Tennessee @ Los Angeles props

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a big 8-point favorite in this game. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to have only 124.5 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week. The Chargers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.4 plays per game. Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Titans, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 29.6 per game) this year.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. The projections expect Will Dissly to total 4.4 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile among tight ends. Will Dissly has been much more involved in his offense's pass game this year (16.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (3.5%). Will Dissly's 3.5 adjusted catches per game this season marks a remarkable progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 1.4 rate. This year, the feeble Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up a staggering 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 10th-highest rate in the NFL.

This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -8-point underdogs. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. Chigoziem Okonkwo's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 71.8% to 76.4%.

This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -8-point underdogs. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. In this week's game, Calvin Ridley is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.2 targets. Calvin Ridley ranks in the 95th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 68.0 figure this year.

This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are heavy -8-point underdogs. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. With an extraordinary 58.3% Route Participation Rate (94th percentile) this year, Tony Pollard ranks among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league. The model projects Tony Pollard to accumulate 3.5 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs. Tony Pollard ranks as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume. With a high 51.1% Route Participation Rate (85th percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL. In this week's game, J.K. Dobbins is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets. J.K. Dobbins checks in as one of the top RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 2.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 81st percentile. With an excellent 92.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (81st percentile) this year, J.K. Dobbins places as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs.

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Boyd has gone over 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Quentin Johnston has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Tyjae Spears has gone over 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Joshua Palmer has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.