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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    ***GWarner27's 8/9 MLB Picks (84-91-4 48% YTD)***

    GWarner27
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 311
    Posts: 2
     
    GWarner27
    GWarner27
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 20963
    Posted: Aug. 9, 2012 - 12:42 AM ET #1

    +3.807

    Dogs 49-54 +8.971
    Favs 13-12 -1.391
    RLs 0-0 +0.00
    1st 5 3-5-1 -2.15
    Over 6-13-3 -7.61
    Under 11-7 +3.75
    Team Totals 0-0 +0.00
    Parlay 2-0 +2.237

    April 23-19-1 +6.88
    May 20-26 -2.823
    June 18-14-1 +5.491
    July 20-21-2 +1.421
    August 3-11 -7.162
    September 0-0 +0.00
    October 0-0 +0.00

    Futures:
    New York NL UNDER 84.5 (-125): 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20

    Notes:
    -Can't feel bad for myself anymore, just going to have to make some changes because what had me up over 16U isn't working anymore. I'll summarize how bad the streak was once I have a reasonable turnaround, but i've had one winning day since 7/29
    -Mets got smoked, lone bright spot of the day
    -Cards struggled to hit early and then Joe Kelly fell apart (aided by an error on a taylor-made DP ball to 2B)
    -Clayton Richard tossed a shutout when I had an over. Watching the Cubs and Pads strand so many runners at 3rd was infuriating. I like the Padres a lot because I think they have good players, but it's pretty inexcusable to see what they couldn't do against Samardzija. Cubs didn't do much either
    -Greinke walked 5 in an inning and my under umpire got his bell rung on a Greinke/Ianetta miscommunication that ended up shrinking the zone. He did ring up two guys on the 2nd strike before being replaced by 2B ump Iassogna. LAA lineup too good for the rookie to get through more than once and the ball jumped yesterday in a park where that only happens during the day (shouldn't have let myself back Miller so recklessly)
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    +3.807

    Dogs 49-54 +8.971
    Favs 13-12 -1.391
    RLs 0-0 +0.00
    1st 5 3-5-1 -2.15
    Over 6-13-3 -7.61
    Under 11-7 +3.75
    Team Totals 0-0 +0.00
    Parlay 2-0 +2.237

    April 23-19-1 +6.88
    May 20-26 -2.823
    June 18-14-1 +5.491
    July 20-21-2 +1.421
    August 3-11 -7.162
    September 0-0 +0.00
    October 0-0 +0.00

    Futures:
    New York NL UNDER 84.5 (-125): 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20

    Notes:
    -Can't feel bad for myself anymore, just going to have to make some changes because what had me up over 16U isn't working anymore. I'll summarize how bad the streak was once I have a reasonable turnaround, but i've had one winning day since 7/29
    -Mets got smoked, lone bright spot of the day
    -Cards struggled to hit early and then Joe Kelly fell apart (aided by an error on a taylor-made DP ball to 2B)
    -Clayton Richard tossed a shutout when I had an over. Watching the Cubs and Pads strand so many runners at 3rd was infuriating. I like the Padres a lot because I think they have good players, but it's pretty inexcusable to see what they couldn't do against Samardzija. Cubs didn't do much either
    -Greinke walked 5 in an inning and my under umpire got his bell rung on a Greinke/Ianetta miscommunication that ended up shrinking the zone. He did ring up two guys on the 2nd strike before being replaced by 2B ump Iassogna. LAA lineup too good for the rookie to get through more than once and the ball jumped yesterday in a park where that only happens during the day (shouldn't have let myself back Miller so recklessly)
     
     
    GWarner27
    GWarner27
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 20963
    Posted: Aug. 9, 2012 - 12:49 AM ET #2

    Full-game losers when 1st 5 hit: 3
    1st 5 losers when full-game hit: 1
    Wins given away for lower juice: 1
    Blown Saves in 9th or later: 9 (Francisco (2), League, Hanrahan, Perkins, Johnson, Casilla, Frieri, Isringhausen)

