Miami 8th East31-28

Golden State 8th West31-28

10:00PM ET Jan 19, 2026

Miami @ Golden State Picks & Props

MIA vs GS Picks

NBA Picks

Points Scored

Stephen Curry o27.5 Points Scored (-122)

Best Odds

o27.5 -112

Pick made: one month ago

o27.5 -121

o27.5 -112

o27.5 -122

o27.5 -115

o27.5 -127

Stephen Curry’s points prop is set at 27.5 with the Over priced at -122, and that’s a number worth attacking, as I make it closer to -160. Davion Mitchell is an excellent point-of-attack defender who moves his feet well and keeps ball handlers in front of him, but that’s not how Curry does his damage. One of Mitchell’s weaknesses is navigating off-ball screens and chasing constant movement, which plays directly into Curry’s strengths. Miami also can’t simply switch all of those actions, as doing so would create mismatches elsewhere given Mitchell’s size. All of that sets up well for Curry to find scoring opportunities.

Total Assists

Bam Adebayo o2.5 Total Assists (-150)

Best Odds

o2.5 -146

Pick made: one month ago

o2.5 -160

o2.5 -146

o2.5 -185

o2.5 -165

On the season, Bam is averaging 2.8 dimes on 4.6 potential assists. But in that four-game frame, his potential helpers have jumped to 5.5. There’s been a spike in his playmaking over the past month, with Adebayo averaging 3.5 assists in his previous 11 games. Player projections for tonight’s tilt in San Francisco range from 3.0 to 4.2 assists from Adebayo tonight, with my number at 3.5. That should have the Over 2.5 priced closer to -200 than its current ask of -150 at bet365.

