Golden State @ Miami Picks & Props

Quinten Post has converted 58.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Quinten Post has made 56.1% of his treys over the last 10 games on the road, 10.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year when playing away from home. The showdown with Bam Adebayo slots into the 96th percentile with the other team's starting Cs making a colossal 41.1% of their attempts from downtown this year. The 10th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kel'el Ware has converted 6.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's sunk overall this season. Kel'el Ware has tallied 28.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games while on his home court, 4.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. As it relates to treys, the Heat's outstanding 37.8% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors, resulting in a strong matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise plays for the Miami Heat.

The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Golden State Warriors are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (21.6%). The slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson registers in the 92nd percentile for three-point shots converted, logging 2.5 per game this year. As it relates to treys, the Heat's outstanding 37.8% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise plays for the Miami Heat. Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson comes in at the 20th percentile for off the mark foul shot attempts on his home court, totaling a mere 0.1 per game this year. The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are away from home (5th-most in the league).

Gary Payton II has converted 5.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Gary Payton II has sunk 56.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 29.9% more than he's made over the course of the season. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. The 10th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As it relates to treys, the Heat's outstanding 37.8% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise plays for the Miami Heat. Haywood Highsmith has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 25.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Haywood Highsmith should get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

Davion Mitchell has sunk 61.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 7.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court. Davion Mitchell has sunk an impressive 41.5% of his 3-point attempts this year, significantly more than his 30.5 mark last year. As it relates to treys, the Heat's outstanding 37.8% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup against Golden State is a good one; when the Warriors are the visiting team, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (24.4). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise plays for the Miami Heat.

Moses Moody has attempted 10.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Moses Moody has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 7.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. The 10th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

In regard to offense, the Warriors's lackluster 45.0% field goal rate measures as the 5th-worst in the league this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the slowest pace home team in the league this year (the Heat). Jonathan Kuminga ought to experience a decrease in production for all stats due to playing away from home in this game.

Stephen Curry has notched 34.8 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 9.2 higher than he's notched in all games this season on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have averaged 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance. The 10th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile. As it relates to treys, the Heat's outstanding 37.8% rate of drained threes as the home team places 7th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise plays for the Miami Heat. Compared to last year's 2.3 clip, Tyler Herro's free throws made have increased this year to 3.5 per game. The matchup against Golden State is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 7.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting team (most in the NBA).

The slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Draymond Green has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Draymond Green has played 29.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). The 10th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brandin Podziemski has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. The 10th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski has converted 89.3% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 13.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court.

Buddy Hield has gone over 8.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.