Green Bay 2nd NFC North9-8
Las Vegas 2nd AFC West8-9
ESPN, ABC

Green Bay @ Las Vegas props

Allegiant Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Jones Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

A. Jones
running back RB • Green Bay
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.1
Best Odds
Over
+105

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.5% pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. The projections expect Aaron Jones to total 3.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among RBs. Aaron Jones has been an integral part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 13.4% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Aaron Jones

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.1
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.1

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.5% pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. The projections expect Aaron Jones to total 3.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among RBs. Aaron Jones has been an integral part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 13.4% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Davante Adams Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

D. Adams
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
+107
Prop
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
+107
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this week's contest, Davante Adams is forecasted by the model to slot into the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.8 targets. In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.4%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (68.4%).

Davante Adams

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.8

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this week's contest, Davante Adams is forecasted by the model to slot into the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.8 targets. In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has yielded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.4%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (68.4%).

Romeo Doubs Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

R. Doubs
wide receiver WR • Green Bay
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-150

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. In this week's contest, Romeo Doubs is predicted by the projections to finish in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets. Romeo Doubs's 25.4% Target Rate this year illustrates a a noteworthy growth in his passing offense usage over last year's 15.6% figure. Romeo Doubs's 5.2 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a a noteworthy boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 3.3 figure.

Romeo Doubs

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.3

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. In this week's contest, Romeo Doubs is predicted by the projections to finish in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets. Romeo Doubs's 25.4% Target Rate this year illustrates a a noteworthy growth in his passing offense usage over last year's 15.6% figure. Romeo Doubs's 5.2 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a a noteworthy boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 3.3 figure.

Luke Musgrave Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

L. Musgrave
tight end TE • Green Bay
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
+135

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. In this week's game, Luke Musgrave is projected by the model to finish in the 85th percentile among tight ends with 5.3 targets. Luke Musgrave has been in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 27.5 figure this year. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Luke Musgrave

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. In this week's game, Luke Musgrave is projected by the model to finish in the 85th percentile among tight ends with 5.3 targets. Luke Musgrave has been in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 27.5 figure this year. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Josh Jacobs Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

J. Jacobs
running back RB • Las Vegas
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to earn 5.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs. Josh Jacobs's 30.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 17.6. In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year. Josh Jacobs's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, compiling 4.5 adjusted catches vs just 3.1 last year.

Josh Jacobs

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.2

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to earn 5.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs. Josh Jacobs's 30.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 17.6. In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year. Josh Jacobs's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, compiling 4.5 adjusted catches vs just 3.1 last year.

AJ Dillon Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

A. Dillon
running back RB • Green Bay
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (84.8%) versus RBs since the start of last season (84.8%).

AJ Dillon

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.5

The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (84.8%) versus RBs since the start of last season (84.8%).

Austin Hooper Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

A. Hooper
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year. Austin Hooper's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 75.6% to 81.1%. The Packers linebackers profile as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Austin Hooper

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.5

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year. Austin Hooper's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 75.6% to 81.1%. The Packers linebackers profile as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Jakobi Meyers Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

J. Meyers
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.44
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+106
Under
+105

Jakobi Meyers has gone over 4.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Christian Watson Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

C. Watson
wide receiver WR • Green Bay
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.73
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-139
Under
+139

Christian Watson has gone over 3.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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