Jan Blachowicz will face Navajo Stirling in the light heavyweight co-main event of this weekend’s UFC Fight Night card, taking place at Belgrade Arena in Serbia.
Undefeated prospect Stirling enters as a sizable favorite against the 43-year-old former champion in the UFC odds, and my free betting picks expect him to cruise on Saturday.
Find out more in my Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling predictions for August 1.
Who will win Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling: Stirling moneyline (-325)
Jan Blachowicz is on the wrong side of 40 and hasn’t won a fight in four years, and there is not much we’ve seen in those performances to suggest there’s much left in the tank for a late-career run.
Stirling is coming into his own, and the athleticism and movement-heavy style, along with an aged opponent, will carry him to the biggest win of his career.
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Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling best bet: Stirling to win by decision (+105)
With Blachowicz’s declining speed and reflexes, Stirling should be able to beat the former light heavyweight champion to the punch consistently without feeling the need to take risks or chase a stoppage.
Blachowicz is durable enough to go the distance, but he will be comfortably outpointed.
COVERS INTEL: Blachowicz has an average fight time of 13:16, while three of Stirling’s last five fights have gone to the scorecards.Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Jan Blachowicz | Navajo Stirling |
| To win outright | +240 | -325 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +875 | +245 |
| To win by decision | +475 | +105 |
| To win by submission | +1900 | +975 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -220 |
Under 2.5 +165 |
Odds as of 7-31.
Despite Stirling’s finishing skills, the odds favor this being a longer bout as the young prospect moves up in class against the former light heavyweight champion, who has been knocked out only twice in 42 fights.
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Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling tale of the tape
| Jan Blachowicz | Navajo Stirling | |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | Age | 28 |
| 6-foot-2 | Height | 6-foot-4 |
| Light Heavyweight | Weight Class | Light Heavyweight |
| 78 inches | Reach | 79 inches |
| 29-11-2 | Record | 10-0 |
| 9 | Wins by KO | 6 |
| 9 | Wins by submission | 0 |
Stirling is 15 years younger with two inches in height and a slight reach advantage, but the experience gap overwhelmingly favors Blachowicz, who has fought elite light heavyweights for years.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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