NBA Picks

Alexander-Walker is averaging 3.9 made threes on 9.6 attempts per game, shooting 40.3% from deep. He's cleared this line in three of his last four outings, including a nine-triple eruption against Indiana on Monday. Despite Washington's respectable perimeter defense, I'll back his impressive volume to deliver another 3+ makes.

Playable up to 56%. Maxey should attract a heavy dose of Thompson's pestering defense here - and that could force him to be more of a passer, like on Monday against Chicago (11 dimes). Maxey averaged 6.6 APG last year, and I'm trusting him to seek out mismatches against Robinson or Huerter.

George 6+ rebounds is playable up to 50%. He has cleared this mark in four of six games, and Tatum potentially sitting plus Milwaukee's high 3-point volume should create extra rebounding opportunities.

Play up to 58%.

Hart is currently listed as questionable with ankle soreness as of Wednesday morning, so this is being made under the assumption that he'll be in uniform.

If he's indeed out there, the 31-year-old veteran wing has done little to show that reaching double-digit scoring will be a foregone conclusion against Chicago. Hart has dropped eight or fewer points in four straight games, making just 34.8% of his shots in 30.3 minutes of action. 

His worst display through seven games, by far, was against the Bulls when he scored just two measly points and missed five of his six shots. Either Hart doesn't play at all, or he's on the hardwood at less than 100% health while in the midst of a cold streak. 

Play up to 48%. Nembhard is shooting 41.7% from deep this season, averaging 2.5 makes on six attempts per game. He's drained nine triples across his last two outings, and Memphis is allowing 3.4 threes per contest to opposing point guards. With his increased workload, I'll back another 3+ makes tonight.

Thomas 3+ threes is tradable up to 46%. His role is tailor-made for catch-and-shoot opportunities alongside Mitchell and Harden, while OKC is giving up plenty of wide-open looks from deep.

In his last three games, LaMelo Ball has scored 24+ twice, including putting up 34 points in just 33 minutes against the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. He took 21 shots -- including 13 threes -- in that game, and while he might not get that many attempts off every night, it's a sign of things to come for the Minnesota Timberwolves. I'm trading on Ball to score 20+ points at up to 55%.

Barrett's hot hand, consistent minutes, and increased offensive responsibility put him in a strong spot to reach 22 points. He's hit that mark in six of seven games this season, and is coming off an efficient 26-point night on 10-for-19 shooting. If he plays close to 35 minutes, we should have no problem here based on volume alone. Expect him to push the pace and attack the basket all game long against this Denver defense.

I'll be taking this number up to 17.5 points.

Sacramento's backcourt (Zach LaVine, Malik Monk, and Darius Acuff Jr.) combined to score 72 points on 55% shooting on Monday. 

Nearly two-thirds of Dylan Harper's minutes have come in the Spurs' frontcourt this season, but he's a natural two-guard who's only playing out of position so he can be a part of the starting lineup.

The 20-year-old floor general has gone Over 15.5 points in all but two games. He's averaging 21 points on 55.6% from the field in his last two appearances, and would have finished with more than the 17 points he recorded against the Utah Jazz on Monday had he played more minutes in what ended up being a blowout. 

Kessler is coming off one of his busiest offensive outings, firing up 13 FGAs in the shootout win over Miami. He made seven of those shots and finished with 15 points in 32 minutes. Sacramento gives up an NBA-high 56.6 points in the paints per game. The Kings frontcourt is missing big bodies heading into Wednesday. Projections sit as high as 13.9 points from the Lakers' 7-footer tonight.

Eight of Thompson's 9.4 FGA have come from beyond the arc this season - the highest percentage of his career. His role is a pure spot-up shooter, and Thompson is doing it well, hitting 3+ triples in four of seven games. He's 11-of-19 across his last two, and I expect him to stay hot against a weak Clippers perimeter defense. Trade to 55%.