My Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino predictions dive into the co-main event of this weekend’s UFC Fight Night card taking place at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento.
Petrino, a former light heavyweight standout, faces a significant test against Spivac, who's angling to keep himself in striking distance of a title shot. Check out the latest UFC odds and our free betting picks for this heavyweight bout.
Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino predictions for UFC Fight Night
| Pick |  |
|---|---|
| Who will win: Spivac | +120 |
| Best bet: Spivac by decision | +320 |
| Prop: Spivac submission or decision/technical decision | +210 |
Who will win Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino: Spivac +120
Petrino’s quiet three-fight winning streak hasn’t impressed me, and he faces a significant step up against Spivac.
Petrino is the better athlete and more dangerous striker, but Spivac’s wrestling and suffocating top control present a difficult stylistic matchup. Petrino’s losses to Dustin Jacoby and a faded Anthony Smith at light heavyweight are still fresh in my mind, while Spivac recently shut down Ante Delija over three rounds.
Spivac’s size, experience, and grappling are enough for me to pick him over the chronic underachiever Petrino.
Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino best bet: Spivac to win by decision +320
Petrino has never been known for his fight IQ or cardio, while Spivac is a capable heavyweight who excels at getting opponents to the mat and wearing them down.
Even at heavyweight, Petrino tends to fade when forced to work, and Spivac’s patient approach should allow him to gradually impose his wrestling. Petrino is durable enough to survive, but once the takedowns begin piling up, I expect his offense to diminish as Spivac controls his way to a decision.
COVERS INTEL: Spivac currently has the highest takedown accuracy among active qualifying UFC heavyweights at 59.3%. Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino prop pick: Spivac to win by submission or decision/technical decision +210
I expect Spivac to avoid Petrino’s early explosiveness, force him to work, and gradually drain his gas tank. Petrino’s 79% takedown defense is formidable, but Spivac is a career heavyweight with excellent wrestling and eight submission victories.
As Petrino slows and the takedowns become easier to secure, Spivac should either find a late submission or control enough of the fight on the mat to earn a decision.
Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino odds
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Serghei Spivac | Vitor Petrino |
| To win outright | +120 | -150 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +640 | +215 |
| To win by decision | +375 | +270 |
| To win by submission | +540 | +850 |
| Total rounds | Over 1.5 -210 |
Under 1.5 +160 |
Odds as of 8-19.
Petrino is a modest -150 favorite, but the Over on 1.5 rounds being heavily favored at -210 supports a more methodical fight than an early heavyweight shootout. Petrino’s power makes him dangerous, but Spivac’s wrestling should become increasingly effective as the fight progresses.
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Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino tale of the tape
| Serghei Spivac | Vitor Petrino | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Age | 28 |
| 6-foot-3 | Height | 6-foot-3 |
| Heavyweight | Weight Class | Heavyweight |
| 78 inches | Reach | 77.5 inches |
| 18-6 | Record | 14-2 |
| 7 | Wins by KO | 8 |
| 8 | Wins by submission | 2 |
Spivac is slightly taller and longer, but the veteran's most significant advantage comes from logging experience as a career heavyweight and his grappling. Petrino is younger and the more explosive striker, while Spivac’s eight submission victories indicate his likely path to victory coming from his ground game.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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