Preview: Stanford at California

When: 5:30 PM ET, Saturday, November 19, 2016
Where: Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, California


Stanford looks to continue its recent dominance over California on Saturday as the teams meet in Berkeley for the 119th Big Game. The Cardinal have won six in a row against the struggling Golden Bears and head into Saturday’s matchup on a high note after setting a season-high point total in last week’s 52-27 victory over Oregon.

Stanford running back Christian McCaffrey’s season has fallen short of expectations due to injury, but the dynamic junior has jump-started the Cardinal offense by rushing for 523 yards during his team’s current three-game winning streak. McCaffrey surpassed 1,000 yards rushing for the second consecutive season last week when he had 218 all-purpose yards against the Ducks. The Cardinal offense also has received a spark from junior quarterback Keller Chryst, who is 3-0 since taking over the starting job and turned in his best performance last week by completing 19-of-26 passes for 258 yards and three touchdowns in Eugene. Chryst should be in good position to build on those numbers against a Cal team that has lost three in a row by a combined score of 167-72 and must win its final two games to reach six victories and gain bowl eligibility.

TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network. LINE: Stanford -10.5

ABOUT STANFORD (7-3, 5-3 Pac-12): The Cardinal averaged 20 points a game before erupting for 540 yards of total offense against the Ducks thanks to Chryst’s breakout performance and the duo of McCaffrey and Bryce Love, who have combined for 752 yards rushing in the past three games. Look for another balanced attack in the Big Game against a Cal defense that ranks second-to-last in the FBS against the run, allowing 283.4 yards per game. The Bears boast a strong offense capable of explosive plays but will have to contend with a stellar Stanford frontline led by Solomon Thomas, who has a team-high 46 tackles and seven sacks.

ABOUT CAL (4-6, 2-5): Quarterback Davis Webb is second in the conference in passing yards (360.1) and total offense (350.2) with 33 touchdown passes, but the Bears lack a solid running game and struggled in the red zone in last week’s 56-21 loss at Washington State. The receiving corps includes junior Chad Hansen, who leads the league in receiving with 75 catches for 979 yards and nine touchdowns, along with impressive freshmen Melquise Stovall and Demetris Robinson. The porous defense has allowed an average of 52.6 points over the last five games with several walk-ons pressed into starting duty following a rash of injuries.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Stanford leads the all-time series 61-46-11, including 26-21-6 in Berkeley.

2. Cal has won eight of its last 10 home games.

3. McCaffrey (3,434) is 89 yards away from passing Toby Gerhart (3,522) for third on Stanford’s career rushing yards chart.

PREDICTION: Stanford 38, Cal 24

Stats and Records

Team Comparison

  W/L Strk PF PA Home Away Grass Turf Conf
Stanford 7-3 W3 23.1 19.4 3-2 4-1 6-2 0-0 5-3
California 4-6 L3 37.8 45.6 3-1 1-5 1-3 0-0 2-5

Last Meeting

Stanford California
Date Away Home Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
11/21/15 CAL 22 STAN 35 356 260 96 495 98 397

Player Stats

Previous Matchup
Passing Player COMP% YDS TD INT
STAN K. Hogan 58.3 96 1 0
CAL J. Goff 68.5 386 2 0
Rushing Player CAR YDS AVG TD
STAN C. McCaffrey 29 192 6.6 0
CAL T. Watson 14 87 6.2 0
Receiving Player REC YDS AVG TD
STAN C. McCaffrey 1 49 49.0 1
CAL B. Treggs 7 102 14.6 1
TDs Player TD
STAN C. McCaffrey 2
CAL D. Powe 1
Season
Passing Player COMP% YDS TD INT
STAN R. Burns 62.3 1065 5 7
CAL D. Webb 61.4 3601 33 12
Rushing Player CAR YDS AVG TD
STAN C. McCaffrey 192 1115 5.8 9
CAL K. Muhammad 112 676 6.0 2
Receiving Player REC YDS AVG TD
STAN T. Irwin 34 395 11.6 0
CAL C. Hansen 75 979 13.1 9
TDs Player TD
STAN C. McCaffrey 11
CAL C. Hansen 9

Quickchart Matchup

Stanford Off vs  California Def
340.7 yards
540.5 yards
4.8 yards/rush
6.2 yards/rush
6.3 yards/attempt
7.5 yards/attempt
California Off vs  Stanford Def
517.9 yards
361.3 yards
4.7 yards/rush
4.2 yards/rush
7 yards/attempt
7.2 yards/attempt

Matchup Stats - Full Matchup

Stanford Overall California
7-3-0 W/L 4-6-0
6-4-0 ATS 4-6-0
3-7-0 O/U 7-3-0
23.1 Pts For 37.8
19.4 Pts Against 45.6
Stanford A/H California
4-1 W/L 3-1
4-1-0 ATS 3-1-0
2-3-0 O/U 3-1-0
26.2 Pts For 39.2
20.8 Pts Against 45.2