Illinois 4th Big Ten28-8

UConn 2nd Big East33-5

6:09PM ET 6:09PM ET · Apr 04, 2026

Illinois vs UConn Picks & Props

ILL vs CONN Picks

NCAAB Picks

Points

Alex Karaban o12.5 Points (-114)

Best Odds

o12.5 -105

Pick made: 12 hours ago

o14.5 +125

o13.5 -105

o12.5 -114

o12.5 -129

o12.5 -105

I’ll be damned if Alex Karaban is going to lay another egg in the Final Four. Connecticut’s veteran forward looked like the “Monstars” had stolen his talent for most of that matchup with Duke (Go watch "Space Jam" if you don't get that reference). He was just 1 for 6 for the night but did hit a massive 3-pointer late that helped set the table for UConn’s incredible buzzer beater. His points prop is back at 12.5 O/U – the same total versus the Blue Devils’ top-ranked defense – but he takes on a much lighter task in Illinois on both ends of the floor. Karaban has put up 17, 22 and 27 in the three games prior and projections sit between 14.6 and 16.3 points on Saturday.

Illinois vs UConn Picks & Props

ILL vs CONN Picks

ILL vs CONN Consensus Picks

60% picking Connecticut

43% picking Illinois vs Connecticut to go Under

ILL vs CONN Trends

Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)

Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+7.50 Units / 2% ROI)

Illinois have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Illinois has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 25 games (-11.60 Units / -40% ROI)

Illinois has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games (-5.10 Units / -55% ROI)

Illinois has only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 25 games (-4.40 Units / -16% ROI)

UConn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)

UConn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+5.85 Units / 7% ROI)

UConn has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 8% ROI)

UConn has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)

UConn has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)

UConn has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 18 games (-12.00 Units / -58% ROI)

UConn has only hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 19 games (-6.55 Units / -30% ROI)

UConn has only hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 19 games (-6.20 Units / -30% ROI)

ILL vs CONN Top User Picks

'mjpalli' is picking Connecticut to cover (+2.0)

'ASkinsFanInDixi' is picking Illinois to cover (-2.0)

'ASkinsFanInDixi' picks Illinois vs Connecticut to go Under (139.0)

'cockyvolfan' picks Illinois vs Connecticut to go Under (139.5)

'leafs126' is picking Connecticut to cover (+2.0)

'Alexandr1966' picks Illinois vs Connecticut to go Over (139.5)

'Alexandr1966' is picking Connecticut to cover (+2.0)

'elpedro2007' is picking Connecticut to cover (+2.0)

'elpedro2007' picks Illinois vs Connecticut to go Under (139.5)

'Brozo' is picking Connecticut to cover (+2.0)

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