Indiana
4th East65-39
Oklahoma City
1st West83-21
Indiana @ Oklahoma City picks
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IND vs OKC Picks
NBA Picks
Points Scored

Isaiah Hartenstein o6.5 Points Scored (-104)
Projection 8.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Isaiah Hartenstein has attempted 8.1 shots from the field per game this year, a significant increase from his 5.0 rate last year.. The number of field goals made against Myles Turner has been quite high (5.3 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while at home.. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers).. The Thunder have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Points Scored

Myles Turner o12.5 Points Scored (-128)
Projection 15.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Myles Turner has converted 59.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.. Myles Turner has averaged 29.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.. When it comes to offense, the Pacers's terrific 120.6 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the most in the NBA over the last 20 games.. The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a good one; he has allowed an enormous 14.2 points per game when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
Points Scored

Luguentz Dort o8.5 Points Scored (-130)
Projection 10.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort lands in the 89th percentile for three-pointers sunk, totaling 2.3 per game this year.. Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 29.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while at home.. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers).. The Thunder have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Points Scored

Tyrese Haliburton o17.5 Points Scored (+100)
Projection 19.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Tyrese Haliburton has made 49.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's made overall this year away from home.. Tyrese Haliburton has converted 42.9% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 8.6% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while on the road.. Among all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.9 minutes per game this year.. When it comes to offense, the Pacers's terrific 120.6 points per game when playing on the road settles in as the most in the NBA over the last 20 games.. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7).
Total Rebounds

Myles Turner o5.5 Total Rebounds (+126)
Projection 7.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Myles Turner has compiled 1.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.5 higher than he's compiled in all games this season on the road.. Myles Turner has averaged 29.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.
Total Rebounds

Isaiah Hartenstein o6.5 Total Rebounds (+118)
Projection 8.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Isaiah Hartenstein has posted a whopping 7.3 defensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.9 defensive rebounds per game last year.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while at home.. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers).. The Thunder have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).. Isaiah Hartenstein will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.
Total Rebounds

Pascal Siakam o6.5 Total Rebounds (+102)
Projection 7.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Pascal Siakam has compiled 6.7 rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 90th percentile.. Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.8 minutes per game away from home this year.. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.
3-Pointers Made

Tyrese Haliburton o2.5 3-Pointers Made (+120)
Projection 3.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Tyrese Haliburton has converted 42.9% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 8.6% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while on the road.. Among all players in the NBA, Tyrese Haliburton comes in at the 95th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 7.6 per game this year.. Among all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.9 minutes per game this year.. In terms of 3-pointers, the Indiana Pacers's fantastic 39.7% rate of drained threes comes in as the 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 15 games.. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7).
Total Assists

Isaiah Hartenstein o1.5 Total Assists (-128)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Isaiah Hartenstein has averaged a terrific 3.5 assists per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.7 assists per game last year.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while at home.. The Thunder are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers).. The Thunder have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).. Isaiah Hartenstein will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all facets of the game.
IND vs OKC Consensus Picks
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60% picking Indiana
Total Picks IND 534, OKC 351
Spread
IND
OKC
62% picking Indiana vs Oklahoma City to go Over
Total PicksIND 477, OKC 287
Total
Over
Under