Read Full Analysis

Spread

45% picking Miami

45% 45%

55% 55%

Total Picks MIA 264, GS 324

Spread

MIA

Spread

+5.5 -112

-3.5 -137

Total

50% picking Miami vs Golden State to go Under

50% 50%

Total PicksMIA 205, GS 203

Total

Over

Under

Total

238.5 -121

239.5 -104

MIA vs GS Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
POINTS SCORED Norman Powell (SG) u23.5 Points Scored 21.2 UNDER PROJECTION -2.3 DIFFERENCE 17.4% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u23.5 -130 u22.5 -111 u23.5 -130 u22.5 -102 u23.5 -135 u22.5 -108 Norman Powell (SG) u23.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 21.2 UNDER PROJECTION -2.3 DIFFERENCE 17.4% EV ANALYSIS This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 38.4% on field goals (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a hard matchup.. The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u23.5 -130
POINTS SCORED Moses Moody (SG) o10.5 Points Scored 12.1 OVER PROJECTION +1.6 DIFFERENCE 15.14% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o10.5 -118 o10.5 -130 o10.5 -125 o11.5 +100 o10.5 -118 o10.5 -130 Moses Moody (SG) o10.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 12.1 OVER PROJECTION +1.6 DIFFERENCE 15.14% EV ANALYSIS In terms of offense, the Warriors's exceptional 122.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).. The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o10.5 -118
POINTS SCORED Draymond Green (PF) o8.5 Points Scored 9.9 OVER PROJECTION +1.4 DIFFERENCE 15.12% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o8.5 -120 o9.5 -106 o8.5 -120 o9.5 -102 o9.5 -110 o9.5 -113 Draymond Green (PF) o8.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 9.9 OVER PROJECTION +1.4 DIFFERENCE 15.12% EV ANALYSIS In terms of offense, the Warriors's exceptional 122.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (43.4%).. The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o8.5 -120
POINTS SCORED Andrew Wiggins (SF) o14.5 Points Scored 16.3 OVER PROJECTION +1.8 DIFFERENCE 14.55% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o14.5 -122 o14.5 -122 o14.5 -125 o14.5 -122 o14.5 -140 o14.5 -124 Andrew Wiggins (SF) o14.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 16.3 OVER PROJECTION +1.8 DIFFERENCE 14.55% EV ANALYSIS As it relates to offense, the Miami Heat's fantastic 119.5 points per game comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year.. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, marking this as a positive matchup.. The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o14.5 -122
POINTS SCORED Jimmy Butler III (SF) u21.5 Points Scored 20.3 UNDER PROJECTION -1.3 DIFFERENCE 12.03% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u21.5 -120 u20.5 -104 u21.5 -120 u20.5 -106 u21.5 -130 u20.5 -113 Jimmy Butler III (SF) u21.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 20.3 UNDER PROJECTION -1.3 DIFFERENCE 12.03% EV ANALYSIS The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Golden State Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u21.5 -120
POINTS SCORED Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) u13.5 Points Scored 12.8 UNDER PROJECTION -0.8 DIFFERENCE 11.74% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u13.5 -112 u12.5 -103 u13.5 -112 u13.5 -122 u13.5 -135 u13.5 -130 Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) u13.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 12.8 UNDER PROJECTION -0.8 DIFFERENCE 11.74% EV ANALYSIS The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u13.5 -112
POINTS SCORED Stephen Curry (PG) o27.5 Points Scored 29.0 OVER PROJECTION +1.5 DIFFERENCE 11.58% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o27.5 -112 o27.5 -121 o27.5 -112 o27.5 -122 o27.5 -115 o27.5 -127 Stephen Curry (PG) o27.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 29.0 OVER PROJECTION +1.5 DIFFERENCE 11.58% EV ANALYSIS In terms of offense, the Warriors's exceptional 122.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).. The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).. The matchup against the Heat may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA). o27.5 -112
POINTS SCORED QP Quinten Post (C) u8.5 Points Scored 8.3 UNDER PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE 10.19% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u8.5 +100 u8.5 -110 u8.5 +100 u8.5 -128 u8.5 -105 u8.5 -105 QP Quinten Post (C) u8.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 8.3 UNDER PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE 10.19% EV ANALYSIS The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Golden State Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u8.5 +100
POINTS SCORED Bam Adebayo (C) u17.5 Points Scored 17.1 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 4.52% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds Caesars Best Odds u18.5 -120 u18.5 -121 u17.5 -112 u17.5 -102 u18.5 -135 u18.5 -120 Bam Adebayo (C) u17.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 17.1 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 4.52% EV ANALYSIS The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u18.5 -120
POINTS SCORED PL Pelle Larsson (SG) u10.5 Points Scored 10.2 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 2.73% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u10.5 -120 u9.5 -103 u10.5 -120 u9.5 -108 u10.5 -150 u9.5 -107 PL Pelle Larsson (SG) u10.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 10.2 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 2.73% EV ANALYSIS The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u10.5 -120
POINTS SCORED Brandin Podziemski (SG) o11.5 Points Scored 11.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE 2.34% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o11.5 +101 o11.5 +101 o11.5 -105 o11.5 -106 o12.5 +110 o11.5 -108 Brandin Podziemski (SG) o11.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 11.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE 2.34% EV ANALYSIS In terms of offense, the Warriors's exceptional 122.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.. The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o11.5 +101
POINTS SCORED Davion Mitchell (PG) o8.5 Points Scored 8.8 OVER PROJECTION +0.3 DIFFERENCE -3.25% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o8.5 -106 o8.5 -112 o8.5 -112 o8.5 -106 o8.5 -118 o8.5 -117 Davion Mitchell (PG) o8.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 8.8 OVER PROJECTION +0.3 DIFFERENCE -3.25% EV ANALYSIS As it relates to offense, the Miami Heat's fantastic 119.5 points per game comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year.. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a good matchup.. The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year.. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 7.2 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, finding it easy to draw fouls. o8.5 -106
TOTAL REBOUNDS Brandin Podziemski (SG) o4.5 Total Rebounds 5.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 5.54% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o4.5 -121 o4.5 -121 o5.5 +120 o4.5 -138 o4.5 -155 o4.5 -137 Brandin Podziemski (SG) o4.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 5.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 5.54% EV ANALYSIS The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o4.5 -121
TOTAL REBOUNDS PL Pelle Larsson (SG) o2.5 Total Rebounds 3.5 OVER PROJECTION +1.0 DIFFERENCE 3.57% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o2.5 -165 o3.5 +130 o2.5 -165 o2.5 -180 o3.5 +115 o3.5 +135 PL Pelle Larsson (SG) o2.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 3.5 OVER PROJECTION +1.0 DIFFERENCE 3.57% EV ANALYSIS The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o2.5 -165
