WNBA Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Sunday, August 9

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 9, 2026 , 05:06 AM ET • 4 min read

Sunday WNBA moneyline madness is here, and the Washington Mystics as 56% favorites highlight today's four-game card!

Gabby Williams of the Golden State Valkyries WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Gabby Williams of the Golden State Valkyries WNBA

The WNBA offers us a four-game Sunday slate, and today's card has combo play written all over it.

We have teams playing on zero nights' rest, while others are monitoring players' minutes ahead of the upcoming 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup, making it imperative that we check the rosters and the most recent WNBA injury updates

With that in mind, here are the best WNBA picks & moneyline plays for Sunday, Aug 9.

WNBA moneyline picks for August 9

Matchup Pick (Probability)
Aces Aces
vs
Liberty Liberty

Liberty 77%
Mercury Mercury
vs
Mystics Mystics

Mystics 56%
Wings Wings
vs
Lynx Lynx

Lynx 70%
Valkyries Valkyries
vs
Sparks Sparks
Valkyries 70%
💰 All moneylines parlayed 4.40x

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Expert WNBA moneyline picks for August 9

Aces vs Liberty: Liberty (77% probability)

The New York Liberty sits at home at Barclays Center waiting for a Las Vegas Aces squad turning right around after Saturday's loss in Minnesota. 

Looking at the five-game numbers, New York posts a dominant 120.0 Offensive Rating and a +4.9 Net Rating, while Las Vegas posts an 110.4 Offensive Rating and a 106.4 Defensive Rating across their past five games. 

With A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young, and Chelsea Gray all listed as questionable for rest, the Aces could be severely shorthanded on top of the zero-rest spot. 

New York's 58.3% effective field goal percentage gives them elite scoring efficiency to attack the Aces across four quarters. Expect the rested Liberty to control the tempo from tip to buzzer.

This game has a parlay leg written all over it. 

Mercury vs Mystics: Mystics (56% probability)

The Washington Mystics enter on a five-game winning streak backed by a 106.5 Defensive Rating over their last five games. 

The Mystics choke off possessions during this run, holding a 70.8% defensive rebound rate while keeping opponent offensive efficiency in check. 

The Phoenix Mercury comes into this matchup having lost three of their last five, burdened by a 112.3 Defensive Rating and a -3.5 Net Rating

Washington's recent five-game form and physical edge near the rim will dictate the outcome of the only game today you can realistically play on the moneyline. 

Wings vs Lynx: Lynx (70% probability)

The Minnesota Lynx stay home at Target Center on zero days' rest after beating Las Vegas. Over their last five outings, the Lynx carry a league-leading 120.9 Offensive Rating and a +12.3 Net Rating. 

Minnesota’s ball movement shines with a 2.12 assist-to-turnover ratio and a 57.8% effective field goal percentage across this sample. 

The Dallas Wings arrive in Minneapolis having dropped four of their last five games while managing a sluggish 103.3 Offensive Rating. 

Rest and potentially missing sniper Azzi Fudd won't fix the Wings' execution flaws against Minnesota's efficiency, making the Lynx another strong parlay leg today. 

Valkyries vs Sparks: Valkyries (70% probability)

The Golden State Valkyries bring sharp baseline numbers from their last five games, posting a 119.8 Offensive Rating, a 108.6 Defensive Rating, and a +11.2 Net Rating. 

They share the rock effectively with a board-best 2.48 assist-to-turnover ratio. That five-game efficiency contrasts with Los Angeles' Sparks' current tailspin. 

The Los Angeles Sparks hold a -0.4 Net Rating and a 114.4 Defensive Rating over their last five contests while turning the ball over on 18.3% of possessions. 

Golden State should control every aspect of this game against the floundering Sparks, and another solid parlay leg. 

Today's WNBA moneyline parlay

Liberty moneyline

Mystics moneyline

Lynx moneyline

Valkyries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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