Houston @ Minnesota props

A throwing game script is suggested by the Vikings being a -3.5-point underdog this week. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 62.5% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 131.1 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. With an excellent 2.5 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Aaron Jones ranks among the top RBs in the pass game in the league.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Vikings being a -3.5-point underdog this week. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 62.5% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 131.1 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. The predictive model expects Johnny Mundt to total 4.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Vikings being a -3.5-point underdog this week. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 62.5% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 131.1 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week. The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. Justin Jefferson rates as one of the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.8 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Texans since the start of last season (a colossal 60.1 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. Opposing teams have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league. Dalton Schultz rates as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Texans since the start of last season (a colossal 60.1 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. Opposing teams have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league. Nico Collins profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 5.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach. The Minnesota Vikings safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Ty Chandler has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Josh Oliver has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Dare Ogunbowale has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Tank Dell has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Stefon Diggs has gone over 4.5 in 7 of his last 8 games.

Jalen Nailor has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Brandon Powell has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.