Toronto Raptors Picks
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TOR @ WAS Picks
NBA PicksDespite the presence of Anthony Davis and Trae Young altering the dynamic, Toronto’s dominant 13-4 record against Washington since 2021 points heavily toward another road victory. Coming off a 43-point blowout where their relentless defense surrendered just 92 points, the Raptors have the firepower to cover -7.5 (up to -9.5). Washington may be riding high off its opening win, but Toronto is primed to bring them back down to earth.
Feel free to call Immanuel Quickley "Argus Filch," because history proves that the 27-year-old floor general despises Wizards.
Quickley averaged 23 points on 57.9% shooting and 52.9% from behind the arc across three outings last season versus Washington, which was his strongest scoring contribution against any one team he competed against at least three times.
In fact, the 20.1 points Quickley is averaging in 16 games against the Wizards for his career is his second-highest number overall, bested only by the 21.5 points he's produced against the Houston Rockets.
Perhaps most importantly, of the last eight instances Quickley has seen Washington, he's dropped at least 17 points seven times, which would notch him an Over for this prop on Friday.
As assertive as the Toronto Raptors were nearly across the board against the Chicago Bulls, the one area they didn't have an obvious advantage in was on the glass, losing that battle 57-51.
After being showered with "MVP" chants in his Wizards debut, Anthony Davis is poised to leave yet another favorable impression on his new followers, especially when it comes to rebounding the basketball.
Davis grabbed 12 in 34 minutes against Milwaukee on Wednesday. In recent looks at the Raptors, the near 7-footer has brought in double-digit boards five of the last six times.
He'll need at least 12 to register an Over on Friday, with the key ingredient that should put him over the top being a lack of contention from Toronto's frontcourt. Davis is at least two inches taller than both Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard, and center Jakob Poeltl is coming off his worst per-36 rebounding numbers since his sophomore year.
Anthony Davis is Washington's offensive focal point, but getting him the ball in favorable spots won't be easy with Kawhi Leonard and Scottie Barnes defending the wings. Immanuel Quickley was efficient in the opener and can build on that by targeting Trae Young in the pick-and-roll. Toronto is a deserved 67% road favorite and looks like a strong Eastern Conference contender.
Rolling with Toronto to cover as noticeable favourites makes tossing in a moneyline leg for a parlay wager a no-brainer. The Raptors went 5-2 SU in 2025-26 when entering as a favorite of at least 7.5 points on the road, and that was without the services of their former 2019 Finals Most Valuable Player.
If the visitors' defense can muster up a similar effort to that of the season opener, with possessions being kept to a minimum and shots being contested left and right, then that alone should hold the final score here to a more conservative number.
Leonard admitted after Wednesday's win that he's still trying to get himself back into game shape. A 23-point effort would indicate he was fine, but his 5-of-17 efficiency would suggest otherwise. Give me the Under on his scoring to pair nicely with the aforementioned total prop.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus47% picking Toronto vs Washington to go Under
Total PicksTOR 167, WAS 151
TOR @ WAS · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Shead
(PG)
o5.5 Points Scored
6.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
25.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Poeltl
(C)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.84 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
24.06%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Walter
(SG)
o7.5 Points Scored
9.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
20.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
B. Coulibaly
(SF)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
14.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
K. Leonard
(SF)
o24.5 Points Scored
25.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
14.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Davis
(PF)
u22.5 Points Scored
21.23 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
11.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
T. Young
(PG)
o19.5 Points Scored
19.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
I. Quickley
(PG)
u16.5 Points Scored
16.28 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
T. Young
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.87 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
20.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
S. Barnes
(PF)
u7.5 Total Rebounds
6.42 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
16.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
D. Ayton
(C)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.29 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
13.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
T. Johnson
(SG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.40 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
10.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Poeltl
(C)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
7.21 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
9.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
C. Murray-Boyles
(PF)
u6.5 Total Rebounds
5.84 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
7.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
K. Leonard
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.08 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
6.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
K. George
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.36 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
4.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
R. Barrett
(SF)
u5.5 Total Rebounds
5.21 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
I. Quickley
(PG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.77 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Poeltl
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
14.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Shead
(PG)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
14.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
K. George
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.16 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
12.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
D. Ayton
(C)
o0.5 Total Assists
0.61 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
9.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
S. Barnes
(PF)
o5.5 Total Assists
6.04 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
8.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
R. Barrett
(SF)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.28 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
2.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Davis
(PF)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.61 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-12.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
T. Johnson
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.31 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
13.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Walter
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.36 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
S. Barnes
(PF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.10 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
B. Coulibaly
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.07 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
5.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Shead
(PG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
T. Young
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.20 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
K. George
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-9.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
R. Barrett
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-9.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Davis
(PF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
TOR @ WAS · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks'Tbombs' picks Toronto vs Washington to go Over (236.5)
Tbombs is #1 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.
'cashbb1030' picks Toronto vs Washington to go Over (236.5)
cashbb1030 is #10 on picking games that Toronto is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.
'qlh' picks Toronto vs Washington to go Under (236.5)
qlh is #4 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.
'mlevine' picks Toronto vs Washington to go Over (235.5)
mlevine is #5 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.
'Chrismano' picks Toronto vs Washington to go Over (237.5)
Chrismano is #5 on picking games that Toronto is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.
'sophanseng' picks Toronto vs Washington to go Over (236.5)
sophanseng is #6 on picking games that Toronto is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.
'fishercz' picks Toronto vs Washington to go Over (236.5)
fishercz is #7 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.
'vwebb57' picks Toronto vs Washington to go Under (236.5)
vwebb57 is #9 on picking games that Toronto is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.