Denver Nuggets

2nd in Northwest (53 - 28)

Next Game

Mon, Apr 20 22:30 ET

MIN @ DEN Picks

NBA Picks
Points and Rebounds
Aaron Gordon logo Aaron Gordon o22.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Gordon was his usual steady self in Game 1, ending up with 17 points and eight rebounds, and I’m going back to the well tonight for another do-it-all performance from AG in this very familiar matchup against the T’Wolves.

Most of all, this pick banks on Gordon’s ability to go up a level in the playoffs. He averaged 16.2 PPG and 7.6 RPG in last year’s postseason, and he’s a natural beneficiary in the paint when Nikola Jokic draws a swarm of Minnesota defenders.

Total Assists
Nikola Jokic logo Nikola Jokic o10.5 Total Assists (+118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Imagine looking at a total of 10.5 assists and thinking it’s too low—that’s how good Nikola Jokić is. It’s not the number itself that stands out, but the +118 price that really gives us the edge. I make this prop closer to -115 for Jokić to record 11 assists in Game 2 against the Timberwolves. Jamal Murray torched Minnesota in Game 1 with 30 points, and if the Timberwolves get more aggressive by blitzing him to force the ball out of his hands, it should lead to Jokić operating as the release valve. That puts him in prime position to find open teammates and rack up potential assists. The other factor is Rudy Gobert, who doesn’t apply enough pressure on Jokić and often allows him to operate like a quarterback in a clean pocket with clear passing lanes. Jokić finished with 21 potential assists in Game 1, which reinforces the upside in this spot.

Total Rebounds
Anthony Edwards logo Anthony Edwards o5.5 Total Rebounds (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Douglas Farmer image
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

As the Timberwolves have made the Western Conference Finals in each of the last two years, their franchise cornerstone has crashed the glass more aggressively in the postseason. In 2023-24, Edwards averaged 5.4 rebounds per game in the regular season. In 2024-25, he averaged 5.7. In the 2024 playoffs, Edwards grabbed at least six rebounds in 10 of 16 games, averaging seven across three series. In the 2025 plays, he grabbed at least six rebounds in 12 of 15 games, averaging 7.8 across three series.

Points Scored
Donte DiVincenzo logo
Donte DiVincenzo o9.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 12.02 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With respect to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 120.8 points per game as the away team rates 2nd-most in the league this year.. The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.
Points Scored
Aaron Gordon logo
Aaron Gordon u16.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 14.68 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).. The 8th-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Points Scored
Cameron Johnson logo
Cameron Johnson o11.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 13.79 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cameron Johnson has compiled 16.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's compiled in all games this season.. The Nuggets are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Points Scored
Rudy Gobert logo
Rudy Gobert o10.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 12.17 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With respect to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 120.8 points per game as the away team rates 2nd-most in the league this year.. The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Points Scored
Christian Braun logo
Christian Braun o11.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 13.36 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 threes per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a favorable matchup.. The Nuggets are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).. The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Points Scored
Ayo Dosunmu logo
Ayo Dosunmu o11.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 13.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With respect to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 120.8 points per game as the away team rates 2nd-most in the league this year.. The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Points Scored
Jaden McDaniels logo
Jaden McDaniels u15.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 13.82 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 8th-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with a mere 8.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.. The matchup against the Nuggets may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).
Total Assists
Donte DiVincenzo logo
Donte DiVincenzo o3.5 Total Assists (+130)
Projection 3.97 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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68% picking Denver

32%
68%

Total Picks MIN 37, DEN 80

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46% picking Minnesota vs Denver to go Under

54%
46%

Total PicksMIN 50, DEN 43

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Over
Under

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'sandhog1' is picking Denver to cover (-6.5)

sandhog1 is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (40-34-0) and +8300 units on the season.

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MIN
DEN
Total

'sandhog1' picks Minnesota vs Denver to go Under (230.5)

sandhog1 is #5 on picking games that Minnesota is in with a record of (40-34-0) and +8300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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