Denver Nuggets Picks
4th in Northwest
(5 - 3)
Next Game
DEN @ HOU Picks
NBA PicksThe Houston Rockets are sandwiched between the Spurs and Thunder in Simple Rating System, which is a good place to be.
They’re fifth in true shooting percentage, fourth in offensive rebound percentage, and have home court. They should give the Denver Nuggets all they can handle.
Playable to 52%.
Jabari Smith Jr. is averaging 3.5 three pointers per game and has cleared this line in five of six matchups against teams outside the Top-10 in suppressing three point attempts.
The Nuggets rank 30th in defending catch and shoots, which is how Smith gets 44% of his buckets.
I like the Rockets to best the Nuggets by margin, and expect Jabari Smith Jr. to play a big role in that.
The Nuggets are 30th in defending catch and shoots, setting up for Smith to rain threes.
Alperen Sengun has averaged 8.6 assists on 15.6 potentials over the last five games, and should see extra minutes with Clint Capela sidelined.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus61% picking Denver vs Houston to go Over
Total PicksDEN 201, HOU 128
DEN @ HOU · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
N. Jokic
(C)
u24.5 Points Scored
21.80 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.7
DIFFERENCE
21.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Murray
(PG)
u21.5 Points Scored
19.84 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
19.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Thompson
(SF)
u16.5 Points Scored
14.73 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.8
DIFFERENCE
17.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
C. Johnson
(PF)
o10.5 Points Scored
12.04 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
15.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
M. Smart
(PG)
o6.5 Points Scored
7.75 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
15.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
D. DeRozan
(SF)
u11.5 Points Scored
10.62 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
14.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
J. Smith Jr.
(PF)
u15.5 Points Scored
14.50 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Sengun
(C)
u20.5 Points Scored
19.71 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
K. Durant
(PF)
o20.5 Points Scored
20.77 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
T. Eason
(PF)
u9.5 Points Scored
9.50 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-5.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
S. Jones
(SF)
o4.5 Points Scored
4.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-10.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
C. Braun
(SG)
o10.5 Points Scored
11.28 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
-10.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
F. VanVleet
(PG)
o11.5 Points Scored
11.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Gordon
(PF)
o11.5 Points Scored
12.34 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
N. Jokic
(C)
u10.5 Total Rebounds
10.06 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
16.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
M. Smart
(PG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.43 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
13.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
C. Braun
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.26 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
12.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Gordon
(PF)
u5.5 Total Rebounds
4.70 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
8.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
T. Eason
(PF)
u5.5 Total Rebounds
5.40 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Thompson
(SF)
u7.5 Total Rebounds
6.77 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
4.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
D. DeRozan
(SF)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.32 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
3.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
C. Johnson
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Murray
(PG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.11 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
F. VanVleet
(PG)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.17 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
K. Durant
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.50 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-1.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Sengun
(C)
u9.5 Total Rebounds
9.20 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
J. Smith Jr.
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
S. Jones
(SF)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.54 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
N. Jokic
(C)
u9.5 Total Assists
7.70 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.8
DIFFERENCE
23.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Murray
(PG)
u6.5 Total Assists
5.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
20.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Sengun
(C)
u6.5 Total Assists
5.88 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
18.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
C. Johnson
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.23 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
9.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
F. VanVleet
(PG)
u5.5 Total Assists
4.85 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
6.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
M. Smart
(PG)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.07 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Thompson
(SF)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
J. Smith Jr.
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
T. Eason
(PF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.39 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
D. DeRozan
(SF)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
C. Braun
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-7.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
K. Durant
(PF)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.62 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Gordon
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.16 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Murray
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.34 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
19.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Gordon
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.24 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
F. VanVleet
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.27 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
7.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
M. Smart
(PG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.29 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
7.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
J. Smith Jr.
(PF)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.25 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
7.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
D. DeRozan
(SF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.53 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
6.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Sengun
(C)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.65 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
K. Durant
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.89 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
N. Jokic
(C)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
C. Braun
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.26 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-0.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
T. Eason
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.25 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
C. Johnson
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.78 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-12.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
R. Sheppard
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.62 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
DEN @ HOU · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks'pureporkchop' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (218.5)
pureporkchop is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +5300 units on the season.
'SeriousStreaker' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (218.5)
SeriousStreaker is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.
'fat italian' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (222.5)
fat italian is #10 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3350 units on the season.
'billdo' picks Denver vs Houston to go Over (219.5)
billdo is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.
'Wtrylika' picks Denver vs Houston to go Over (222.5)
Wtrylika is #3 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +3800 units on the season.
'lusvegasluva' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (218.5)
lusvegasluva is #4 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3350 units on the season.
'JudgeSmails' picks Denver vs Houston to go Over (222.5)
JudgeSmails is #5 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.
'Patzer24' picks Denver vs Houston to go Over (222.5)
Patzer24 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'CitoGMoney' picks Denver vs Houston to go Over (222.5)
CitoGMoney is #7 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (3-2-0) and +2900 units on the season.
'fiengo' picks Denver vs Houston to go Over (222.5)
fiengo is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3400 units on the season.
'alfimar10045' picks Denver vs Houston to go Under (219.5)
alfimar10045 is #9 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +2800 units on the season.