Indiana
4th East65-39
Oklahoma City
1st West83-21
Indiana @ Oklahoma City picks
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IND vs OKC Picks
NBA Picks
Points Scored

Tyrese Haliburton o16.5 Points Scored (-104)
Projection 19.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Tyrese Haliburton has made 49.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the year away from his home court.. Among all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton ranks in the 95th percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 7.6 per game this year.. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyrese Haliburton measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 33.9 minutes per game this year.. With respect to offense, the Pacers's remarkable 121.1 points per game when playing away from home measures as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games.. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
Points Scored

Cason Wallace o7.5 Points Scored (-102)
Projection 9.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cason Wallace has attempted 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home.. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0).. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court.. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).
Points Scored

Luguentz Dort o9.5 Points Scored (-104)
Projection 11.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.3 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.. Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort places in the 76th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 29.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year.. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home.. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court.. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).
Points Scored

Andrew Nembhard u11.5 Points Scored (-104)
Projection 10.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Andrew Nembhard has attempted and missed 6.6 field goal attempts per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's missed over the course of the season.. Andrew Nembhard has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 more than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.. Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.. The matchup against the Thunder may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).. Andrew Nembhard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.
3-Pointers Made

Tyrese Haliburton o2.5 3-Pointers Made (+120)
Projection 3.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton ranks in the 95th percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 7.6 per game this year.. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyrese Haliburton measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 33.9 minutes per game this year.. With respect to threes, the Pacers's fantastic 39.7% rate of made threes rates 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 15 games.. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup.. The 9th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.
Total Assists

Chet Holmgren o1.5 Total Assists (+125)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court.. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).. Chet Holmgren will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production in all stat categories.
Total Assists

Luguentz Dort o1.5 Total Assists (+165)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort places in the 76th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 29.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year.. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court.. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).. Luguentz Dort will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player production in all stat categories.
IND vs OKC Consensus Picks
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64% picking Indiana
Total Picks IND 580, OKC 328
Spread
IND
OKC
63% picking Indiana vs Oklahoma City to go Over
Total PicksIND 475, OKC 275
Total
Over
Under