TOTAL REBOUNDS Stephen Curry (PG) o4.5 Total Rebounds 4.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.0 DIFFERENCE 1.31% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o3.5 -169 o3.5 -169 o4.5 +120 o4.5 +114 o4.5 +110 o4.5 +117 Stephen Curry (PG) o4.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 4.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.0 DIFFERENCE 1.31% EV ANALYSIS The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o3.5 -169
TOTAL REBOUNDS Draymond Green (PF) o6.5 Total Rebounds 6.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -0.45% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o6.5 +108 o6.5 -110 o6.5 -105 o6.5 +108 o6.5 +105 o6.5 -104 Draymond Green (PF) o6.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 6.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -0.45% EV ANALYSIS The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o6.5 +108
TOTAL REBOUNDS Jimmy Butler III (SF) u6.5 Total Rebounds 6.2 UNDER PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE -1.88% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u6.5 -130 u5.5 +115 u6.5 -130 u6.5 -140 u6.5 -145 u6.5 -148 Jimmy Butler III (SF) u6.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 6.2 UNDER PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE -1.88% EV ANALYSIS The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Golden State Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u6.5 -130
TOTAL REBOUNDS Moses Moody (SG) o3.5 Total Rebounds 3.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -2.3% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o3.5 +120 o3.5 +115 o3.5 +110 o3.5 +106 o3.5 +120 o3.5 -104 Moses Moody (SG) o3.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 3.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -2.3% EV ANALYSIS The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o3.5 +120
TOTAL REBOUNDS Davion Mitchell (PG) o2.5 Total Rebounds 2.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -2.92% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o2.5 +111 o2.5 +111 o2.5 +100 o2.5 +104 o2.5 -120 o2.5 -112 Davion Mitchell (PG) o2.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 2.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -2.92% EV ANALYSIS The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o2.5 +111
TOTAL REBOUNDS Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) u4.5 Total Rebounds 4.3 UNDER PROJECTION -0.2 DIFFERENCE -3.22% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u4.5 -135 u4.5 -150 u4.5 -135 u4.5 -146 u4.5 -150 u4.5 -150 Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) u4.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 4.3 UNDER PROJECTION -0.2 DIFFERENCE -3.22% EV ANALYSIS The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u4.5 -135
TOTAL REBOUNDS Andrew Wiggins (SF) o4.5 Total Rebounds 4.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -5.58% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o4.5 -120 o4.5 -124 o4.5 -120 o4.5 -138 o4.5 -210 o4.5 -152 Andrew Wiggins (SF) o4.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 4.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -5.58% EV ANALYSIS The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o4.5 -120
TOTAL REBOUNDS QP Quinten Post (C) o3.5 Total Rebounds 4.1 OVER PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE -6.11% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o3.5 -166 o3.5 -167 o4.5 +115 o3.5 -166 o4.5 +105 o3.5 -200 QP Quinten Post (C) o3.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 4.1 OVER PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE -6.11% EV ANALYSIS The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o3.5 -166
TOTAL REBOUNDS Norman Powell (SG) o3.5 Total Rebounds 3.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -7.43% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o3.5 -105 o3.5 -109 o3.5 -120 o3.5 -113 o3.5 -105 o3.5 -113 Norman Powell (SG) o3.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 3.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -7.43% EV ANALYSIS The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o3.5 -105
TOTAL REBOUNDS Bam Adebayo (C) o9.5 Total Rebounds 9.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -11.4% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o9.5 -140 o9.5 -141 o10.5 +102 o9.5 -140 o10.5 +115 o9.5 -140 Bam Adebayo (C) o9.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 9.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -11.4% EV ANALYSIS The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o9.5 -140
3-POINTERS MADE Stephen Curry (PG) o4.5 3-Pointers Made 5.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 7.88% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o4.5 -119 o4.5 -119 o4.5 -120 o4.5 -128 o4.5 -125 o4.5 -145 Stephen Curry (PG) o4.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 5.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 7.88% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Warriors.. The matchup against the Heat is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (8.8).. The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o4.5 -119
3-POINTERS MADE Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) u0.5 3-Pointers Made 0.5 UNDER PROJECTION -0.0 DIFFERENCE 5.02% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u0.5 -140 - u0.5 -140 - u0.5 -145 u0.5 -154 Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) u0.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 0.5 UNDER PROJECTION -0.0 DIFFERENCE 5.02% EV ANALYSIS The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u0.5 -140
3-POINTERS MADE Bam Adebayo (C) u1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.1 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 4.18% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u1.5 -210 u1.5 -225 u1.5 -210 u1.5 -220 u1.5 -210 u1.5 -215 Bam Adebayo (C) u1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.1 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 4.18% EV ANALYSIS The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u1.5 -210
3-POINTERS MADE Davion Mitchell (PG) u1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.1 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE -3.17% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u1.5 -235 u0.5 +155 u1.5 -235 u0.5 +178 u1.5 -275 u0.5 +158 Davion Mitchell (PG) u1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.1 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE -3.17% EV ANALYSIS The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u1.5 -235
3-POINTERS MADE Brandin Podziemski (SG) o1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -4.66% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o1.5 -120 o1.5 -125 o1.5 -120 o1.5 -128 o1.5 -140 o1.5 -143 Brandin Podziemski (SG) o1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -4.66% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o1.5 -120
3-POINTERS MADE PL Pelle Larsson (SG) u1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.2 UNDER PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE -4.72% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u1.5 -230 u0.5 +178 u1.5 -230 u0.5 +178 u1.5 -235 u0.5 +177 PL Pelle Larsson (SG) u1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.2 UNDER PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE -4.72% EV ANALYSIS The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u1.5 -230
3-POINTERS MADE Draymond Green (PF) u1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.5 UNDER PROJECTION -0.0 DIFFERENCE -4.97% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u1.5 -115 u1.5 -152 u1.5 -115 u1.5 -140 u1.5 -150 u1.5 -154 Draymond Green (PF) u1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.5 UNDER PROJECTION -0.0 DIFFERENCE -4.97% EV ANALYSIS The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Golden State Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u1.5 -115
