Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 13, 2026
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LAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 10:30 PM ET
Luka Doncic o8.5 Total Assists (+118)
Luka Doncic is trading at +118 for the Over 8.5 assists, and that’s a number worth attacking as I price it closer to -155. Simply put, the Bulls don’t have a point-of-attack defender capable of slowing down Doncic. He should be able to get into the lane at will, put defenders on his hip, and force the defense to collapse on his drives. When that happens, the passing lanes to his teammates will naturally open up, creating plenty of assist opportunities. Chicago also lacks the size and disciplined rim protection needed to avoid getting pulled out of position by Doncic’s playmaking. With Deandre Ayton and Jaxson Hayes both healthy and available, the lob game should be there all night as well, giving Doncic multiple ways to generate assists.
Matas Buzelis o18.5 Points Scored (-112)
Matas Buzelis posted a career-best 41 points on Tuesday against the Warriors, but I’m not chasing points after one big game. The second-year man has averaged 24 points across his last six outings, scoring 20+ in all five games in which he logged at least 30 minutes.
In 35 games with 30+ minutes, he’s averaged 19 points, compared to just a 12-point average in games with fewer than 30 minutes. Buzelis averaged just 14.8 points across the first 50 games of the season, but he’s averaged 19.4 across his last 14.
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