The Indiana Fever and New York Liberty face off for the third time this season. After Indiana handed the Liberty their first loss of the season, New York will come in hot to defend home.
The Fever may have to navigate tonight's game without Caitlin Clark again, but Indiana has been able to hang tough without her. My Fever vs. Liberty predictions target the total at Barclays Center.
Get the full scoop on Clark's status and my best WNBA picks for Wednesday, July 16 below.
Will Caitlin Clark play?
Caitlin Clark's status is in limbo for not only tonight but also for All-Star Weekend after re-aggravating her groin injury on Tuesday in the final seconds against the Connecticut Sun.
Indiana's coach, Stephanie White, says that there's "no update" on Clark's availability, but the team will "get it evaluated and see what happens from there".
Fever vs Liberty predictions
My Fever vs Liberty best bet: Over 163.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
The Over is an easy play for tonight's matchup for these high-ranking offenses. The New York Liberty and Indiana Fever are both loaded with weapons, and although injuries have taken some key players out of the mix, the two teams have shown they're able to put up numbers.
In their last two contests this season, the Over has been hit with ease — by 20.5 points in June's matchup and 3.5 points in May — and I'm rolling with that trend to continue tonight. New York ranks first in the WNBA in points per game while Indiana are not far behind them as No. 3 in the league.
If the Fever have to battle without Clark, they'll be fine since their first major upset of the season was made over the defending champs.
Indiana is not new to this, but they're true to this because they know where to hit the Liberty where they feel it, especially now in the absence of Jonquel Jones — who has missed the last eight games due to an ankle injury.
But the Liberty come in well-rested since their last game on Sunday. They'll be ready to rumble against a Fever team that is on the second leg of a back-to-back.
With New York in go-mode to get revenge, and Indiana aiming to head into the break on a positive note despite the status of Clark, expect both teams to come out blazing.
Fever vs Liberty same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 163.5
Sabrina Ionescu Over 18.5 points
Aliyah Boston 15+ points
For this matchup to reach the Over, there has to be substantial performances from key players on each squad. Let's start with Sabrina Ionescu.
The Liberty star had a quiet nine-point game against the Dream on Sunday, a game where she went an abysmal 3-for-20 from the field on 15% shooting. New York was able to pull off the win despite Ionescu's forgettable showing.
In the previous matchups against Indiana, Ionescu registered 23 and 34 points, respectively. I expect a similar performance especially to earn a "get back" win over the Fever who handed the Liberty their first loss of the season.
On the other hand, if Clark is unavailable tonight, then all eyes will be on Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston to carry most of the offensive weight for the Fever. Let's zone in on Boston, who posted 10 and 27 against New York earlier this season.
Much like Ionescu, Boston comes off of a low-key 11-point performance against the Connecticut Sun. Stepping up hasn't been an issue for Boston, and she'll have the energy to try & guide the Fever to a win heading into the All-Star break.
Fever vs Liberty odds
Fever vs Liberty live odds
Fever vs Liberty opening odds
- Spread: Indiana +10.5 (-115) | New York -10.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Indiana +350 | New York -450
- Over/Under: Over 164.5 (-105) | Under 164.5 (-115)
Fever vs Liberty trend
The New York Liberty and Indiana Fever have hit the Over in eight out of their last 10 contests. Find more WNBA betting trends for Fever vs. Liberty.
How to watch Fever vs Liberty
| Location | Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY |
| Date | Wednesday, 7-16-2025 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Fever vs Liberty latest injuries
Fever: Caitlin Clark (groin) questionable.
Liberty: Jonquel Jones (ankle) out.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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