New York @ Indiana picks
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NY vs IND Picks
NBA Picks
Points Scored

Jalen Brunson u30.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 25.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Jalen Brunson has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.. The New York Knicks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.6 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, designating this as a tough matchup.. The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league as the away team this year.. Jalen Brunson stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.
Points Scored

Josh Hart o9.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 11.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Josh Hart has made a terrific 51.8% of his field goal attempts this year, a big improvement over his 41.6 rate last year.. Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Hart comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 37.4 minutes per game this year.. The Pacers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to raise plays for the Knicks.. The Knicks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).. Josh Hart has made 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 higher than he's converted overall this season away from home.
Total Rebounds

Myles Turner o5.5 Total Rebounds (+122)
Projection 6.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Myles Turner has tallied 5.6 defensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's best by this metric over this stretch: 92nd percentile.. Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 30.3 minutes per game this year.. The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Indiana Pacers.. Myles Turner stands to see an increase in output across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.
Total Assists

OG Anunoby o1.5 Total Assists (+125)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
OG Anunoby has tallied 37.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.. The Pacers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to raise plays for the Knicks.. The Knicks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Total Assists

Karl-Anthony Towns o1.5 Total Assists (-160)
Projection 2.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 35.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 95th percentile.. The Pacers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to raise plays for the Knicks.. The Knicks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
NY vs IND Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks72% picking New York vs Indiana to go Over
Total PicksNY 466, IND 180
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