Final Apr 30
GS 116 4.0 o203.0
HOU 131 -4.0 u203.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 103 6.0 o210.5
LAL 96 -6.0 u210.5
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Cleveland 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18

Miami @ Cleveland props

Rocket Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are away from home (4th-least in the league).

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are away from home (4th-least in the league).

Evan Mobley Points Scored Props • Cleveland

E. Mobley
power forward PF • Cleveland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Evan Mobley has successfully made 7.1 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. Evan Mobley has attempted 5.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted overall this season. Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 30.7 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year.

Evan Mobley

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Evan Mobley has successfully made 7.1 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. Evan Mobley has attempted 5.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted overall this season. Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 30.7 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-140

Alec Burks has attempted 6.3 threes per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Alec Burks has averaged 0.9 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 20th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers). Alec Burks has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Alec Burks

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Alec Burks has attempted 6.3 threes per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Alec Burks has averaged 0.9 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 20th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers). Alec Burks has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-113

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 13.9 field goals per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins slots into the 87th percentile for 3-pointers converted, compiling 2.2 per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 31.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 13.9 field goals per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins slots into the 87th percentile for 3-pointers converted, compiling 2.2 per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 31.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

Out of all players in the league, Darius Garland measures in the 91st percentile, compiling an enormous 20.6 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Darius Garland registers in the 94th percentile for three-pointers converted, averaging 2.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Darius Garland comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 30.5 minutes per game while at home this year. The matchup against the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year.

Darius Garland

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Out of all players in the league, Darius Garland measures in the 91st percentile, compiling an enormous 20.6 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Darius Garland registers in the 94th percentile for three-pointers converted, averaging 2.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Darius Garland comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 30.5 minutes per game while at home this year. The matchup against the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year.

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-108

Max Strus has converted 52.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.5% more than he's put through the net overall this season with the home court advantage. Max Strus has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against Miami is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Heat are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Max Strus

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Max Strus has converted 52.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.5% more than he's put through the net overall this season with the home court advantage. Max Strus has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against Miami is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Heat are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-112

Jarrett Allen has made 0.0% of his three-point shots this year, ranking in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league. The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The clash with Kel'el Ware in terms of getting to the free-throw line comes in at the 6th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting only 1.9 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Jarrett Allen has made 0.0% of his three-point shots this year, ranking in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league. The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat). The clash with Kel'el Ware in terms of getting to the free-throw line comes in at the 6th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting only 1.9 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-113

Bam Adebayo has attempted 16.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Bam Adebayo has sunk 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game this year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Bam Adebayo has attempted 16.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Bam Adebayo has sunk 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game this year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has made 64.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 10.6% more than he's sunk in all games this season while playing on the road. Kel'el Ware has averaged 26.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games away from home, 6.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. When playing at home and facing fellow starting Cs, Jarrett Allen slots into the 75th percentile with a whopping 10.1 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Kel'el Ware has made 64.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 10.6% more than he's sunk in all games this season while playing on the road. Kel'el Ware has averaged 26.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games away from home, 6.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. When playing at home and facing fellow starting Cs, Jarrett Allen slots into the 75th percentile with a whopping 10.1 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
-104

Tyler Herro has logged 29.3 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 more than he's logged over the course of the year. Tyler Herro has played 35.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (41.4%). The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Tyler Herro has logged 29.3 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 more than he's logged over the course of the year. Tyler Herro has played 35.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (41.4%). The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Hunter
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-118

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 14.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, De'Andre Hunter comes in at the 89th percentile for foul shots hit, putting up a whopping 3.4 per game this year. De'Andre Hunter will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

De'Andre Hunter has attempted 14.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, De'Andre Hunter comes in at the 89th percentile for foul shots hit, putting up a whopping 3.4 per game this year. De'Andre Hunter will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-113

Davion Mitchell has made 63.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 20.1% higher than he's converted in all games this season when playing on the road. Davion Mitchell has converted 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season away from home. Davion Mitchell has played 33.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.6 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Davion Mitchell has made 63.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 20.1% higher than he's converted in all games this season when playing on the road. Davion Mitchell has converted 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season away from home. Davion Mitchell has played 33.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.6 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Isaac Okoro Points Scored Props • Cleveland

I. Okoro
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.02
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-145
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.02
Best Odds
Over
+110
Under
-145

Isaac Okoro has gone over 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.57
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-145
Under
+110
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
5.57
Best Odds
Over
-145
Under
+110

Kyle Anderson has gone over 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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