    Thursday guesses:
    NYM -145/7.5 jd
    StL -125/7.5o15 bw
    PIT -125/8u15 sr
    CHC +140 Lv
    HOU +160/7.5o15 zh
    DET -125/8u15 kf
    TB -170/7.5u15 am
    BAL -200/7.5o15 sc
    CLE +120/8.5 bj

    interests:
    CHC over
    HOU ML
    DET under
    KC ML
    BOS ML

    hopes:
    HOU +185
    DET u9
    KC +195
    BOS -110

    plan to lean:
    HOU +175
    DET u8
    BOS -120
    KC +180

    umpires:
    TB: Johnson (over)
    HOU: Hickox (neutral to over)
    NYM: Barry (neutral to over)
    DET: Tichenor (neutral)
    PIT: Marquez (over)
    StL: Runge (under)

    updated plan to leans:
    HOU +175
    DET u8
    BOS -120
    KC +180

    Leans (53-68 2H, 2-3 yesterday):
    Bal u8.5: pending
    Nym o6.5: Barry

    On the radar:
    Det u9: Tichenor
    Hou +169

    Locked in:
    San Francisco-St. Louis UNDER 7.5 (-110)

    -Didn't want to pay 20 cents for the u8, but I will take the reasonable juice on 7.5 with Runge giving two good pitchers a big zone. Wainwright struggled in a day game in at&t park thanks to a bunch of errors in the first inning, but I think he's a much better pitcher now and Bumgarner can limit any lineup in the world. I expect both starters to go deep in this one, which hopefully means little SF bullpen if we can get a home win in regulation. This was all written before watching the game, needless to say I doubt I see the Giants scoring 15 runs again nor performing as well when they've clinched a split. The only "good" bullpen used was Boggs as Rzepcynksi only threw 8 pitches, so 15 runs wasn't as damaging as expected. Furcal should be back to help on defense, though he's a plus offensively.
    Reply
    Full-game losers when 1st 5 hit: 3
    1st 5 losers when full-game hit: 1
    Wins given away for lower juice: 1
    Blown Saves in 9th or later: 9 (Francisco (2), League, Hanrahan, Perkins, Johnson, Casilla, Frieri, Isringhausen)

    Thursday guesses:
    NYM -145/7.5 jd
    StL -125/7.5o15 bw
    PIT -125/8u15 sr
    CHC +140 Lv
    HOU +160/7.5o15 zh
    DET -125/8u15 kf
    TB -170/7.5u15 am
    BAL -200/7.5o15 sc
    CLE +120/8.5 bj

    interests:
    CHC over
    HOU ML
    DET under
    KC ML
    BOS ML

    hopes:
    HOU +185
    DET u9
    KC +195
    BOS -110

    plan to lean:
    HOU +175
    DET u8
    BOS -120
    KC +180

    umpires:
    TB: Johnson (over)
    HOU: Hickox (neutral to over)
    NYM: Barry (neutral to over)
    DET: Tichenor (neutral)
    PIT: Marquez (over)
    StL: Runge (under)

    updated plan to leans:
    HOU +175
    DET u8
    BOS -120
    KC +180

    Leans (53-68 2H, 2-3 yesterday):
    Bal u8.5: pending
    Nym o6.5: Barry

    On the radar:
    Det u9: Tichenor
    Hou +169

    Locked in:
    San Francisco-St. Louis UNDER 7.5 (-110)

    -Didn't want to pay 20 cents for the u8, but I will take the reasonable juice on 7.5 with Runge giving two good pitchers a big zone. Wainwright struggled in a day game in at&t park thanks to a bunch of errors in the first inning, but I think he's a much better pitcher now and Bumgarner can limit any lineup in the world. I expect both starters to go deep in this one, which hopefully means little SF bullpen if we can get a home win in regulation. This was all written before watching the game, needless to say I doubt I see the Giants scoring 15 runs again nor performing as well when they've clinched a split. The only "good" bullpen used was Boggs as Rzepcynksi only threw 8 pitches, so 15 runs wasn't as damaging as expected. Furcal should be back to help on defense, though he's a plus offensively.
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