3-POINTERS MADE Andrew Wiggins (SF) o1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -6.44% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o1.5 -125 o1.5 -127 o1.5 -135 o1.5 -125 o1.5 -125 o1.5 -143 Andrew Wiggins (SF) o1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -6.44% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 36.4% rate of converted threes settles in as the 10th-highest in the league this year.. The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (5.7).. The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o1.5 -125
3-POINTERS MADE Jimmy Butler III (SF) o0.5 3-Pointers Made 0.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -7.77% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o0.5 -185 o0.5 -197 o0.5 -185 o0.5 -192 o0.5 -200 o0.5 -230 Jimmy Butler III (SF) o0.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 0.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -7.77% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Warriors.. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Heat, making this a positive matchup.. The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o0.5 -185
3-POINTERS MADE QP Quinten Post (C) o1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.5 OVER PROJECTION +0.0 DIFFERENCE -10.79% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o1.5 -112 o1.5 -129 o1.5 -112 o1.5 -125 o1.5 -115 o1.5 -150 QP Quinten Post (C) o1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.5 OVER PROJECTION +0.0 DIFFERENCE -10.79% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o1.5 -112
3-POINTERS MADE Norman Powell (SG) o2.5 3-Pointers Made 2.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -11.15% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o2.5 -120 o2.5 -123 o2.5 -120 o2.5 -142 o2.5 -185 o2.5 -136 Norman Powell (SG) o2.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 2.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -11.15% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Miami Heat's superb 36.4% rate of converted threes settles in as the 10th-highest in the league this year.. The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o2.5 -120
3-POINTERS MADE Moses Moody (SG) u2.5 3-Pointers Made 2.5 UNDER PROJECTION -0.0 DIFFERENCE -11.41% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u2.5 -160 u2.5 -166 u2.5 -160 u2.5 -160 u2.5 -200 u2.5 -164 Moses Moody (SG) u2.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 2.5 UNDER PROJECTION -0.0 DIFFERENCE -11.41% EV ANALYSIS The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Golden State Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u2.5 -160
TOTAL ASSISTS Jimmy Butler III (SF) u5.5 Total Assists 5.2 UNDER PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE 16.59% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u5.5 +110 u5.5 +100 u5.5 +110 u5.5 -104 u5.5 +100 u5.5 +102 Jimmy Butler III (SF) u5.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 5.2 UNDER PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE 16.59% EV ANALYSIS The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Golden State Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u5.5 +110
TOTAL ASSISTS QP Quinten Post (C) u1.5 Total Assists 1.4 UNDER PROJECTION -0.2 DIFFERENCE 14.99% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds u1.5 +100 u1.5 +100 u1.5 -105 - u1.5 -105 u1.5 -112 QP Quinten Post (C) u1.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 1.4 UNDER PROJECTION -0.2 DIFFERENCE 14.99% EV ANALYSIS The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Golden State Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u1.5 +100
TOTAL ASSISTS Norman Powell (SG) u2.5 Total Assists 2.3 UNDER PROJECTION -0.2 DIFFERENCE 14.12% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds u2.5 -102 u2.5 -106 u2.5 -105 u2.5 -102 u2.5 -105 u2.5 -111 Norman Powell (SG) u2.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 2.3 UNDER PROJECTION -0.2 DIFFERENCE 14.12% EV ANALYSIS The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u2.5 -102
TOTAL ASSISTS Davion Mitchell (PG) u6.5 Total Assists 6.1 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 13.57% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u6.5 -105 u6.5 -107 u6.5 -105 u6.5 -138 u6.5 -105 u6.5 -110 Davion Mitchell (PG) u6.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 6.1 UNDER PROJECTION -0.4 DIFFERENCE 13.57% EV ANALYSIS The Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.. The Heat have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u6.5 -105
TOTAL ASSISTS Stephen Curry (PG) u5.5 Total Assists 5.4 UNDER PROJECTION -0.1 DIFFERENCE 13.13% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds u5.5 +112 u5.5 +112 u5.5 +110 u5.5 +102 u5.5 +110 u5.5 +106 Stephen Curry (PG) u5.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 5.4 UNDER PROJECTION -0.1 DIFFERENCE 13.13% EV ANALYSIS The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Golden State Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u5.5 +112
TOTAL ASSISTS PL Pelle Larsson (SG) o2.5 Total Assists 3.4 OVER PROJECTION +0.9 DIFFERENCE 9.29% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o2.5 -150 o2.5 -164 o2.5 -150 o2.5 -154 o2.5 -200 o2.5 -157 PL Pelle Larsson (SG) o2.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 3.4 OVER PROJECTION +0.9 DIFFERENCE 9.29% EV ANALYSIS The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o2.5 -150
TOTAL ASSISTS Bam Adebayo (C) o2.5 Total Assists 3.4 OVER PROJECTION +0.9 DIFFERENCE 6.32% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o2.5 -146 o2.5 -160 o2.5 -160 o2.5 -146 o2.5 -185 o2.5 -165 Bam Adebayo (C) o2.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 3.4 OVER PROJECTION +0.9 DIFFERENCE 6.32% EV ANALYSIS The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o2.5 -146
TOTAL ASSISTS Brandin Podziemski (SG) u3.5 Total Assists 3.4 UNDER PROJECTION -0.1 DIFFERENCE -0.48% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u3.5 -125 u3.5 -141 u3.5 -125 u3.5 -136 u3.5 -130 u3.5 -130 Brandin Podziemski (SG) u3.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 3.4 UNDER PROJECTION -0.1 DIFFERENCE -0.48% EV ANALYSIS The 10th-slowest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Golden State Warriors.. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). u3.5 -125
TOTAL ASSISTS Andrew Wiggins (SF) o2.5 Total Assists 2.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -6.05% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds Caesars Best Odds o2.5 -102 o2.5 -103 o2.5 -110 o3.5 +172 o2.5 -155 o2.5 -102 Andrew Wiggins (SF) o2.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 2.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -6.05% EV ANALYSIS The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o2.5 -102
TOTAL ASSISTS Draymond Green (PF) o5.5 Total Assists 5.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -9.61% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o5.5 -129 o5.5 -129 o5.5 -140 o5.5 -138 o6.5 +130 o5.5 -148 Draymond Green (PF) o5.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 5.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -9.61% EV ANALYSIS The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o5.5 -129
TOTAL ASSISTS Moses Moody (SG) o1.5 Total Assists 1.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -12.05% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o1.5 -128 o1.5 -161 o1.5 -150 o1.5 -128 o1.5 -155 o1.5 -159 Moses Moody (SG) o1.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 1.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -12.05% EV ANALYSIS The Golden State Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). o1.5 -128
TOTAL ASSISTS Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o3.5 Total Assists 3.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -14% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o3.5 -140 o3.5 -155 o3.5 -160 o3.5 -154 o3.5 -140 o3.5 -162 Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o3.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 3.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -14% EV ANALYSIS The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year. o3.5 -140

