Golden State @ New Orleans Picks & Props

The Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court. The matchup against Golden State is a hard one for threes; when the Warriors are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the league this year (21.6%). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Stephen Curry has logged 34.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 9.2 more than he's logged overall this season on the road. Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has sunk 6.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Moses Moody has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Moses Moody has tallied 29.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.8% higher than he's made overall this year.

Bruce Brown has converted 53.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 30.3% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Bruce Brown has averaged 27.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on three-pointers (highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Bruce Brown has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while at home.

Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 68.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 16.3% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Kelly Olynyk has sunk 63.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 21.3% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, easily managing to draw fouls.

Karlo Matkovic has made 71.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's made in all games this year while at home. Karlo Matkovic has successfully made 52.5% of his three-pointers at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Karlo Matkovic has tallied 22.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Karlo Matkovic will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 9th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors. Jonathan Kuminga stands to see a decline in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.

Jose Alvarado has made 2.0 treys per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 24.4 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against Golden State is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 7.1 foul shots per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting team (most in the league). Jose Alvarado should see a spike in output in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Yves Missi has successfully made 60.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 8.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year. Yves Missi has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Yves Missi is expected to see an increase in productivity for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Out of all players in the league, Draymond Green lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 29.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Yves Missi is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 63.6% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile). The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 27.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year away from home.

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 12.4 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games on the road, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Brandin Podziemski has made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. The matchup against the Pelicans is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Buddy Hield has gone over 9.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has gone over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Quinten Post has gone over 7.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.