Indiana @ Denver Picks & Props

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (20.5%). The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Tyrese Haliburton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production for all stats.

Among all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 28.4 minutes per game away from home this year. As it relates to scoring, the Pacers's outstanding 127.2 points per game away from home ranks 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.

Jamal Murray has logged 25.8 points per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 5.1 more than he's logged overall this year at home. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.7 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

The number of shots from behind the three-point arc made against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably low (0.5 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (4th percentile). The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Myles Turner will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.9).

Aaron Gordon has put up 18.9 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.6 higher than he's put up in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has converted 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's made from three in all games this year when playing at home. Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league while at home this year. The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 3-point attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls. Aaron Nesmith will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

T.J. McConnell has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Bennedict Mathurin has gone over 14.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Thomas Bryant has gone over 6.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Russell Westbrook has gone over 13.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Obi Toppin has gone over 13.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jalen Pickett has gone over 7.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Jarace Walker has gone over 7.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Peyton Watson has gone over 7.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.