POINTS SCORED

Norman Powell (SG) u23.5 Points Scored

21.2 UNDER PROJECTION

-2.3 DIFFERENCE

17.4% EV

Rating:

u23.5 -130

u22.5 -111

u23.5 -130

u22.5 -102

u23.5 -135

u22.5 -108

POINTS SCORED

Moses Moody (SG) o10.5 Points Scored

12.1 OVER PROJECTION

+1.6 DIFFERENCE

15.14% EV

Rating:

o10.5 -118

o10.5 -130

o10.5 -125

o11.5 +100

o10.5 -118

o10.5 -130

POINTS SCORED

Draymond Green (PF) o8.5 Points Scored

9.9 OVER PROJECTION

+1.4 DIFFERENCE

15.12% EV

Rating:

o8.5 -120

o9.5 -106

o8.5 -120

o9.5 -102

o9.5 -110

o9.5 -113

POINTS SCORED

Andrew Wiggins (SF) o14.5 Points Scored

16.3 OVER PROJECTION

+1.8 DIFFERENCE

14.55% EV

Rating:

o14.5 -122

o14.5 -125

o14.5 -122

o14.5 -140

o14.5 -124

POINTS SCORED

Jimmy Butler III (SF) u21.5 Points Scored

20.3 UNDER PROJECTION

-1.3 DIFFERENCE

12.03% EV

Rating:

