Denver 4th West57-39
Oklahoma City 1st West83-21

Denver @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

Michael Porter Jr.
M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 6.4 baskets per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has made 2.2 shots from downtown per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile. The Thunder have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 6.4 baskets per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has made 2.2 shots from downtown per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile. The Thunder have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

Christian Braun
C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds

In comparison to last year's 42.7% rate, Christian Braun's shooting prowess has jumped this year to 56.5%. Christian Braun has attempted 5.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Christian Braun registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.3 minutes per game on the road this year. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Thunder have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets.

Christian Braun

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

In comparison to last year's 42.7% rate, Christian Braun's shooting prowess has jumped this year to 56.5%. Christian Braun has attempted 5.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Christian Braun registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.3 minutes per game on the road this year. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Thunder have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

Nikola Jokic
N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets. Nikola Jokic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets. Nikola Jokic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

Jamal Murray
J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds

Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray rates in the 93rd percentile, registering an enormous 21.5 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray places in the 87th percentile for 3-point shots converted away from his home court, averaging 2.1 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 37.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Thunder have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray rates in the 93rd percentile, registering an enormous 21.5 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray places in the 87th percentile for 3-point shots converted away from his home court, averaging 2.1 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 37.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Thunder have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Luguentz Dort
L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds

Luguentz Dort has made 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year with the home court advantage. Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort places in the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 28.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team. The matchup against the Nuggets is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Luguentz Dort has made 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown in all games this year with the home court advantage. Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort places in the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 28.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team. The matchup against the Nuggets is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Chet Holmgren
C. Holmgren
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds

In contrast to last year's 52.2% clip, Chet Holmgren's shooting performance has diminished this year to 45.9%. Chet Holmgren has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (77th percentile). The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

In contrast to last year's 52.2% clip, Chet Holmgren's shooting performance has diminished this year to 45.9%. Chet Holmgren has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (77th percentile). The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Alex Caruso
A. Caruso
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds

Alex Caruso has made 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team. Alex Caruso has converted 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 10.7% more than he's put through the net overall this year on his home court. Alex Caruso figures to get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Alex Caruso

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Alex Caruso has made 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team. Alex Caruso has converted 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 10.7% more than he's put through the net overall this year on his home court. Alex Caruso figures to get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

Aaron Gordon
A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds

Aaron Gordon has made 6.8 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's made overall this season. Aaron Gordon has made a terrific 42.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, significantly more than his 26.9 rate last year. Aaron Gordon has played 37.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.1 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Thunder have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Aaron Gordon has made 6.8 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 more than he's made overall this season. Aaron Gordon has made a terrific 42.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, significantly more than his 26.9 rate last year. Aaron Gordon has played 37.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.1 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Thunder have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Isaiah Hartenstein
I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds

Isaiah Hartenstein has attempted 8.5 shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.0 rate last year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The number of points scored against Nikola Jokic has been very high (14.9 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team. Isaiah Hartenstein is expected to see a rise in production in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Isaiah Hartenstein has attempted 8.5 shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.0 rate last year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The number of points scored against Nikola Jokic has been very high (14.9 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team. Isaiah Hartenstein is expected to see a rise in production in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Jalen Williams
J. Williams
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds

Jalen Williams has attempted and missed 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's missed from 3-point range over the course of the season while on his home court. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have tallied 1.1 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

Jalen Williams has attempted and missed 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's missed from 3-point range over the course of the season while on his home court. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have tallied 1.1 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.3
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 100th percentile, averaging a colossal 32.1 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 7.8 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.3
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 100th percentile, averaging a colossal 32.1 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 7.8 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

Russell Westbrook
R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds

Russell Westbrook has attempted 10.2 shots per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. Russell Westbrook has attempted 5.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Russell Westbrook has averaged a whopping 27.6 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 22.2 minutes per game last year. The Thunder have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Russell Westbrook has attempted 10.2 shots per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. Russell Westbrook has attempted 5.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Russell Westbrook has averaged a whopping 27.6 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 22.2 minutes per game last year. The Thunder have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Cason Wallace
C. Wallace
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.62
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Cason Wallace has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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