Preview: Vanderbilt at Missouri

When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, November 12, 2016
Where: Faurot Field, Columbia, Missouri


Missouri’s best chance at picking up an SEC victory comes Saturday when the struggling Tigers host Vanderbilt in a matchup of SEC East bottom-feeders. The Tigers have lost five straight and remain winless in conference play, while the Commodores need to win two of their last three games to reach bowl eligibility. 



The Tigers have struggled mightily in coach Barry Odom’s first season at the helm and are in danger of going winless in league play just two years after winning their second consecutive SEC East title. Vanderbilt is trending in the other direction, showing it can compete with the league’s powers, but is stinging from yet another moral victory in last week’s 23-16 loss at Auburn. “We’ve been there enough times that we need to take it home,” Vanderbilt coach Derek Mason told reporters. “Respect comes with winning. If we win more, we get a different type of respect.” The Commodores knocked off Missouri 10-3 last season in Nashville, evening the series at 2-2 since the Tigers joined the SEC. 

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, SEC Network. LINE: Missouri -3.5. 



ABOUT VANDERBILT (4-5, 1-4 SEC): The Commodores’ biggest turnaround from a year ago is in their ability to protect the ball, as they have allowed an SEC-low eight turnovers and rank second in the league with a plus-6 turnover margin. The offense doesn’t put up big numbers, but running back Ralph Webb has been effective and quarterback Kyle Shurmur has managed the offense well. Zach Cunningham leads a solid defense with 13 1/2 tackles for loss among his team-high 94 stops and will be a challenge for a Missouri offense that allows the fewest tackles for loss in the nation.

ABOUT MISSOURI (2-7, 0-5): The Tigers have reversed the script from last season, as they have moved the ball effectively under first-year offensive coordinator Josh Heupel but have been unable to come up with defensive stops. Freshman running back Damarea Crockett has emerged as a strong complement to the passing game led by sophomore Drew Lock, who leads the SEC with 19 touchdown passes and ranks second with 2,517 yards despite an up-and-down season. Missouri has allowed 31 or more points in every game during its five-game skid and has been gashed on the ground during that stretch.



EXTRA POINTS

1. The Commodores have scored on their opening possession in three straight games and are 3-2 when doing so this season. 

2. Missouri P Corey Fatony has allowed only 57 yards of punt returns all season on 53 punts. 

3. Vanderbilt’s Darrius Sims needs just 17 yards to break Mark Johnson’s school record for career kickoff return yards. 



PREDICTION: Vanderbilt 24, Missouri 20


Stats and Records

Team Comparison

  W/L Strk PF PA Home Away Grass Turf Conf
Vanderbilt 4-5 L1 20.2 21.6 2-2 2-3 1-3 0-0 1-4
Missouri 2-7 L5 31.8 30.4 2-3 0-4 0-3 0-0 0-5

Last Meeting

Vanderbilt Missouri
Date Away Home Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
10/24/15 MIZZ 3 VAN 10 304 168 136 188 80 108

Player Stats

Previous Matchup
Passing Player COMP% YDS TD INT
VAN K. Shurmur 50.0 89 0 0
MIZZ D. Lock 41.2 108 0 0
Rushing Player CAR YDS AVG TD
VAN R. Webb 26 99 3.8 1
MIZZ D. Lock 8 39 4.9 0
Receiving Player REC YDS AVG TD
VAN T. Sherfield 5 35 7.0 0
MIZZ W. Leftwich 3 38 12.7 0
TDs Player TD
VAN R. Webb 1
MIZZ C. Abbington 0
Season
Passing Player COMP% YDS TD INT
VAN K. Shurmur 55.1 1310 5 4
MIZZ D. Lock 54.3 2517 19 8
Rushing Player CAR YDS AVG TD
VAN R. Webb 177 901 5.1 6
MIZZ D. Crockett 109 683 6.3 8
Receiving Player REC YDS AVG TD
VAN C. Duncan 28 304 10.9 0
MIZZ J. Moore 39 605 15.5 6
TDs Player TD
VAN K. Blasingame 7
MIZZ D. Crockett 8

Quickchart Matchup

Vanderbilt Off vs  Missouri Def
312.2 yards
469.1 yards
4.2 yards/rush
5.2 yards/rush
5.5 yards/attempt
6.5 yards/attempt
Missouri Off vs  Vanderbilt Def
487.3 yards
396.7 yards
4.7 yards/rush
4.8 yards/rush
7.8 yards/attempt
7 yards/attempt

Matchup Stats - Full Matchup

Vanderbilt Overall Missouri
4-5-0 W/L 2-7-0
5-4-0 ATS 3-6-0
3-5-1 O/U 5-4-0
20.2 Pts For 31.8
21.6 Pts Against 30.4
Vanderbilt A/H Missouri
2-3 W/L 2-3
3-2-0 ATS 3-2-0
1-3-1 O/U 4-1-0
16.8 Pts For 46.6
25.4 Pts Against 27.0