u21.5 -120

u20.5 -104

u21.5 -120

u20.5 -106

u21.5 -130

u20.5 -113

POINTS SCORED

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) u13.5 Points Scored

12.8 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.8 DIFFERENCE

11.74% EV

Rating:

u13.5 -112

u12.5 -103

u13.5 -112

u13.5 -122

u13.5 -135

u13.5 -130

POINTS SCORED

Stephen Curry (PG) o27.5 Points Scored

29.0 OVER PROJECTION

+1.5 DIFFERENCE

11.58% EV

Rating:

o27.5 -112

o27.5 -121

o27.5 -112

o27.5 -122

o27.5 -115

o27.5 -127

POINTS SCORED

Quinten Post (C) u8.5 Points Scored

8.3 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.3 DIFFERENCE

10.19% EV

Rating:

u8.5 +100

u8.5 -110

u8.5 +100

u8.5 -128

u8.5 -105

POINTS SCORED

Bam Adebayo (C) u17.5 Points Scored

17.1 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.4 DIFFERENCE

4.52% EV

Rating:

u18.5 -120

u18.5 -121

u17.5 -112

u17.5 -102

u18.5 -135

u18.5 -120

POINTS SCORED

Pelle Larsson (SG) u10.5 Points Scored

10.2 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.4 DIFFERENCE

2.73% EV

Rating:

u10.5 -120

u9.5 -103

u10.5 -120

u9.5 -108

u10.5 -150

u9.5 -107

POINTS SCORED

Brandin Podziemski (SG) o11.5 Points Scored

11.9 OVER PROJECTION

+0.4 DIFFERENCE

2.34% EV

Rating:

o11.5 +101

o11.5 -105

o11.5 -106

o12.5 +110

o11.5 -108

POINTS SCORED

Davion Mitchell (PG) o8.5 Points Scored

8.8 OVER PROJECTION

+0.3 DIFFERENCE

-3.25% EV

Rating:

o8.5 -106

o8.5 -112

o8.5 -106

o8.5 -118

o8.5 -117

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Brandin Podziemski (SG) o4.5 Total Rebounds

5.3 OVER PROJECTION

+0.8 DIFFERENCE

5.54% EV

Rating:

o4.5 -121

o5.5 +120

o4.5 -138

o4.5 -155

o4.5 -137

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Pelle Larsson (SG) o2.5 Total Rebounds

3.5 OVER PROJECTION

+1.0 DIFFERENCE

3.57% EV

Rating:

o2.5 -165

o3.5 +130

o2.5 -165

o2.5 -180

o3.5 +115

o3.5 +135

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Stephen Curry (PG) o4.5 Total Rebounds

4.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.0 DIFFERENCE

1.31% EV

Rating:

o3.5 -169

o4.5 +120

o4.5 +114

o4.5 +110

o4.5 +117

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Draymond Green (PF) o6.5 Total Rebounds

6.7 OVER PROJECTION

+0.2 DIFFERENCE

-0.45% EV

Rating:

o6.5 +108

o6.5 -110

o6.5 -105

o6.5 +108

o6.5 +105

o6.5 -104

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Jimmy Butler III (SF) u6.5 Total Rebounds

6.2 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.3 DIFFERENCE

-1.88% EV

Rating:

u6.5 -130

u5.5 +115

u6.5 -130

u6.5 -140

u6.5 -145

u6.5 -148

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Moses Moody (SG) o3.5 Total Rebounds

3.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.1 DIFFERENCE

-2.3% EV

Rating:

o3.5 +120

o3.5 +115

o3.5 +110

o3.5 +106

o3.5 +120

o3.5 -104

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Davion Mitchell (PG) o2.5 Total Rebounds

2.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.1 DIFFERENCE

-2.92% EV

Rating:

o2.5 +111

o2.5 +100

o2.5 +104

o2.5 -120

o2.5 -112

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) u4.5 Total Rebounds

4.3 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.2 DIFFERENCE

-3.22% EV

Rating:

u4.5 -135

u4.5 -150

u4.5 -135

u4.5 -146

u4.5 -150

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Andrew Wiggins (SF) o4.5 Total Rebounds

4.9 OVER PROJECTION

+0.4 DIFFERENCE

-5.58% EV

Rating:

o4.5 -120

o4.5 -124

o4.5 -120

o4.5 -138

o4.5 -210

o4.5 -152

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Quinten Post (C) o3.5 Total Rebounds

