De'Von Achane Score a Touchdown Props • Miami
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are big underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dolphins to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. While De'Von Achane has earned 14.3% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Miami's passing offense near the goal line this week at 19.9%.
