Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

Al Horford has gone under 9.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
There will be few games this season with lower stakes than the final two games between Boston and Charlotte. The Boston Celtics are locked into the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference, while the Charlotte Hornets aren’t going to be able to further improve their draft lottery odds. Boston will want to stay healthy, while Charlotte just gets some run for young players against quality competition. Boston and Charlotte both rank in the bottom seven in pace, with the Celtics being the second-slowest team in the NBA. That means there won’t be many possessions, there won’t be much scoring (especially for the Hornets) on those possessions, and the starters on both sides aren’t going to be playing a huge number of minutes. Even with a low total set because of these factors, I’m still taking the Under.
Total PicksCHA 273, BOS 129
Al Horford has gone under 9.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Tidjane Salaun has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the season. The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a difficult one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5). The 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Charlotte Hornets. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
Jayson Tatum has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (76th percentile).
Mark Williams has converted 80.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 14.2% more than he's sunk in all games this year while on the road. Mark Williams has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Hornets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Mark Williams has converted 92.6% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 10.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 28.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. Kristaps Porzingis will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production for all stats.
The matchup against the Hornets is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PGs have totaled the least shot attempts per game in the league this year (11.3). The slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics. The Hornets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics. In terms of getting to the foul line, the Celtics's lackluster 19.3 foul shots per game ranks worst in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-least in the NBA).
Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 30.9 minutes per game on his home court this year. Jrue Holiday will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves stat production in all stat categories.
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All Hornets Money Leaders |
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All Celtics Money Leaders |