The World Cup 2026 is whittling down, with two major players squaring off tonight as Mexico hosts England.
To help you fill out your wagers for this match, we've polled our soccer experts for their favorite World Cup picks for tonight's game — here are our Mexico vs. England expert picks, with the action kicking off at 8 p.m. ET at Estadio Banorte, with the TV broadcast on FOX.
Mexico vs Ecuador expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Chris Vasile: Mexico to advance - YES |
+104 |
 Jason Ence: Mexico to advance - YES |
+104 |
 Sam Farley: Harry Kane to score a goal - YES |
+133 |
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Chris Vasile's expert pick: Mexico to advance - YES
Kalshi probability: 48%
American odds: +108
Mexico offers intriguing value to reach the quarterfinals. The Azteca remains one of the toughest venues in world football, and asking England to win there at altitude is a massive challenge. El Tri has lost just twice in its last 89 matches at the stadium and is unbeaten in 10 World Cup games there.
England also remains heavily reliant on Harry Kane for goals, and if Mexico can keep him quiet, the Three Lions may struggle to find enough attacking production to advance.
Jason Ence's expert pick: Mexico to advance - YES
Kalshi probability: 48%
American odds: +108
40 years after the Hand of God, England's horror story in Mexico City will gain a new chapter.
I have been eyeing this matchup since before the tournament began and am even more bullish on England coming home after the Round of 16. Thomas Tuchel's decision to not include Cole Palmer, Morgan Gibbs-White, or Trent Alexander-Arnold was concerning before the tournament began — now it's a full-blown weakness.
Mexico's been outstanding defensively, and Julian Quinones is set to exploit England's right-sided defense with his pace and playmaking ability.
The Azteca will be rocking, the temperature will be brutal... and only one of these sides is built for the high elevation and weather conditions.
Sam Farley's expert pick: Harry Kane to score a goal - YES
Kalshi probability: 43%
American odds: +133
The numbers speak for themselves.
Kane has scored five goals in four games and is averaging 4.58 shots per 90 minutes played — with 2.29 on target. With Mexico likely to play more open and expansive than England’s past three opponents , who’ve sat in a low-block, the game should present more chances for Kane.
This shouldn’t be plus money.
More World Cup picks
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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