first return home since Davis passing; look for the emotional win)
HOU @ BAL -8.5 (HOU will just be outplayed)
SF +4.5 @ DET (SF has won 9 of last 10 times they’ve played;
including last 7 straight times; SF has their #)
DAL +7 @ NE (DAL off a bye week with a rested, healthy Romo; DAL to cover a TD)
Not on my card, but might sprinkle some $$ down for IND to cover +7 @ CIN. With Painter building some confidence (I mean, give the guy a break... he's got some HUGE shoes to fill in Manning, and he's only had to pro starts), and with Manning at the sidelines patting him on the back, look for IND to start out a little slow, but turn it up 2nd half for the cover.
Leans/considerations:
BUF +3 @ NYG
MIN +3 @ CHI
NWO @ TB +5
PHI -1.5 @ WAS
MIA +7 @ NYJ
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Locked in:
CLE @ OAK -5.5 (OAK at
home should dominate; first return home since Davis passing; look for the emotional win)
HOU @ BAL -8.5 (HOU will just be outplayed)
SF +4.5 @ DET (SF has won 9 of last 10 times they’ve played;
including last 7 straight times; SF has their #)
DAL +7 @ NE (DAL off a bye week with a rested, healthy Romo; DAL to cover a TD)
Not on my card, but might sprinkle some $$ down for IND to cover +7 @ CIN. With Painter building some confidence (I mean, give the guy a break... he's got some HUGE shoes to fill in Manning, and he's only had to pro starts), and with Manning at the sidelines patting him on the back, look for IND to start out a little slow, but turn it up 2nd half for the cover.
That's one trend I like to follow. Doesn't matter the position of a team in the standings... if another team has your number, they could be in last place, but they'll find a way to beat you. All sports.
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I was surprised to see that too.
That's one trend I like to follow. Doesn't matter the position of a team in the standings... if another team has your number, they could be in last place, but they'll find a way to beat you. All sports.
You might as well give me your opinion on the rest of the games, thanks. Carolina @ Atlanta -4.0 Indianapolis @ Cincinnati -7.0 St. Louis @ Green Bay -15.0 Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh -13.0
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You might as well give me your opinion on the rest of the games, thanks. Carolina @ Atlanta -4.0 Indianapolis @ Cincinnati -7.0 St. Louis @ Green Bay -15.0 Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh -13.0
You might as well give me your opinion on the rest of the games, thanks. Carolina @ Atlanta -4.0 Indianapolis @ Cincinnati -7.0 St. Louis @ Green Bay -15.0 Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh -13.0
While I'm not touching the CAR @ ATL game (coin flip for me), I'm leaning towards CAR to come away with the win. They're 4-1 ATS this year, with two of those covers coming against NWO and GB.
Like I said earlier, I'm also liking IND to cover on the road. See why in my initial post.
PIT is a home field covering machine. They've covered the spread in 4 of their last 4 home games (week 2 PIT won by 24; week 5 PIT won by 21, at home, respectively). Not so much on the road. Look for Big Ben to make it rain.
Don't know what to say about STL @ GB. That's a large spread, far outside my comfort zone. I don't doubt that GB will come away with the win, but with a spread of -15 +/-, they're going to need to turn up the heat against a well rested STL coming off a bye.
However, not counting STL's last game against WAS, they've been getting blown out of the water being outscored 113-46, with 2 of those games coming at a loss of 15+ points, and another by 12 points.
My gut (the part of me that likes to keep things boring and safe) tells me STL to cover this for some reason (hate big spreads), but the Packers fan in me tells me GB will cover. Take it for what it's worth, and consider STL being outscored 113-46 so far this season in only 4 games.
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Quote Originally Posted by wchowdip:
You might as well give me your opinion on the rest of the games, thanks. Carolina @ Atlanta -4.0 Indianapolis @ Cincinnati -7.0 St. Louis @ Green Bay -15.0 Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh -13.0
While I'm not touching the CAR @ ATL game (coin flip for me), I'm leaning towards CAR to come away with the win. They're 4-1 ATS this year, with two of those covers coming against NWO and GB.
Like I said earlier, I'm also liking IND to cover on the road. See why in my initial post.
PIT is a home field covering machine. They've covered the spread in 4 of their last 4 home games (week 2 PIT won by 24; week 5 PIT won by 21, at home, respectively). Not so much on the road. Look for Big Ben to make it rain.
Don't know what to say about STL @ GB. That's a large spread, far outside my comfort zone. I don't doubt that GB will come away with the win, but with a spread of -15 +/-, they're going to need to turn up the heat against a well rested STL coming off a bye.
However, not counting STL's last game against WAS, they've been getting blown out of the water being outscored 113-46, with 2 of those games coming at a loss of 15+ points, and another by 12 points.
My gut (the part of me that likes to keep things boring and safe) tells me STL to cover this for some reason (hate big spreads), but the Packers fan in me tells me GB will cover. Take it for what it's worth, and consider STL being outscored 113-46 so far this season in only 4 games.
Who hasn't had Detroit's # the past couple of seasons? I think it is safe to throw all of those old trends and stats about Detroit's past out of the window. They are winning and covering against all of those teams that had their # for years. With that said, I still don't have the guts to make a play against Harbaugh and his crew.
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Who hasn't had Detroit's # the past couple of seasons? I think it is safe to throw all of those old trends and stats about Detroit's past out of the window. They are winning and covering against all of those teams that had their # for years. With that said, I still don't have the guts to make a play against Harbaugh and his crew.
There are some trends worth following in the NFL but the 9rs beating the Lions 9 of the past 10 times isn't much of a feat in the past 10 years. Before this year you can probably find many teams with that trend against them. Or close to it. Plus, if it were the same coaches playing against each other for the past 10 years I'd go with that as well. But for an historically bad team to get beat by an ok team or better 9 of 10 times really doesn't say a lot.