4.1 OVER PROJECTION

+0.6 DIFFERENCE

-6.11% EV

Rating:

o3.5 -166

o3.5 -167

o4.5 +115

o3.5 -166

o4.5 +105

o3.5 -200

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Norman Powell (SG) o3.5 Total Rebounds

3.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.1 DIFFERENCE

-7.43% EV

Rating:

o3.5 -105

o3.5 -109

o3.5 -120

o3.5 -113

o3.5 -105

o3.5 -113

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Bam Adebayo (C) o9.5 Total Rebounds

9.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.1 DIFFERENCE

-11.4% EV

Rating:

o9.5 -140

o9.5 -141

o10.5 +102

o9.5 -140

o10.5 +115

o9.5 -140

3-POINTERS MADE

Stephen Curry (PG) o4.5 3-Pointers Made

5.3 OVER PROJECTION

+0.8 DIFFERENCE

7.88% EV

Rating:

o4.5 -119

o4.5 -120

o4.5 -128

o4.5 -125

o4.5 -145

3-POINTERS MADE

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) u0.5 3-Pointers Made

0.5 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.0 DIFFERENCE

5.02% EV

Rating:

u0.5 -140

u0.5 -145

u0.5 -154

3-POINTERS MADE

Bam Adebayo (C) u1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.1 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.4 DIFFERENCE

4.18% EV

Rating:

u1.5 -210

u1.5 -225

u1.5 -210

u1.5 -220

u1.5 -210

u1.5 -215

3-POINTERS MADE

Davion Mitchell (PG) u1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.1 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.4 DIFFERENCE

-3.17% EV

Rating:

u1.5 -235

u0.5 +155

u1.5 -235

u0.5 +178

u1.5 -275

u0.5 +158

3-POINTERS MADE

Brandin Podziemski (SG) o1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.9 OVER PROJECTION

+0.4 DIFFERENCE

-4.66% EV

Rating:

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -128

o1.5 -140

o1.5 -143

3-POINTERS MADE

Pelle Larsson (SG) u1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.2 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.3 DIFFERENCE

-4.72% EV

Rating:

u1.5 -230

u0.5 +178

u1.5 -230

u0.5 +178

u1.5 -235

u0.5 +177

3-POINTERS MADE

Draymond Green (PF) u1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.5 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.0 DIFFERENCE

-4.97% EV

Rating:

u1.5 -115

u1.5 -152

u1.5 -115

u1.5 -140

u1.5 -150

u1.5 -154

3-POINTERS MADE

Andrew Wiggins (SF) o1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.7 OVER PROJECTION

+0.2 DIFFERENCE

-6.44% EV

Rating:

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -127

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -143

3-POINTERS MADE

Jimmy Butler III (SF) o0.5 3-Pointers Made

0.9 OVER PROJECTION

+0.4 DIFFERENCE

-7.77% EV

Rating:

o0.5 -185

o0.5 -197

o0.5 -185

o0.5 -192

o0.5 -200

o0.5 -230

3-POINTERS MADE

Quinten Post (C) o1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.5 OVER PROJECTION

+0.0 DIFFERENCE

-10.79% EV

Rating:

o1.5 -112

o1.5 -129

o1.5 -112

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -150

3-POINTERS MADE

Norman Powell (SG) o2.5 3-Pointers Made

2.9 OVER PROJECTION

+0.4 DIFFERENCE

-11.15% EV

Rating:

o2.5 -120

o2.5 -123

o2.5 -120

o2.5 -142

o2.5 -185

o2.5 -136

3-POINTERS MADE

Moses Moody (SG) u2.5 3-Pointers Made

2.5 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.0 DIFFERENCE

-11.41% EV

Rating:

u2.5 -160

u2.5 -166

u2.5 -160

u2.5 -200

u2.5 -164

TOTAL ASSISTS

Jimmy Butler III (SF) u5.5 Total Assists

5.2 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.3 DIFFERENCE

16.59% EV

Rating:

u5.5 +110

u5.5 +100

u5.5 +110

u5.5 -104

u5.5 +100

u5.5 +102

TOTAL ASSISTS

Quinten Post (C) u1.5 Total Assists

1.4 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.2 DIFFERENCE

14.99% EV

Rating:

u1.5 +100

u1.5 -105

u1.5 -112

TOTAL ASSISTS

Norman Powell (SG) u2.5 Total Assists

2.3 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.2 DIFFERENCE

14.12% EV

Rating:

u2.5 -102

u2.5 -106

u2.5 -105

u2.5 -102

u2.5 -105

u2.5 -111

TOTAL ASSISTS

Davion Mitchell (PG) u6.5 Total Assists

6.1 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.4 DIFFERENCE

13.57% EV

Rating:

u6.5 -105

u6.5 -107

u6.5 -105

u6.5 -138

u6.5 -105

u6.5 -110

TOTAL ASSISTS

Stephen Curry (PG) u5.5 Total Assists

5.4 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.1 DIFFERENCE

13.13% EV

Rating:

u5.5 +112

u5.5 +110

u5.5 +102

u5.5 +110

u5.5 +106

TOTAL ASSISTS

Pelle Larsson (SG) o2.5 Total Assists

3.4 OVER PROJECTION

+0.9 DIFFERENCE

9.29% EV

Rating:

