Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura Predictions, Picks & Odds for UFC Fight Night in Serbia

Danny Howard - Contributor at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 31, 2026 , 05:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Aleksandar Rakic won't expose his weak chin as he carefully navigates Marcin Tybura in his move to heavyweight.

Aleksandar Rakic UFC
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Aleksandar Rakic during UFC 300 at T-Mobile Arena

Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic takes place this weekend on Saturday's UFC Fight Night card at Belgrade Arena in Serbia.

Rakic moves up from light heavyweight, looking to end his four-fight skid, while Tybura hopes his size and veteran experience can spoil the divisional debut. 

Check out the latest UFC odds, Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura predictions, and our free betting picks for this heavyweight showdown on Saturday, August 1.

Who will win Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura: Rakic moneyline (-360)

Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura
August 1 • UFC Fight Night
Fight Prediction
Rakic to win (-360)
Bet now at BET99

Aleksandar Rakic is a talented but chinny light heavyweight, making his heavyweight debut against a declining Marcin Tybura. While Tybura has been a reliable gatekeeper and the bigger man, his lack of striking power essentially closes the door on his chances of a victory.

Rakic is the better-skilled fighter and too mobile for Tybura to pin down, and he should snap his four-fight losing streak with a win in Serbia.

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Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura best bet: Rakic by decision (+145)

Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura
August 1 • UFC Fight Night
Best bet
Rakic to win by decision (+145)
Bet now at BET99

Rakic by decision is my best bet.

Tybura is accustomed to the big-hitting heavyweights, and while he’ll be technically outmatched, it's Rakic's speed and technical advantages that will tell the tale of the fight.

Rakic won’t take any chances with his bad chin, either, so he’ll play it safe and win a comfortable decision.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Three of Rakic’s four losses came against former light heavyweight champions, and Tybura has won six of his last eight fights by decision.

Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura odds

Bet99
Method of Victory Aleksandar Rakic Marcin Tybura
To win outright -360 +260
To win by KO/TKO +130 +1000
To win by decision +145 +575
To win by submission +1900 +1300
Total rounds Over 1.5
-225
Under 1.5
+170

Odds as of 7-31.

Rakic is a significant favorite despite his recent vulnerability to stoppages. With the fight also favored to go Over 1.5 rounds, Tybura’s slower pace and limited finishing threat make a decision the most likely outcome.

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Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura tale of the tape

Aleksandar Rakic   Marcin Tybura
34 Age 40
6-foot-5 Height 6-foot-3
Heavyweight Weight Class Heavyweight
78 inches Reach 78 inches
14-6 Record 27-11
9 Wins by KO 10
1 Wins by submission 7

Despite moving up from light heavyweight, Rakic gives up little physically, standing two inches taller while matching Tybura's 78-inch reach. Tybura's experience against natural heavyweights makes him a durable test, but Rakic's superior speed and technical striking should allow him to win rounds without taking unnecessary risks.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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