Ottawa RedBlacks Picks
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CFL Picks
A week ago Montreal was -11.5 favorites over Hamilton and won by 13. This week they opened at just -4.5 favorites over winless Ottawa which was a shocker. They quickly pushed the spread to -7.5 but it has since come back to -5.5 on the day before game day. I expect Montreal and their prodigious offence to cover this spread pretty easily and would be very comfortable up to -6.5 while even a double digit win is within the range of possibilities.
The Alouettes and Redblacks played a 72 point shootout earlier this season and I expect the game script will be similar on Friday night in Ottawa. Montreal is the second highest scoring team in the CFL at 34.1 points per game and face an Ottawa defence that is the league's worst in terms of points per game, yards per game, and yards per pass attempt. Coming off a bye, the Redblacks offence should have enough ability to push the pace and keep the offences pushing past the 60.5 total.
The Montreal Alouettes look like the most complete team in the CFL this season. They're 5-2 ATS behind an offense putting up a league-high 444.4 yards per game with the second-most PPG (34.1). Nobody looks capable of stopping the Davis Alexander to Tyson Philpot connection, especially not the Ottawa Redblacks. Ottawa is the league's only winless team, and its defense is giving up the most PPG (35.5) and yards per game (437.2) in the CFL. This is a terrible matchup for Ottawa.
Montreal and Ottawa played a 72 point shootout earlier this season while the Redblacks provided one of the most painful backdoor covers in memory with a kickoff return touchdown in the final minute to cover the +8.5 spread. The Redblacks have the worst defence in the CFL in just about every category and I expect Montreal to win easily in another high scoring affair.