Atlanta Falcons

3rd in NFC South (4 - 7 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 30 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Breece Hall Score a Touchdown Props • N.Y. Jets

Breece Hall
B. Hall
running back RB • N.Y. Jets
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.54
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.54
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 132.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. Breece Hall has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 13.9% this year, which places him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs. Breece Hall has totaled a massive 5.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Breece Hall's 90.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a significant growth in his receiving talent over last season's 76.7% figure. This year, the poor Falcons defense has allowed a staggering 0.36 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 2nd-biggest rate in the NFL.

Breece Hall logo

Breece Hall

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.54
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.54

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 132.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. Breece Hall has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 13.9% this year, which places him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs. Breece Hall has totaled a massive 5.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Breece Hall's 90.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a significant growth in his receiving talent over last season's 76.7% figure. This year, the poor Falcons defense has allowed a staggering 0.36 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 2nd-biggest rate in the NFL.

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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