WNBA MVP odds are shifting quickly with the season into week three and sportsbooks are predicting another strong campaign from reigning Finals MVP A'ja Wilson.
The future Hall-of-Famer led one of the league's superteams to the promise land last season after closing as the regular-season MVP favorite, and anomalously finishing third on a ridiculously close final ballot.
Should bettors gear up for a close race between three of the W's elite?
Or can rookie sensation Caitlin Clark still challenge for the crown? Let's take a look at the WNBA odds to win Most Valuable Player in 2024.
Odds to win WNBA MVP award in 2024
| Player | Team |  |
|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson |  Las Vegas Aces |
-105 |
| Alyssa Thomas |  Connecticut Sun |
+700 |
| Napheesa Collier |  Minnesota Lynx |
+750 |
| Arike Ogunbowale |  Dallas Wings |
+1,300 |
| Breanna Stewart |  New York Liberty |
+1,300 |
| Kahleah Copper |  Phoenix Mercury |
+1,300 |
| Jackie Young | Las Vegas Aces |
+2,800 |
| Jewell Loyd |  Seattle Storm |
+4,400 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | Seattle Storm |
+4,400 |
Odds as of 5-27-2024.
Favorites to win the 2024 WNBA MVP award
A'ja Wilson (-105)
A'ja Wilson's bid to repeat as MVP, and win a third overall, fell short in a controversial manner, but she got an important measure of revenge, eviscerating everything in her path en route to a second WNBA championship.
Wilson lifted a shorthanded Las Vegas Aces squad on both sides of the ball in the Finals, fending off a New York superteam led by MVP winner Breanna Stewart (more on her in a minute).
Minus the recently-retired Candace Parker, the Aces gang's back together to go for the three-peat, so there's no reason to assume anything other than Wilson being the best player on the WNBA's best team this season. Slotting her as the early favorite is only logical.
Through four games, Wilson's done little to suggest she's easing into the season, with a line of 25.5/12.8/2.2 blocks, placing her Top-4 league-wide in all three categories.
Alyssa Thomas (+700)
Alyssa Thomas snuck into the runner-up spot in last year's MVP voting, and while her leapfrogging Wilson was controversial, she's clearly established herself in the WNBA's very top tier.
The Sun's do-it-all forward has started the season averaging a near triple-double at 15.4/9.6/7.8, leading Connecticut to a perfect 5-0 record. Her tenacious defense remains another calling card, sitting just outside the Top 15 in steals (she finished third last year, expect positive regression after early-season noise).
While the Sun will have a lot to compete with narrative-wise going up against the Aces and Liberty superteams, Thomas has seen the market move noticeably in her favor this week, with her odds shortening to +700.
Napheesa Collier (+750)
If you follow the WNBA as closely as our resident WNBA expert Jason Logan you wouldn't be shocked to see Napheesa Collier jumping into the Top 3 in terms of MVP odds.
The Minnesota Lynx superstar has been a standout this season, leading the Lynx to a 3-1 record which puts them atop the Western Conference.
While it's early, Collier is averaging a double-double through four games, notching 23 points and 10.4 rebounds per game — both Top 4 marks in the WNBA.
She leads the league in steals per game at 2.8 and is second in minutes averaging nearly 37 minutes per game.
As the Collier goes so will the Lynx, which is why she's vaulted up into MVP contention early in the season.
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Caitlin Clark odds to win MVP
Of course, we'd be remiss if we didn't mention Caitlin Clark odds for MVP, after she spent the past couple of years shattering the internet, along with every scoring record in college basketball.
Suspense spared, the Indiana Fever made Clark the No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA Draft, and she'll team with 2023 Rookie of the Year Aliyah Boston to form what has all the makings of a devastating inside-out combo.
FanDuel opening her as the eighth choice for MVP odds (+2,100) before she'd played a single WNBA game is a testament to just how high expectations are. And the bar rose even higher in the weeks that followed, with Clark steaming all the way up to third choice at +950 — bested only by the two past winners.
However, despite what by many standards would be an impressive debut for a rookie, Clark has seen her MVP stock freefall over the past week, currently paying +6,500 as the 12th choice after the Fever started 1-6 and defenses went all-out to blitz her at the point of attack, limiting her ability to rain terror from long range.
Things should only get easier for Clark as she continues to navigate the pro game, but it's safe to say that all the public money coming in on her preseason was a tad optimistic.
Odds to win WNBA Rookie of the Year in 2024
The Indiana Fever naturally made Clark the No. 1 pick in April 15's WNBA Draft, and the phenom is opening the first WNBA Rookie of the Year odds markets at major sportsbooks as a massive -950 favorite.
| Player | Team | |
|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark |  Indiana Fever |
-650 |
| Cameron Brink |  Los Angeles Sparks |
+850 |
| Angel Reese |  Chicago Sky |
+1,200 |
| Rickea Jackson | Los Angeles Sparks |
+3,000 |
| Aaliyah Edwards |  Washington Mystics |
+7,500 |
| Jacy Sheldon | Dallas Wings |
+10,000 |
Odds as of 5-27-2024.
Understanding WNBA MVP odds
Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. If a player becomes a very strong favorite, their odds will be listed with a minus (-) sign ahead of the number.
- A'ja Wilson -110
The (-) means that Wilson is an odds-on favorite, and a bettor needs to wager $110 to win $100. Other contenders in the MVP race have plus (+) odds to win.
- Breanna Stewart +300
Here, a bettor stands to profit $300 for a $100 wager on Stewart if she wins the award.
If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.
WNBA MVP odds trends
Here are some trends you'll want to keep in mind when betting on WNBA MVP odds:
- WNBA MVP has historically been a big woman's award. Diana Taurasi (2009) is the only pure guard to win since Cynthia Cooper (1997, '98).
- Repeat winners are quite common, with eight players having won two or more MVP trophies in the award's 27-year history.
- Seeding seems to be of increasing importance recently, with six of the past seven MVP winners being from the league's No. 1 overall seed. The lone exception's team finished second (Stewart, 2023).
Popular basketball futures odds
WNBA MVP history
A quick look at the last 10 WNBA MVPs, their position, and the team they played for. Stewart's 2023 win joins A'ja Wilson and Elena Delle Donne as repeat winners this decade.
| Year | Player | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Breanna Stewart |  New York |
Forward |
| 2022 | A'ja Wilson |  Las Vegas |
Forward |
| 2021 | Jonquel Jones | Connecticut |
Forward |
| 2020 | A'ja Wilson | Las Vegas |
Forward |
| 2019 | Elena Delle Donne | Washington |
Forward |
| 2018 | Breanna Stewart | Seattle |
Forward |
| 2017 | Sylvia Fowles | Minnesota |
Center |
| 2016 | Nneka Ogwumike | Los Angeles |
Forward |
| 2015 | Elena Delle Donne | Chicago |
Forward |
| 2014 | Maya Moore | Minnesota |
Forward |
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WNBA MVP odds FAQ
Breanna Stewart and A'ja Wilson were the WNBA MVP favorites in 2024.
Breanna Stewart of the New York Liberty won the 2023 WNBA MVP.
Sheryl Swoopes, Lisa Leslie, and Lauren Jackson each have three career WNBA MVPs.
Clark is listed as the fourth choice at +1,400 to win MVP.
