LIVE End Oct 13
WAS 120 5.0 o219.5
NY 103 -5.0 u219.5
LIVE Halftime Oct 13
DAL 61 -4.0 o236.0
UTA 53 4.0 u236.0
Final OT Oct 13
MIA 118 -4.5 o227.0
ATL 119 4.5 u227.0
Final Oct 13
SA 124 2.5 o235.5
IND 108 -2.5 u235.5
LA 5th West53-36
Sacramento 9th West40-42

LA @ Sacramento Picks & Props

LAC vs SAC Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
Keegan Murray logo Keegan Murray u13.5 Points Scored (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Murray is listed as questionable with a back injury that has sidelined him the last three games. That said, his player props are available and could be ripe for betting the Under given that he could be limited in his return after missing the last week. Even before the injury, Murray had scored fewer than 13.5 points in six of his previous nine games and he's averaging 12.5 ppg on the season. He also has a tough matchup tonight against the Los Angeles Clippers who play at a slower pace and rank third in the league in defensive rating.

Total
LA Clippers logo Sacramento Kings logo o226.5 (-110)
Pick made: 6 months ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

The Kings have gone Over in three of their last four and have hit that mark in 44 of 80 games this season. Season-long trends favor a high-scoring game. The Clippers are 25-21-1 to the Over as favorites and 12-7 to the Over as road favorites. The Kings have hit the Over in nine of 14 against Pacific Division opponents and in seven of nine as the home underdog. The Kings can finish no better than the No. 9 seed, but they’ll still be motivated to win this one to keep that seed and avoid falling to No. 10. Winning one against the Clippers after dropping three straight to them in the season series should add some extra incentive. The Clippers are in the thick of the Western Conference playoff hunt, and each win is vital. I expect both teams to play their best basketball tonight, and that should mean plenty of scoring in a matchup with no shortage of star power.

Spread
Sacramento Kings logo SAC +7.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

The LA Clippers are riding a five-game winning streak and look for a season series sweep over the Sacramento Kings on Friday. A loss could drop LA from the top six seeds and force the Clips into the NBA Play-In tourney. LA easily covered the first two meetings but struggled against this Sacramento lineup featuring Zach LaVine. Sacramento recorded two massive away upsets in their last five and is trying to hold off Dallas for the home court in their likely play-in contest. I like the Kings SU, but I'll take the points.

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LAC vs SAC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

70% picking L.A. Clippers vs Sacramento to go Over

70%
30%

Total PicksLAC 267, SAC 116

Total
Over
Under

LAC vs SAC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Keon Ellis
K. Ellis
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds

Keon Ellis has made 55.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year while at home. Keon Ellis has successfully made 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season when playing at home. Keon Ellis has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 11.0 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for field goals; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 7th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.6%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Keon Ellis has made 55.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year while at home. Keon Ellis has successfully made 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season when playing at home. Keon Ellis has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 11.0 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for field goals; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 7th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.6%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Norman Powell Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

Norman Powell
N. Powell
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds

Norman Powell has compiled a whopping 22.1 points per game this year, significantly more than his 13.8 points per game last year. Norman Powell has successfully made a terrific 3.0 three-point shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.2 mark last year. Among all players in the league, Norman Powell lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.4 minutes per game this year. The LA Clippers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Kings are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

Norman Powell

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Norman Powell has compiled a whopping 22.1 points per game this year, significantly more than his 13.8 points per game last year. Norman Powell has successfully made a terrific 3.0 three-point shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.2 mark last year. Among all players in the league, Norman Powell lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.4 minutes per game this year. The LA Clippers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Kings are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

James Harden
J. Harden
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on threes (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Kings, labeling this as a tough matchup. The 6th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. James Harden is expected to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

James Harden

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on threes (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Kings, labeling this as a tough matchup. The 6th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Clippers. The Clippers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. James Harden is expected to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Jonas Valanciunas
J. Valanciunas
center C • Sacramento
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jonas Valanciunas will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jonas Valanciunas will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Zach LaVine
Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds

Zach LaVine has notched 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's notched in all games this season. Zach LaVine has successfully made a terrific 42.9% of his 3-pointers this season, a significant increase from his 32.3 mark last season. Zach LaVine has averaged 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's averaged overall this season. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) against the LA Clippers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Zach LaVine has notched 30.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's notched in all games this season. Zach LaVine has successfully made a terrific 42.9% of his 3-pointers this season, a significant increase from his 32.3 mark last season. Zach LaVine has averaged 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's averaged overall this season. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) against the LA Clippers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

Kris Dunn
K. Dunn
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds

Kris Dunn has converted 60.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 23.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The LA Clippers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.1). Kris Dunn has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 33.3% more than he's put through the net overall this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.7 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

Kris Dunn

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Kris Dunn has converted 60.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 23.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The LA Clippers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.1). Kris Dunn has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 33.3% more than he's put through the net overall this year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.7 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

Kawhi Leonard
K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds

Kawhi Leonard has sunk 9.9 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's made overall this year. Kawhi Leonard has successfully made 47.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 8.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Kawhi Leonard has tallied 31.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. The LA Clippers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Kings is a good one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 6th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (52.6%).

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

Kawhi Leonard has sunk 9.9 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's made overall this year. Kawhi Leonard has successfully made 47.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 8.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Kawhi Leonard has tallied 31.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. The LA Clippers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Kings is a good one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 6th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (52.6%).

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

Ivica Zubac
I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds

Ivica Zubac has made 72.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.8% more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Ivica Zubac lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The LA Clippers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Ivica Zubac has made 72.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.8% more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Ivica Zubac lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The LA Clippers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Domantas Sabonis
D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds

Domantas Sabonis has attempted 2.2 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 rate last season. Domantas Sabonis has averaged 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Zubac is on the road other starting Cs this year, they have averaged an enormous 1.0 three-pointers per game (90th percentile). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 97.1% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Domantas Sabonis has attempted 2.2 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 rate last season. Domantas Sabonis has averaged 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile. The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Zubac is on the road other starting Cs this year, they have averaged an enormous 1.0 three-pointers per game (90th percentile). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 97.1% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

DeMar DeRozan
D. DeRozan
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds

The Kings rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots. The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (43.3%). The 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Kings. The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Clippers). The faceoff with Norman Powell in terms of getting to the charity stripe ranks in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting SFs attempting only 1.9 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

The Kings rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots. The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (43.3%). The 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Kings. The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Clippers). The faceoff with Norman Powell in terms of getting to the charity stripe ranks in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting SFs attempting only 1.9 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Keegan Murray
K. Murray
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds

Keegan Murray has successfully made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's sunk over the course of the year at home. Keegan Murray has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keegan Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against the Clippers is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.1 foul shots per game this year (9th-most in the league).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Keegan Murray has successfully made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's sunk over the course of the year at home. Keegan Murray has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keegan Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against the Clippers is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.1 foul shots per game this year (9th-most in the league).

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

Bogdan Bogdanovic
B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds

Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 61.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 19.4% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The LA Clippers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season when playing on the road.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 61.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 19.4% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The LA Clippers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season when playing on the road.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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