Pittsburgh @ Buffalo props

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -10-point underdog in this week's contest. In this game, Jaylen Warren is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 100th percentile among running backs with 5.7 targets.

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -10-point underdog in this week's contest. In this week's game, Pat Freiermuth is anticipated by the model to slot into the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.4 targets.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Bills being a massive 10-point favorite this week. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Dalton Kincaid to earn 5.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among tight ends. The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 55.8 per game on average). In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the worst in football this year.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Bills being a massive 10-point favorite this week. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 55.8 per game on average).

Dawson Knox has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Allen Robinson II has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Diontae Johnson has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Khalil Shakir has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.