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -164

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -154

o2.5 -200

o2.5 -157

TOTAL ASSISTS

Bam Adebayo (C) o2.5 Total Assists

3.4 OVER PROJECTION

+0.9 DIFFERENCE

6.32% EV

Rating:

o2.5 -146

o2.5 -160

o2.5 -146

o2.5 -185

o2.5 -165

TOTAL ASSISTS

Brandin Podziemski (SG) u3.5 Total Assists

3.4 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.1 DIFFERENCE

-0.48% EV

Rating:

u3.5 -125

u3.5 -141

u3.5 -125

u3.5 -136

u3.5 -130

TOTAL ASSISTS

Andrew Wiggins (SF) o2.5 Total Assists

2.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.1 DIFFERENCE

-6.05% EV

Rating:

o2.5 -102

o2.5 -103

o2.5 -110

o3.5 +172

o2.5 -155

o2.5 -102

TOTAL ASSISTS

Draymond Green (PF) o5.5 Total Assists

5.7 OVER PROJECTION

+0.2 DIFFERENCE

-9.61% EV

Rating:

o5.5 -129

o5.5 -140

o5.5 -138

o6.5 +130

o5.5 -148

TOTAL ASSISTS

Moses Moody (SG) o1.5 Total Assists

1.7 OVER PROJECTION

+0.2 DIFFERENCE

-12.05% EV

Rating:

o1.5 -128

o1.5 -161

o1.5 -150

o1.5 -128

o1.5 -155

o1.5 -159

TOTAL ASSISTS

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o3.5 Total Assists

3.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.1 DIFFERENCE

-14% EV

Rating:

o3.5 -140

o3.5 -155

o3.5 -160

o3.5 -154

o3.5 -140

o3.5 -162

MIA vs GS Trends

Miami Trends

The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 40 away games (+21.85 Units / 47% ROI)

MIA

Game Line - Spread - 1st Period

The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+19.90 Units / 41% ROI)

MIA

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Period

The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+11.70 Units / 21% ROI)

MIA

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)

MIA

Game Line - Spread - 1st Half

The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 71% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 25 games (-14.10 Units / -48% ROI)

MIA

Game Line - Spread - 2nd Half

The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 24 games (-13.70 Units / -43% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.53 Units / -26% ROI)

MIA

Game Line - MoneyLine - 2nd Half

The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.45 Units / -31% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.20 Units / -30% ROI)

Golden State Trends

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units / 67% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 50 games (-24.90 Units / -32% ROI)

MIA

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Period

The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.30 Units / -39% ROI)

MIA

Game Line - Spread - 1st Period

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (-19.30 Units / -16% ROI)

MIA

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.90 Units / -25% ROI)

MIA

Game Line - Spread - 1st Half

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-12.80 Units / -25% ROI)

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Miami Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	sprality777	6-4-0	+13450
2	jakringle	7-3-0	+9750
3	brandydump1	8-2-0	+8900
4	tapnitruc	7-3-0	+8350
5	boedad	4-6-0	+7200
6	Aitch	6-4-0	+7050
7	doomsday07	6-4-0	+6350
8	LatinoGambler	6-4-0	+6150
9	tonloc4554	6-4-0	+5750
10	muna624	9-1-0	+5650
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Golden State Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
All Warriors Money Leaders

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45% picking Miami

50% picking Miami vs Golden State to go Under

MIA vs GS Props

How is Value calculated?

MIA vs GS Trends

Miami Trends

The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 40 away games (+21.85 Units / 47% ROI)

The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+19.90 Units / 41% ROI)

The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+11.70 Units / 21% ROI)

The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 40 away games (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)

The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 71% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 25 games (-14.10 Units / -48% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 24 games (-13.70 Units / -43% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.53 Units / -26% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.45 Units / -31% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.20 Units / -30% ROI)

Golden State Trends

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units / 67% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 50 games (-24.90 Units / -32% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-22.30 Units / -39% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (-19.30 Units / -16% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.90 Units / -25% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-12.80 Units / -25% ROI)

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