Final Jun 19
OKC 91 -5.5 o223.0
IND 108 5.5 u223.0
Golden State 7th West48-33
Houston 2nd West52-30

Golden State @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

Jalen Green
J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green ranks in the 94th percentile for shots, putting up 17.2 per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 8.0 treys per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jalen Green has averaged 32.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive boards per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 5.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Jalen Green

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green ranks in the 94th percentile for shots, putting up 17.2 per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 8.0 treys per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jalen Green has averaged 32.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive boards per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 5.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Jimmy Butler III Points Scored Props • Golden State

Jimmy Butler III
J. Butler III
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds

With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage rates 5th-worst in the league this year. The matchup against the Rockets is a challenging one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have put up the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (21.7%). The Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Warriors are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Jimmy Butler should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Jimmy Butler III

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

With respect to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage rates 5th-worst in the league this year. The matchup against the Rockets is a challenging one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have put up the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (21.7%). The Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Warriors are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Jimmy Butler should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

Buddy Hield
B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds

Buddy Hield has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 17.8% higher than he's made in all games this season. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Buddy Hield has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 17.8% higher than he's made in all games this season. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Steven Adams Points Scored Props • Houston

Steven Adams
S. Adams
center C • Houston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Steven Adams slots into the 5th percentile for 3-point ability with a subpar 0.0% rate this year. The Rockets rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on their home court this year. The 9th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Steven Adams

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Steven Adams slots into the 5th percentile for 3-point ability with a subpar 0.0% rate this year. The Rockets rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on their home court this year. The 9th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

Draymond Green
D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 29.3 minutes per game this year. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 29.3 minutes per game this year. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

Dillon Brooks
D. Brooks
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds

Dillon Brooks has sunk 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Dillon Brooks has tallied 31.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (best in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive boards per game this year. Dillon Brooks has made 95.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 11.6% more than he's made overall this season while playing at home.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Dillon Brooks has sunk 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Dillon Brooks has tallied 31.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (best in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive boards per game this year. Dillon Brooks has made 95.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 11.6% more than he's made overall this season while playing at home.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

Alperen Sengun
A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year. The Rockets rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on their home court this year. When guarding fellow starting Cs, Draymond Green has been in the 13th percentile with a mere 1.5 3-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The 9th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Alperen Sengun has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year. The Rockets rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on their home court this year. When guarding fellow starting Cs, Draymond Green has been in the 13th percentile with a mere 1.5 3-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The 9th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Gary Payton II Points Scored Props • Golden State

Gary Payton II
G. Payton II
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Gary Payton II comes in at the 87th percentile for scoring efficiency with a very good 53.9% rate this year. Gary Payton II has made 38.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 11.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Gary Payton II

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Gary Payton II comes in at the 87th percentile for scoring efficiency with a very good 53.9% rate this year. Gary Payton II has made 38.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 11.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

Moses Moody
M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has attempted 10.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Moses Moody has made 41.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 9.2% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year while playing away from home. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Moses Moody

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Moses Moody has attempted 10.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Moses Moody has made 41.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 9.2% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year while playing away from home. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

Fred VanVleet
F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (83rd percentile). The Rockets rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on their home court this year. The 9th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (83rd percentile). The Rockets rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on their home court this year. The 9th-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

Stephen Curry
S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.7
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 100th percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 11.2 per game this year. Stephen Curry has tallied 32.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has converted 5.1 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing on the road.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.7
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.7

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 100th percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 11.2 per game this year. Stephen Curry has tallied 32.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has converted 5.1 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing on the road.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

Amen Thompson
A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds

Among all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson comes in at the 86th percentile for field goal performance while on his home court with an excellent 54.7% rate this year. Amen Thompson has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.4% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Amen Thompson rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.3 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors, resulting in a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Among all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson comes in at the 86th percentile for field goal performance while on his home court with an excellent 54.7% rate this year. Amen Thompson has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.4% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Amen Thompson rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.3 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors, resulting in a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

Brandin Podziemski
B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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