HBO's 'Hard Knocks' series has produced some crazy NFL betting trends

Apr 19, 2017 |
“Hard Knocks” teams are 26-19 SU and 24-17-3 ATS through the first four weeks of the regular season, boasting a 16-7-2 ATS record as underdogs and are 11-1-1 ATS coming off a loss in that span.
Photo By - USA Today Images
“Hard Knocks” teams are 26-19 SU and 24-17-3 ATS through the first four weeks of the regular season, boasting a 16-7-2 ATS record as underdogs and are 11-1-1 ATS coming off a loss in that span.
Photo By - USA Today Images

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be featured in HBO’s NFL reality series “Hard Knocks” this upcoming season.

While being featured on the show, which follows a team through training camp and preseason action, hasn't necessarily been a death sentence for previous franchises, Bucs bettors should be cautious heading into the new season.

The past 11 teams featured on “Hard Knocks” haven’t fared all that well in the regular season, combining to go 86-90 straight up and 83-88-5 against the spread, including a 3-7-1 ATS mark in Week 1 of the schedule (30 percent). They’ve also gone a collective 19-24 SU and 15-24 ATS in the preseason with the HBO cameras rolling.

According to Covers Expert Marc Lawrence, however, “Hard Knocks” teams are 26-19 SU and 24-17-3 ATS through the first four weeks of the regular season, boasting a 16-7-2 ATS record as underdogs and are 11-1-1 ATS coming off a loss in that span.

Last year’s featured team, the Los Angeles Rams, played right into these above betting trends. Los Angeles went 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS in the preseason and went just 4-12 SU and 4-11-1 ATS in the regular season. The Rams, in their first year back in Southern California, were blown out by San Francisco in Week 1, losing 28-0 as 2.5-point road favorites in Week 1 but preceded to win and cover in their next three games – all of which as underdogs.

Here’s a look at the past 11 teams featured on HBO’s “Hard Knocks” and their betting records:

2001 Baltimore Ravens: 10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS/ 1-2 SU and ATS preseason
2002 Dallas Cowboys: 5-11 SU, 7-8-1 ATS/ 3-1 SU and ATS preseason
2007 Kansas City Chiefs: 4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS/ 0-4 SU and ATS preseason
2008 Dallas Cowboys: 9-7 SU, 7-9 ATS/ 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS preseason
2009 Cincinnati Bengals: 10-6 SU, 7-9 ATS/ 2-2 SU and ATS preseason
2010 New York Jets: 11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS/ 2-2 SU and ATS preseason
2012 Miami Dolphins: 7-9 SU, 8-8 ATS/ 0-4 SU and ATS preseason
2013 Cincinnati Bengals: 11-5 SU, 10-5-1 ATS/3-1 SU and ATS preseason
2014 Atlanta Falcons: 6-10 SU, 7-9 ATS/2-2 SU and ATS preseason
2015 Houston Texans: 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS/2-2 SU and ATS preseason
2016 Los Angeles Rams: 4-12 SU, 4-11-1 ATS/2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS preseason

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