There's one more night of WNBA action before the All-Star break, and Wednesday's six-game slate offers plenty of opportunities in the player prop market.
Rather than forcing a card full of Overs, I'm looking for value wherever the numbers take me. Sophie Cunningham and Bridget Carleton are in position to capitalize on favorable matchups, while Jonquel Jones finds herself in a spot where the Under offers the better betting angle.
Here are my favorite WNBA player props and WNBA picks for Wednesday, July 22.
Top WNBA player prop bets for today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Sophie Cunningham |
Over 1.5 threes | -115 |
 Jonquel Jones |
Under 1.5 threes | +110 |
 Bridget Carleton |
Over 2.5 threes | +110 |
Sophie Cunningham Over 1.5 threes (-115)
🟢Cunningham has gone Over in 3 of her last 4 games
Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell will command most of the attention in the Indiana Fever backcourt, but I'm looking a little further down the board for value with Sophie Cunningham.
The veteran sharpshooter has carved out an important role in the Fever rotation, providing instant offense and reliable floor spacing off the bench. She's shooting an impressive 43% from beyond the arc this season and has eclipsed this number in three of her last four games. Just as importantly, the opportunities have been there, as Cunningham has attempted at least four 3-pointers in four of her last five outings.
The Connecticut Sun have struggled to contain opposing perimeter shooters all season. The Sun are allowing opponents to shoot 35% from 3-point range — the third-highest percentage in the WNBA — and have consistently given up production to opposing guards on the perimeter.
With Clark and Mitchell likely drawing the bulk of Connecticut's defensive attention, Cunningham should see her share of quality catch-and-shoot opportunities. At plus volume and an affordable line of just 1.5 makes, I like her chances of knocking down at least two triples before the All-Star break.
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: USA Network, TSN
Jonquel Jones Under 1.5 threes (-125)
🟢Jones has gone Under in 2 of her last 3 games
This number feels a little too high given both Jones' role and the matchup.
While Jonquel Jones has gone Under this total in two of her last three games, the biggest reason I'm backing the Under is the Chicago Sky's defensive profile. The Sky do an outstanding job of taking away the 3-point line, allowing opponents to score just 24% of their points from beyond the arc — the second-lowest rate in the WNBA. They're equally stingy against opposing centers, surrendering an average of just one made 3-pointer per game to the position.
Jones isn't the type of player who hunts shots from the perimeter. New York has plenty of established shooters to stretch the floor, leaving Jones to do most of her work around the basket, on the glass, and as a screener.
Unless Chicago completely changes its defensive approach, I don't expect Jones to spend much of the night firing away from deep. One made 3-pointer feels like a far more likely outcome than two.
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: WCIU, WNYW
Bridget Carleton Over 2.5 threes (+110)
🟢Carleton has gone Over in 3 of her last 5 games
Any time I can get plus money on a player with this kind of shooting volume, I'm interested.
Bridget Carleton has become one of the Portland Fire's primary perimeter weapons, and the Fire aren't shy about letting her fire away from beyond the arc. She's attempted at least six 3-pointers in eight straight games, giving her one of the most consistent long-range workloads in the league. Pair that with a 39% success rate from deep, and it's easy to see why this number feels a little low.
The Dallas Wings defense is worth targeting from the outside, allowing opponents to shoot 35.5% from beyond the arc this season. The Wings have struggled to contain opposing shooters on the perimeter, and with their attention likely focused elsewhere, Carleton should have no shortage of opportunities to get her shots up.
Neither of these teams has made its name on the defensive end, which should keep the pace and scoring opportunities high throughout the night. As long as Carleton continues seeing the same green light she's had over the last few weeks, I like her chances of knocking down at least three triples at an attractive plus-money price.
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: KFAA, KPDX
Where to bet on WNBA player props
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