On that note I'm having a hard time deciding on this game myself, but I will go only on how the teams are playing this year when I cap it.
Again not trying to bash just throwing in my two cents.
GL hope you win
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Just playing Devil's advocate here.
There are some trends worth following in the NFL but the 9rs beating the Lions 9 of the past 10 times isn't much of a feat in the past 10 years. Before this year you can probably find many teams with that trend against them. Or close to it. Plus, if it were the same coaches playing against each other for the past 10 years I'd go with that as well. But for an historically bad team to get beat by an ok team or better 9 of 10 times really doesn't say a lot.
On that note I'm having a hard time deciding on this game myself, but I will go only on how the teams are playing this year when I cap it.
Again not trying to bash just throwing in my two cents.
I hear you guys... I don't tend to base any picks on outdated stats myself, but with SF at 4-1, and DET at 5-0, they're pretty much on even playing fields. With that said, I start finding other trends to create a percentage based decision, and a team winning the last 9 out of 10 games gave SF the advantage in my eyes.
It will be a QB dual with both QB's having 100+ rating's. Just my opinion.
@Gameover168: I'm not sure what NT is...
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I hear you guys... I don't tend to base any picks on outdated stats myself, but with SF at 4-1, and DET at 5-0, they're pretty much on even playing fields. With that said, I start finding other trends to create a percentage based decision, and a team winning the last 9 out of 10 games gave SF the advantage in my eyes.
It will be a QB dual with both QB's having 100+ rating's. Just my opinion.
CLE @ OAK -5.5 (OAK at
home should dominate; first return home since Davis passing; look for the emotional win)
HOU @ BAL -8.5 (HOU will just be outplayed)
SF +4.5 @ DET (SF has won 9 of last 10 times they’ve played;
including last 7 straight times; SF has their #)
DAL +7 @ NE (DAL off a bye week with a rested, healthy Romo; DAL to cover a TD)
Not on my card, but might sprinkle some $$ down for IND to cover +7 @ CIN. With Painter building some confidence (I mean, give the guy a break... he's got some HUGE shoes to fill in Manning, and he's only had to pro starts), and with Manning at the sidelines patting him on the back, look for IND to start out a little slow, but turn it up 2nd half for the cover.
Leans/considerations:
BUF +3 @ NYG
MIN +3 @ CHI
NWO @ TB +5
PHI -1.5 @ WAS
MIA +7 @ NYJ
I like your plays this week; however, I would reconsider the INDY +7, that is one of my Top Plays with a ( 3:1 ) Ratio using my System, also I need you to accept my Friend request, so I can reply......
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Quote Originally Posted by mrMarcus:
Locked in:
CLE @ OAK -5.5 (OAK at
home should dominate; first return home since Davis passing; look for the emotional win)
HOU @ BAL -8.5 (HOU will just be outplayed)
SF +4.5 @ DET (SF has won 9 of last 10 times they’ve played;
including last 7 straight times; SF has their #)
DAL +7 @ NE (DAL off a bye week with a rested, healthy Romo; DAL to cover a TD)
Not on my card, but might sprinkle some $$ down for IND to cover +7 @ CIN. With Painter building some confidence (I mean, give the guy a break... he's got some HUGE shoes to fill in Manning, and he's only had to pro starts), and with Manning at the sidelines patting him on the back, look for IND to start out a little slow, but turn it up 2nd half for the cover.
Leans/considerations:
BUF +3 @ NYG
MIN +3 @ CHI
NWO @ TB +5
PHI -1.5 @ WAS
MIA +7 @ NYJ
I like your plays this week; however, I would reconsider the INDY +7, that is one of my Top Plays with a ( 3:1 ) Ratio using my System, also I need you to accept my Friend request, so I can reply......
I hear ya on those games. I've decided to steer away from the IND game all together. I couldn't make a solid decision, and there's plenty of other games. For the record, I like IND to not only cover, but to win SU
Also agree with you on the PHI @ WAS. Those were just my early leans, but have reconsidered this game as of today after a little more digging/archiving. Might throw down some ducket on WAS if I feel up to it.
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I hear ya on those games. I've decided to steer away from the IND game all together. I couldn't make a solid decision, and there's plenty of other games. For the record, I like IND to not only cover, but to win SU
Also agree with you on the PHI @ WAS. Those were just my early leans, but have reconsidered this game as of today after a little more digging/archiving. Might throw down some ducket on WAS if I feel up to it.
I like your plays this week; however, I would reconsider the INDY +7, that is one of my Top Plays with a ( 3:1 ) Ratio using my System, also I need you to accept my Friend request, so I can reply......
I don't see a friend request in my control panel. Send again please.
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Quote Originally Posted by ChrisGreene:
I like your plays this week; however, I would reconsider the INDY +7, that is one of my Top Plays with a ( 3:1 ) Ratio using my System, also I need you to accept my Friend request, so I can reply......
I don't see a friend request in my control panel. Send again please.
8-1 for Sunday... super pissed that I talked myself out of my original lean in favour of PHI. Read too much into the game, and listened to too many outsiders, and ended up switching 'last minute' to WAS, otherwise, would have gone a perfect 9-0!
This brings me to 15-1 ATS (so far) for weeks 5 & 6.
Let's go MIA to cover! Daddy needs a new sets of golf clubs!
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8-1 for Sunday... super pissed that I talked myself out of my original lean in favour of PHI. Read too much into the game, and listened to too many outsiders, and ended up switching 'last minute' to WAS, otherwise, would have gone a perfect 9-0!
This brings me to 15-1 ATS (so far) for weeks 5 & 6.
Let's go MIA to cover! Daddy needs a new sets of golf clubs!
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