Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game June 12, 2026
NY
@
SA
Sat, Jun 13 • 8:30 PM ET
NY +5.5 (-106)
There seems to be a general consensus that the New York Knicks will have a letdown in Game 5 and return home to win the NBA Finals in Game 6. I'm not buying it. Throughout these playoffs, the Knicks have been ruthless in closeout opportunities, beating the Hawks by 51, the Sixers by 30, and the Cavaliers by 37. I think New York has a legitimate chance to close out the series in San Antonio, which is why I'm happy to grab the +5.5. That’s a strong number when the film has you thinking the Knicks can win the game outright. I make the Knicks closer to a 2.5-point underdog in this matchup. I also think the Knicks discovered something in Game 4 that could carry over into Game 5: more minutes for Jose Alvarado as a screener for Brunson, a pressure-release valve, and a secondary ball-handler. If the Spurs never build that 29-point lead, the Knicks may never uncover that adjustment.
Brunson’s seven assists in Game 4 had a lot to do with Towns’ foul trouble. New York wants to take the ball out of his hands and create space for his shots as a cutter. That scheme will lead to more 3-point looks, with Brunson bagging three triples in each of the past two games and game script saying the Knicks are fighting from behind. Brunson has been big on the boards, with five rebounds in each of his last three outings while putting himself in place for an average of 10.0 rebounding chances in those games.
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