Miami @ Boston Picks & Props

As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 45.8% field goal rate while on their home court comes in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Kel'el Ware has converted 67.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 12.9% more than he's sunk overall this season. Kel'el Ware has played 27.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing on the road, 7.8 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Pelle Larsson has sunk 53.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 10.2% higher than he's made in all games this year without the home court advantage. Pelle Larsson has made 55.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 14.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year away from home. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 51.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.7% more than he's made over the course of the year. Davion Mitchell has sunk 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 45.8% field goal rate while on their home court comes in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum lands in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 45.8% field goal rate while on their home court comes in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to draw fouls.

Tyler Herro has compiled 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's compiled overall this year. Tyler Herro has averaged 35.3 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 threes per game (highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, making this a favorable matchup. Tyler Herro has made 98.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 13.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Relative to last year's 9.0 clip, Payton Pritchard's points per game have spiked this year to 14.0. Payton Pritchard has sunk a whopping 3.3 3-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.7 mark last year. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard will likely see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kristaps Porzingis has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 45.8% field goal rate while on their home court comes in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Ware is playing on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.1 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

Sam Hauser has sunk 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Sam Hauser has tallied 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a strong matchup. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 90.9% mark, Sam Hauser's free-throw efficiency has increased this year to 100.0%.

The rate of 3-point shots sunk against Kel'el Ware has been remarkably high (40.5%) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Luke Kornet will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White measures in the 84th percentile, tallying a monstrous 16.5 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White measures in the 99th percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 3.5 per game this year. Derrick White has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Alec Burks has compiled 11.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's compiled overall this year. Alec Burks has converted 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from three in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Alec Burks comes in at the 18th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 0.9 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Boston is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Celtics are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

Bam Adebayo has tallied 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 3.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. Bam Adebayo has sunk 58.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 28.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Baylor Scheierman has gone over 5.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Anderson has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Neemias Queta has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 6.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.