Pittsburgh @ Baltimore props

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.4% pass rate. The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

This week's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Steelers, who are enormous -10-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 130.5 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. In this week's contest, Najee Harris is forecasted by the model to place in the 78th percentile among running backs with 2.8 targets.

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their standard approach. The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 56.5 per game on average). Derrick Henry has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 57.8% of snaps vs just 43.0% last season. The Steelers linebackers rank as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their standard approach. The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 56.5 per game on average).

This week's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Steelers, who are enormous -9.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 130.5 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. The leading projections forecast George Pickens to accumulate 8.3 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.

This week's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Steelers, who are enormous -9.5-point underdogs. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 130.5 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. In this week's contest, Jaylen Warren is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.0 targets.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The model projects Mark Andrews to accumulate 5.2 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among TEs. Mark Andrews's 81.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a meaningful progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 74.4% rate.

Van Jefferson has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Justice Hill has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Mike Williams has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Nelson Agholor has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Darnell Washington has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Likely has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Tylan Wallace has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Calvin Austin has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.