Buffalo @ Central Michigan Picks & Props
BUFF vs CMU Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Buffalo has five wins, and they've all come against teams that aren't good. Only one of the four victories against FBS opponents came against a team with a pulse, and the Bulls narrowly defeated the worst team in college football.
Central Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last six games, and runs the ball down the throats of its opponents. The Chips use that to set up a play-action passing game that ranks 36th in EPA/pass.
Buffalo's offense thrives on hitting big plays here and there in the passing game, but struggles with turnovers. CMU forces turnovers at a high rate, limits big plays, and will find a way to grind out a tough win at home.
Receptions
LL
Langston Lewis u2.5 Receptions (-113)
Projection 2.4074 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
VS
Victor Snow u4.5 Receptions (-128)
Projection 4.2383 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
TR
Ta'Quan Roberson u1.5 TD Passes (-220)
Projection 0.7945 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
TR
Ta'Quan Roberson u209.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 179.0628 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
JL
Joe Labas o145.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 157.8518 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
VS
Victor Snow u60.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 55.4652 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JG
Jasaiah Gathings o27.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 30.8596 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
NM
Nik McMillan u74.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 73.4474 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
AH
Al-Jay Henderson u72.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Projection 69.9844 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rushing Yards
NB
Nahree Biggins o41.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 42.6915 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
BUFF vs CMU Consensus Picks
BUFF vs CMU Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
V. Snow
wide receiver WR • Buffalo
Prop
60.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
55.47
Jasaiah Gathings Receiving Yards Props • Buffalo
J. Gathings
wide receiver WR • Buffalo
Prop
27.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
30.86
Langston Lewis Receiving Yards Props • Central Michigan
L. Lewis
wide receiver WR • Central Michigan
Prop
36.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
39.29
Nik McMillan Receiving Yards Props • Buffalo
N. McMillan
wide receiver WR • Buffalo
Prop
74.5
Receiving Yards
Projection
73.45
BUFF vs CMU Trends
Buffalo Trends
Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Over
Under
Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Over
Under
Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)
Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
BUFF
CMU
Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
BUFF
CMU
Buffalo has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (-16.30 Units / -71% ROI)
BUFF
CMU
Buffalo has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.45 Units / -56% ROI)
Over
Under
Buffalo has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 12 games (-7.25 Units / -53% ROI)
Over
Under
Buffalo has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 9 games (-5.80 Units / -57% ROI)
Buffalo has only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 13 games (-1.75 Units / -12% ROI)
Over
Under
Central Michigan Trends
Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 6% ROI)
BUFF
CMU
Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 15% ROI)
BUFF
CMU
Central Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
BUFF
CMU
Central Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.73 Units / 27% ROI)
BUFF
CMU
Central Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
BUFF
CMU
Central Michigan has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 12 games (-8.20 Units / -60% ROI)
Over
Under
Central Michigan has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 3 games (-3.65 Units / -100% ROI)
Central Michigan has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.00 Units / -22% ROI)
Over
Under
Central Michigan has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-1.60 Units / -12% ROI)
Over
Under