Indiana @ New York picks
Madison Square Garden
IND vs NY Picks
NBA Picks
Points Scored

Josh Hart o9.5 Points Scored (+104)
Projection 12.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Josh Hart has made a terrific 51.8% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly higher than his 41.6 rate last season.. Josh Hart has averaged 36.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.. The Pacers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the New York Knicks.. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.. Josh Hart figures to see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.
Points Scored

Jalen Brunson u30.5 Points Scored (-104)
Projection 27.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Jalen Brunson has accumulated 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.. As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA at home this year has been the New York Knicks.. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, making this a challenging matchup.. The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New York Knicks.. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pacers, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Total Rebounds

Myles Turner o5.5 Total Rebounds (+122)
Projection 6.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Myles Turner has posted 1.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.4 higher than he's posted over the course of the season.. Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 29.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year.
3-Pointers Made

Mikal Bridges o1.5 3-Pointers Made (-105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Compared to last year's 4.5 clip, Mikal Bridges's off-target 3-pointers have been reduced this year to 3.6 per game.. Mikal Bridges has averaged 37.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 100th percentile.. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged 52.4% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, identifying this as a strong matchup.. The Pacers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the New York Knicks.. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Total Assists

Andrew Nembhard o4.5 Total Assists (+145)
Projection 5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Andrew Nembhard has posted 6.2 assists per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.8 more than he's posted overall this year on the road.. Andrew Nembhard has played 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 7.2 higher than he's played overall this year on the road.. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year.
Total Assists

Josh Hart o4.5 Total Assists (+120)
Projection 5.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Josh Hart has compiled 5.7 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's best in this category recently: 94th percentile.. Josh Hart has averaged 36.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.. The Pacers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the New York Knicks.. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.. Josh Hart figures to see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.
IND vs NY Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks69% picking Indiana vs New York to go Over
Total PicksIND 448, NY 206
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