Tampa Bay @ Atlanta props

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year. In this game, Kyle Pitts is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.7 targets.

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3-point underdogs. The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see 128.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Rachaad White has been one of the top pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an excellent 3.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year. Our trusted projections expect Drake London to notch 9.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among WRs. With a fantastic 5.2 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Drake London ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in football.

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3-point underdogs. The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see 128.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Cade Otton comes in as one of the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging a terrific 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year. The Falcons safeties grade out as the 8th-best group of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year. In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the model to rank in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.2 targets. Bijan Robinson checks in as one of the top pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an excellent 3.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Ray-Ray McCloud has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Bucky Irving has gone over 1.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Allgeier has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Mike Evans has gone over 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Sterling Shepard has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Darnell Mooney has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.