Denver Nuggets

2nd in Northwest (53 - 28)

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Thu, Apr 30 21:30 ET

DEN @ MIN Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
Nikola Jokic logo Nikola Jokic u29.5 Points Scored (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Douglas Farmer image
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Nikola Jokic has yet to score more than 27 points in a game in this series, and with the Timberwolves needing to find their most aggressive defense of the series in this Game 6, there is no reason to think Jokic is suddenly going to find the energy reserves to score 30.

3 LEG PARLAY
Minnesota Timberwolves logo
MIN +5.5
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Nikola Jokic profile picture
Nikola Jokic u9.5 Total Assists
Total Assists
Nikola Jokic profile picture
Nikola Jokic u29.5 Points Scored
Points Scored
Bet now
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Douglas Farmer image
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

While Nikola Jokic has yet to score more than 27 points in a game in this series, he has handed out double-digit assists in two games, both of Denver’s wins, which also both happened to be in Denver. There is distinct logic in expecting the Nuggets’ role players to come up short on the road, thus turning a few potential Jokic assists into nothing but missed shots. And such missed shots should help Minnesota’s transition game, which needs to be a key piece of the Timberwolves’ offense.

3 LEG PARLAY
Nikola Jokic profile picture
Nikola Jokic u29.5 Points Scored
Points Scored
Nikola Jokic profile picture
Nikola Jokic u9.5 Total Assists
Total Assists
Minnesota Timberwolves logo
MIN
Moneyline
Bet now
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Douglas Farmer image
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

This is the Timberwolves’ best chance, and do not underestimate their ability to adjust. That is the hallmark of any team enjoying postseason success in the modern NBA, and Minnesota reached the Western Conference Finals in each of the last two springs. Some adjustments were clearly made. If this week’s adjustment catches the Nuggets off guard, that should yield a Timberwolves win. 

 

Points Scored
Rudy Gobert logo
Rudy Gobert o8.5 Points Scored (-124)
Projection 11.69 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The Timberwolves will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets).. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league at home with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Points Scored
Aaron Gordon logo
Aaron Gordon o9.5 Points Scored (-194)
Projection 13.25 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.. The 5th-speediest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets.. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Points Scored
Jaden McDaniels logo
Jaden McDaniels u18.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 16.39 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
Total Rebounds
Aaron Gordon logo
Aaron Gordon o4.5 Total Rebounds (+120)
Projection 5.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 5th-speediest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets.. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Total Rebounds
Rudy Gobert logo
Rudy Gobert o10.5 Total Rebounds (-115)
Projection 11.99 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The Timberwolves will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets).. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2nd-best in in the league at home with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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53% picking Denver

53%
47%

Total Picks DEN 161, MIN 142

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Total

47% picking Denver vs Minnesota to go Under

53%
47%

Total PicksDEN 120, MIN 105

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Over
Under

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Varart' is picking Denver to cover (-5.5)

Varart is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (44-28-0) and +16150 units on the season.

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'Varart' picks Denver vs Minnesota to go Over (224.5)

Varart is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (44-28-0) and +16150 units on the season.

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Under
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'Laker2223' is picking Minnesota to cover (+5.5)

Laker2223 is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (19-15-0) and +6960 units on the season.

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'Laker2223' picks Denver vs Minnesota to go Under (224.5)

Laker2223 is #10 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (19-15-0) and +6960 units on the season.

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Under
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'miacity' is picking Minnesota to cover (+5.5)

miacity is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (50-30-0) and +14900 units on the season.

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'miacity' picks Denver vs Minnesota to go Over (224.5)

miacity is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (50-30-0) and +14900 units on the season.

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'sandhog1' picks Denver vs Minnesota to go Under (224.5)

sandhog1 is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (40-34-0) and +8300 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'sandhog1' is picking Minnesota to cover (+5.5)

sandhog1 is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (40-34-0) and +8300 units on the season.

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'Abbyllar' is picking Minnesota to cover (+5.5)

Abbyllar is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (46-32-0) and +12900 units on the season.

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'Abbyllar' picks Denver vs Minnesota to go Over (224.5)

Abbyllar is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (46-32-0) and +12900 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'adamort22' picks Denver vs Minnesota to go Under (224.5)

adamort22 is #7 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (23-8-0) and +12750 units on the season.

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Over
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'adamort22' is picking Minnesota to cover (+5.5)

adamort22 is #7 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (23-8-0) and +12750 units on the season.

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'qlh' is picking Minnesota to cover (+5.5)

qlh is #8 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (40-32-0) and +7450 units on the season.

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'qlh' picks Denver vs Minnesota to go Over (224.5)

qlh is #8 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (40-32-0) and +7450 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'elmer58' is picking Minnesota to cover (+5.5)

elmer58 is #8 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +12650 units on the season.

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DEN
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