Atlanta Falcons

3rd in NFC South (3 - 6 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 16 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ja'Tavion Sanders Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Ja'Tavion Sanders
J. Sanders
tight end TE • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.19
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.19
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Ja'Tavion Sanders

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.19
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.19

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

All Matchup props

Kyle Pitts Sr. Score a Touchdown Props • Atlanta

Kyle Pitts Sr.
K. Pitts Sr.
tight end TE • Atlanta
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.35
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.35
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Kyle Pitts has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which ranks in the 82nd percentile among tight ends. Kyle Pitts has posted significantly more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game). Kyle Pitts's 45.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 30.4. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.35
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.35

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Kyle Pitts has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which ranks in the 82nd percentile among tight ends. Kyle Pitts has posted significantly more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game). Kyle Pitts's 45.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 30.4. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

All Matchup props

Tetairoa McMillan Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Tetairoa McMillan
T. McMillan
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.38
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.38
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Tetairoa McMillan

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.38
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.38

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

All Matchup props

Drake London Score a Touchdown Props • Atlanta

Drake London
D. London
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.53
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.53
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Drake London has put up a massive 100.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among WRs. Drake London slots into the 98th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 75.6 figure this year. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year. With an outstanding ratio of 0.67 per game through the air (97th percentile), Drake London rates as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to WRs this year.

Drake London

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.53
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.53

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. Drake London has put up a massive 100.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among WRs. Drake London slots into the 98th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 75.6 figure this year. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year. With an outstanding ratio of 0.67 per game through the air (97th percentile), Drake London rates as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to WRs this year.

All Matchup props

Bijan Robinson Score a Touchdown Props • Atlanta

Bijan Robinson
B. Robinson
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.59
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.59
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. In regards to air yards, Bijan Robinson ranks in the lofty 95th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a superb 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards). Bijan Robinson's 30.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 21.9. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year. With an exceptional rate of 0.20 per game through the air (89th percentile), Bijan Robinson ranks among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league among RBs this year.

Bijan Robinson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.59
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.59

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. In regards to air yards, Bijan Robinson ranks in the lofty 95th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a superb 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards). Bijan Robinson's 30.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 21.9. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year. With an exceptional rate of 0.20 per game through the air (89th percentile), Bijan Robinson ranks among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league among RBs this year.

All Matchup props

Rico Dowdle Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Rico Dowdle
R. Dowdle
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.47
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.47
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. While Rico Dowdle has been responsible for 4.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Carolina's pass game near the goal line in this contest at 10.7%. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Rico Dowdle

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.47
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.47

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. While Rico Dowdle has been responsible for 4.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Carolina's pass game near the goal line in this contest at 10.7%. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

All Matchup props

Michael Penix Jr. Score a Touchdown Props • Atlanta

Michael Penix Jr.
M. Penix Jr.
quarterback QB • Atlanta
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year. The Panthers defensive ends profile as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Michael Penix Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.04
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.04

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Falcons ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year. The Panthers defensive ends profile as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

All Matchup props

Bryce Young Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Bryce Young
B. Young
quarterback QB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Bryce Young

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.04
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.04

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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